T.R | Title | User | Personal Name | Date | Lines |
---|
642.1 | | MOLAR::DELBALSO | I (spade) my (dogface) | Tue Jan 30 1996 10:58 | 8 |
| > Since then Taiwan officials have tried to reassure their people that war is
> not imminent and that the island can defend itself against the rival from
> which it parted after losing a protracted civil war.
???
Didn't Aesop have a fable about the elephant and the mosquito?
|
642.2 | | TROOA::BROOKS | | Tue Jan 30 1996 12:37 | 8 |
| prediction: violence between China and Taiwan before Jan. 1, 2000.
China is a force to be feared, and barring internal strife, will be THE
regional power within 10 years. I mean that economically and
militarily. The US & USSR are demilitarizing, focusing internally.
The next 4 years in the white house will be retrenching; that leaves
'Red China' to play the field more.
IMHO
|
642.3 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | pack light, keep low, move fast, reload often | Tue Jan 30 1996 13:41 | 8 |
| The PRC will never use overwhelming military force to repatriate
Taiwan. They will bluster and bluff and do a lot of saber rattling
but they will never invade. Taiwan is too valuable a prize
industrially. Its economy is booming. It is worth much more to the
PRC intact than it would be as a pile of rubble. There will be a
repatriation but not a violent one and one under circumstances similar
to HK but with far more freedom and latitude for self rule. IMO of
course.
|
642.4 | ....just wonderin'. | NEMAIL::BULLOCK | | Tue Jan 30 1996 15:37 | 14 |
|
I haven't been in 'the box' since late October,...I see it's still
movin' along.
How many miles across is the Formosa Strait between Taiwan and PRC?
If an invasion were to take place can anyone speculate what the
military response from the 'west' would look like? Could we stop
a 'conventional' invasion by the PRC with a 'conventional' response?
Ed
|
642.5 | | MOLAR::DELBALSO | I (spade) my (dogface) | Tue Jan 30 1996 15:40 | 10 |
| > Could we stop
> a 'conventional' invasion by the PRC with a 'conventional' response?
Would we even care to? Haven't we learned enough about getting involved
in civil strife in the Orient?
If the PRC and Taiwan decide to mix it up, I wish them well, but I don't
perceive US involvement as a wise course in any event. I think the last
paragraph of the article indicated that was their hope, as well.
|
642.6 | | SOLVIT::KRAWIECKI | Too many politicians, not enough warriors. | Tue Jan 30 1996 15:56 | 8 |
|
re: .4
>military response from the 'west'
We'll huff... and we'll puff... and we'll blow your house down!!!
|
642.7 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | pack light, keep low, move fast, reload often | Tue Jan 30 1996 17:29 | 12 |
| Taiwan has a standing army of about 2 million with another 20 million
active reservists. The PRC would not destroy the cities and industrial
areas as this is what they really want. It would have to be a land
assault in extremely rugged and inhospitable terrain. I believe the
PRC is showing is making noise wrt forcefully retaking Taiwan. There
may be a token show of force with a minimal loss of lives but in the
end, the unification will take place but on more diplomatic terms with
a willing Taiwan.
Brian
|
642.8 | | COVERT::COVERT | John R. Covert | Tue Jan 30 1996 17:31 | 7 |
| >
> How many miles across is the Formosa Strait between Taiwan and PRC?
>
125 miles.
/john
|
642.9 | | HIGHD::FLATMAN | Give2TheMegan&KennethCollegeFund | Tue Jan 30 1996 18:27 | 7 |
| > The PRC would not destroy the cities and industrial
> areas as this is what they really want.
Sounds like ideal conditions for what the neutron bomb was designed
for.
-- Dave
|
642.10 | | MOLAR::DELBALSO | I (spade) my (dogface) | Tue Jan 30 1996 20:04 | 5 |
| Prolly true, but isn't 125 miles from the mainland a bit close for comfort?
(The possibility exists that this is the least of their concerns.)
Then there's the general global unrest over Pacific nuclear activities, witness
France's current popularity.
(Of course, then again, the possibility exists that ...)
|
642.11 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Wed Jan 31 1996 07:08 | 4 |
| that's it! that's it! the PRC could get France to do a little
"stray" nuclear testing.
see, there's a solution to every problem.
|
642.12 | PRC Has An Awful Navy | SMURF::LIU | Fear is the thief of Dreams | Wed Jan 31 1996 07:56 | 13 |
|
The PRC already tried to take Taiwan by force in the early '50's
or late '40's, right after they consolidated their hold on the
mainland. They failed. The folks in Taiwan have had 40 years
to get ready. On the other hand, the original Nationalists are
gone, and the current generation thinks differently.
My guess is that the old folks in power hope that by saying
"BOO" load enough, that they will get what they want. But
if the folks in Taiwan hold out long enough, the folks running
things on the mainland will die off and the new generation
there will be easier to deal with. So its a big game of
bluff, and the first one to move loses.
|
642.13 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | pack light, keep low, move fast, reload often | Wed Jan 31 1996 09:16 | 16 |
| 125 miles is within easy striking range of cruise missles and close to
the range of an Exocet. Don't know how far the Silkworm will go.
Taiwan is very easily defensible. The PRC would have to launch a
sustained air bombardment and then launch a massive landing.
Logistically near impossible given their current state of hardware.
Taiwan on the other hand has been given Western military technology.
They have F-16s in their airforce among other capable aircraft. They
have mobilization plans that will allow them to muster several million
troops inside a very short time with several million more in reserve.
After visiting last Fall, the general consensus was that the idea of
reunification was very desirable. The question was more how and when.
It will require the PRC to soften its stance on leadership issues etc.
Possibly after Hong Kong transfers to the PRC and they see how it goes.
Brian
|
642.15 | | SCASS1::EDITEX::MOORE | GetOuttaMyChair | Tue Feb 20 1996 01:17 | 6 |
|
Maybe Taiwan should "allow" their citizens to own weapons.
They don't now, if I am not mistaken.
|
642.16 | | COVERT::COVERT | John R. Covert | Tue Mar 05 1996 20:54 | 105 |
| China to conduct missile tests near Taiwan
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Copyright � 1996 Nando.net
Copyright � 1996 Reuter Information Service
BEIJING (Mar 5, 1996 4:58 p.m. EST) - China fired a fresh salvo in its
battle of nerves with Taiwan Tuesday, stirring political and economic
anxiety with an announcement of guided missile tests just off the shores of
the island it considers a renegade province.
The tests, to be held near two vital Taiwan ports before March 23
presidential elections, appeared designed to underline the island's
vulnerability to blockade and undermine President Lee Teng-hui, frontrunner
in the polls.
"From March 8 to 15, 1996, the Chinese People's Liberation Army will conduct
surface-to-surface missile-launching training in a sea area," said China's
official Xinhua news agency.
Taiwan's premier demanded that China halt the test plans.
"I, representing the government, raise a serious protest and demand that
Chinese Communists stop this provocative behavior immediately," Premier Lien
Chan was quoted by a Taipei spokesman as saying.
Taiwan's Foreign Ministry urged the international community to take action
against China for its "unbridled behavior," while the Defense Ministry put
troops on full alert but ordered them to "react with rational and
self-controlled behavior."
Military analysts in Taiwan warned of the possibility of an inaccurate
launch during the tests sending a missile crashing down on inhabited areas.
In Washington, Defense Secretary William Perry deplored the upcoming tests
and Republican legislators said the United States must make clear it is
ready to defend Taiwan against attacks from China.
"I think it is a very bad mistake on their part to put the impact area so
near to Taiwan," Perry told the Senate Armed Services Committee. "I deplore
that decision on their part and I will express my concern to them."
The 40-member House Republican Policy Committee said in a statement: "House
Republicans strongly support a clear and unambiguous policy of friendship
toward and commitment to the defense of Taiwan, designed to unmistakably
deter the PRC from invading, attacking or blockading Taiwan."
In Asia, Japan and Hong Kong expressed concern over the tension in one of
the region's perpetual flashpoints.
Japanese Foreign Ministry spokesman Hiroshi Hashimoto called the tests "not
desirable for peace and stability in East Asia" and said Tokyo was watching
the situation.
In Hong Kong, Governor Chris Patten urged negotiation.
"I hope we'll see a peaceful and negotiated settlement to all these matters
which have obviously considerable consequence," Patten told reporters.
Several other governments in Asia said only that the missile tests, part of
a series of major Chinese military drills near Taiwan, had been widely
anticipated as part of China's angry reaction to Lee's U.S. visit last June.
Beijing chose test areas closer to Taiwan than previous tests -- one about
30 miles west of the island at the south of the narrow strait separating
Taiwan from China, the second about 12 miles northeast of Taiwan.
The proximity of the tests to trade-dependent Taiwan's two largest ports,
Keelung in the north and Kaohsiung in the south, drives home the point that
the heavily fortified island remains vulnerable even to limited military
actions by China.
"This marks a clear message to Taiwan that China has a range of military
options short of full-scale invasion," said a Western diplomat in Beijing.
Raising the specter of economic strangulation "fits with the logic of
Beijing's ongoing psychological campaign, which says saber-rattling is only
effective if it's loud enough to make a point," said a China-based Asian
diplomat.
The scare tactics seemed to work. The announcement sent Taiwan's offshore
island residents scrambling for safer ground, spurred others to buy gold and
knocked Taipei share prices into a tailspin to close down 1.29 percent.
Thomas Chien, managing director of Wardley James Capel in Taipei called the
tests a "serious provocation" that would cause Taiwan's March imports and
exports to drop by some 20 percent.
Amid predictions of disrupted oil and raw materials supplies, Taiwan's
Council of Agriculture offered assurances that the island enough rice to
last for seven months in the event of military conflict with China.
Echoing Beijing's harsh attacks on the beleaguered Lee, his presidential
election opponents blamed him for provoking China.
The new round of tests also augured for new tensions between China and the
United States, which Beijing faults for arming Taiwan and encouraging it to
go its own separate way.
"Sino-U.S. relations have encountered serious difficulties," Chinese Premier
Li Peng told parliament Tuesday. "This was completely created by the unwise
U.S. policies toward China."
Beijing has viewed Taiwan as a rebel province since Chiang Kai-shek's
Nationalist army lost the Chinese civil war and fled to the island in 1949.
|
642.17 | | USAT05::HALLR | God loves even you! | Tue Mar 05 1996 20:57 | 3 |
| a graduate at Bowie State U just went home last winter to Hong Kong and
I recently got a note which said that her relatives on Taiwan fear and
red wave
|
642.18 | | CSLALL::HENDERSON | We shall behold Him! | Tue Mar 05 1996 22:47 | 3 |
|
eh?
|
642.19 | | COVERT::COVERT | John R. Covert | Tue Mar 05 1996 23:10 | 4 |
| re .18 change the "and" at the end of next to last line to "a" and it all
makes sense.
China _will_ "repatriate" Taiwan. The only question is "When?".
|
642.20 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Wed Mar 06 1996 09:13 | 1 |
| ....and how.
|
642.21 | a Cincy stunt | GAAS::BRAUCHER | Welcome to Paradise | Wed Mar 06 1996 09:16 | 4 |
|
I've seen the red wave at Riverfront Stadium.
bb
|
642.22 | | USAT02::HALLR | God loves even you! | Wed Mar 06 1996 09:19 | 1 |
| just a matter of time
|
642.23 | | SOLVIT::KRAWIECKI | Lord of the Turnip Truck | Wed Mar 06 1996 10:02 | 6 |
|
And the USA will sputter, and stutter, and stamp their feet.. and hold
their breath... and demand this and that...
and vote China (again) to Most Favored Status...
|
642.24 | | CSLALL::HENDERSON | We shall behold Him! | Wed Mar 06 1996 10:48 | 14 |
|
> And the USA will sputter, and stutter, and stamp their feet.. and hold
> their breath... and demand this and that...
And say "We are outraged"
|
642.25 | | EDSCLU::JAYAKUMAR | | Wed Mar 06 1996 15:34 | 8 |
| .. and in the meantime make plans to invade Cuba, to crush evil Castro
|
642.26 | | SOLVIT::KRAWIECKI | Lord of the Turnip Truck | Wed Mar 06 1996 15:57 | 4 |
|
... or dem Somalians....
|
642.27 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Fri Mar 08 1996 13:43 | 3 |
| China launched three missle this AM off the coast of Taiwan. Some
folks are getting nervous. There have been runs on U.S. currency in
Taiwanese banks in the last few days.
|
642.28 | | BUSY::SLABOUNTY | Don't like my p_n? 1-800-328-7448 | Fri Mar 08 1996 13:47 | 3 |
|
Where were the missiles launched to?
|
642.29 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Fri Mar 08 1996 13:52 | 1 |
| Probably low flying cesnas.
|
642.30 | | BUSY::SLABOUNTY | Don't like my p_n? 1-800-328-7448 | Fri Mar 08 1996 13:55 | 3 |
|
There are 3 s's in cessnas, Glenn.
|
642.31 | | SX4GTO::OLSON | DBTC Palo Alto | Fri Mar 08 1996 13:58 | 9 |
| China announced two test zones last week and requested the assistance
of other governments and international bodies in directing other
traffic away from the areas (all IAW international practise.) The
zones are *very* close to Taiwan, one northeast, and one west (see .16).
It is considered a deliberate warning, as Taiwan is due for elections
soon, and China is telling them that even thinking about independence,
much less discussing it in electoral politics, is a bad idea.
DougO
|
642.32 | | SMURF::BINDER | Manus Celer Dei | Fri Mar 08 1996 14:02 | 3 |
| One of the test zones is 20 miles offshore from Taiwan's busiest
oceangoing port. This choice of target area is being interpreted as a
clear and intentional threat.
|
642.33 | | COVERT::COVERT | John R. Covert | Fri Mar 08 1996 14:05 | 111 |
| Taiwan threatens action if China enters waters during missile tests
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Copyright � 1996 The Associated Press
TAIPEI, Taiwan (Mar 8, 1996 11:33 a.m. EST) -- Shaken by Chinese missile
tests off its two main ports, Taiwan threatened today to retaliate if
mainland forces enter its waters in a further attempt to weaken the island's
independence aspirations.
China fired three ballistic missiles into waters near Taiwan early this
morning, leading Taiwanese leaders to protest the "brutal intimidation."
Saying Taiwan expects China to follow up with more sea and air exercises off
the southeast coast facing Taiwan, Defense Minister Chiang Chung-lin
threatened retaliation if China went too far.
"If they trespass into our territorial waters, of course we will fight
back," he told reporters after an emergency Cabinet meeting.
"That is not our bottom line," he said, but declined to spell out the
conditions that might provoke retaliation.
Chinese President Jiang Zemin reiterated today that China would never allow
Taiwan to claim independence. "As long as the Taiwan authorities are
refusing to abandon their activities aimed at splitting the motherland ...
our struggle against such activities will also not cease," Jiang said in a
speech to legislators in Beijing.
The USS Independence was monitoring the missile launches from off Taiwan's
south coast, said a Pentagon official in Washington, speaking on condition
of anonymity. The Japanese public broadcaster NHK said the monitors were
also studying the effectiveness of the Chinese missiles.
China fired the surface-to-surface M-9 missiles at targets it had previously
announced, the Taiwanese Defense Ministry said.
The M-9 is similar to the Scuds used in the Persian Gulf War in that it has
a 372-mile range and can carry a 1,100-pound warhead. The missiles were
thought to be carrying dummy warheads with monitoring instruments to track
their course, the Defense Ministry said.
Two missiles hit about 48 miles west of the southern port of Kaohsiung port,
and another near the northern port of Keelung, the ministry said.
Taiwan radio broadcast repeated warnings to fishermen to stay away from the
target zones. Taiwan ordered ships and airlines to change their routes, and
closed a flight path used for 30 daily flights between Taipei and Japan,
Australia and the United States.
In London, the editor of Jane's Defense Weekly said Taiwan's threats of
retaliation were not idle.
"Taiwan is quite a major power in its own right," said editor Paul Beaver.
"That's one of the reasons that China has never been able to invade -- it
has an effective air force, a good navy and a large missile development."
China announced the tests on Tuesday, saying they would continue until March
15. Although calling the tests routine, China conceded Thursday it hoped to
frighten Taiwanese about the ramifications of voting for President Lee
Teng-hui in the March 23 election. Winning an outright majority would give
Lee a mandate to pursue independence.
Beijing is concerned that Taiwan, which it considers a renegade province, is
leaning away from eventual reunification with the mainland. Lee, chosen as
president by an electoral college, denies China's claim that he has
abandoned the cause of reunification.
Taiwan has had a separate government since 1949, when Nationalists fled
there from the mainland after Communists defeated them in a civil war. The
Nationalists built Taiwan into an island fortress; its 400,000-strong
military have been on high alert since China announced the tests.
"The brutal intimidation and provocation will increase people's disgust with
Beijing and delay national reunification," said Kao Koong-liang, spokesman
of the Mainland Affairs Council, which sets policy toward China.
Chinese Foreign Minister Qian Qichen said Taiwanese should not worry about
the military exercises.
"What they should really worry about is that the 'independence' seekers,
with support from some international forces bent on splitting China,
continue on their wrong path," the official Xinhua News Agency quoted Qian
as saying. "That will be a real disaster."
China began flexing its muscle across the narrow Taiwan Strait last summer,
when Taiwan began making moves that raised its international profile, such
as a private U.S. visit by President Lee. Twice since then, China has fired
missiles near the island -- but never as close as it did today.
The missiles were fired at one-hour intervals from launchers in Fujian
province in southeastern China, the Taiwanese newspaper China Times Express
reported. It said China evacuated civilians in the Fujian fishing port of
Dongao to make room for 100,000 troops.
U.S. State Department spokesman Nicholas Burns said the exercise could have
serious consequences, especially if an accident happens.
"These missile exercises ... we consider both provocative and reckless,"
said White House spokesman Mike McCurry.
The two ports remained open, but fishermen in the Kaohsiung port alone will
lose $1 million during the week of tests, the head of a fishermen's group
estimated.
News of the missile tests triggered renewed buying of foreign currency,
mainly U.S. dollars, as a hedge against possible war.
Foreign banks said Thursday that some customers were trying to withdraw up
to $500,000 in U.S. currency in cash, depleting bank supplies and forcing
them to set a ceiling of $3,000 per transaction.
|
642.34 | | BUSY::SLABOUNTY | Don't like my p_n? 1-800-328-7448 | Fri Mar 08 1996 14:09 | 5 |
|
This could be bad then, yes?
How large is China's military?
|
642.35 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Fri Mar 08 1996 14:09 | 1 |
| About 1.2b, give or take.
|
642.36 | | BUSY::SLABOUNTY | Don't like my p_n? 1-800-328-7448 | Fri Mar 08 1996 14:12 | 5 |
|
They're not ALL in the military, are they?
Hmmm, I guess you're right ... they could be, if needed.
|
642.37 | | 43GMC::KEITH | Dr. Deuce | Fri Mar 08 1996 14:14 | 7 |
| We should provide them with a couple of Patriot missile batteries and
'conduct tests' in the same area at the same time and pop a couple of
them out of the sky...
This is absurd. It is just international terrorism.
Steve
|
642.38 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Fri Mar 08 1996 14:15 | 2 |
| China has a large standing army. The citizenry is available for
conscription.
|
642.39 | | WAHOO::LEVESQUE | the dangerous type | Fri Mar 08 1996 14:20 | 2 |
| China is picking up the ugly aggressor position which the USSR
abandoned a few years ago...
|
642.40 | | EDSCLU::JAYAKUMAR | | Fri Mar 08 1996 14:43 | 2 |
| In NPR this morning: Chinese considers Taiwan as an unfriendly unsinkable
aircraft carrier, and hence this threat
|
642.41 | | ASABET::MCWILLIAMS | | Fri Mar 08 1996 15:29 | 8 |
| The 'unsinkable aircraft carrier" was a remark from Douglas McAuthur
during the Korean war, when the Red Chinese joined the fray.
Residents expect an invasion or shelling of Qemoy, a small island
several miles off the mainland chinese Coast. Shellings have gone on
there in the past - China may up the ante.
/jim
|
642.42 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Mon Mar 11 1996 06:49 | 7 |
| the U.S. has already dispatched an aircraft to the area. China has
warned the U.S. not to interfere.
the Chinese have pretty much operated independently even during the
height of communism in the east. they remind me of the difficult
2 year old that will always try his/her best to be in disagreement
and make you life generally miserable for the fun of it.
|
642.43 | symbols, at 1000 yards ? | GAAS::BRAUCHER | Welcome to Paradise | Mon Mar 11 1996 09:48 | 8 |
|
The 7th Fleet is "observing" the tests, which are without warheads.
I love it the way weapons are used as communications devices. You
can fly bombers around, conduct manuevers near a border, etc. And
afterwards, you can say it was all just a coincidence.
bb
|
642.44 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Mon Mar 11 1996 09:51 | 4 |
| We all knew this was going to happen with the expiration of the Hong
Kong lease. Cina wants the money.
Where is Jesse Helms when you need him?
|
642.45 | | USAT02::HALLR | God loves even you! | Mon Mar 11 1996 14:23 | 1 |
| who the h is Cina?
|
642.46 | | SMURF::BINDER | Manus Celer Dei | Mon Mar 11 1996 14:44 | 6 |
| .43
> The 7th Fleet is "observing" the tests, which are without warheads.
Beginning tomorrow, the exercies will employ LIVE firing of naval guns
and missiles. The word LIVE indicates "with warheads."
|
642.47 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Mon Mar 11 1996 14:49 | 2 |
| So, when the say, coming to you live from Ceasar's Palace, they mean
with warheads?
|
642.48 | | ASABET::MCWILLIAMS | | Mon Mar 11 1996 15:34 | 5 |
| News reports indicate that China has announced that they will be
shelling (with live rounds) several uninhabited rocks off the shore of
Qemoy.
/jim
|
642.49 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Mon Mar 11 1996 15:44 | 1 |
| The creatures on the inhabited rocks will be pleased by this news.
|
642.50 | MINE BROKE! | VMSNET::M_MACIOLEK | Four54 Camaro/Only way to fly | Mon Mar 11 1996 16:35 | 1 |
| They make cheap toys.
|
642.51 | | BUSY::SLABOUNTY | Don't like my p_n? 1-800-328-7448 | Mon Mar 11 1996 17:06 | 3 |
|
Maybe it just needs another set of D batteries.
|
642.52 | | TKTVFS::NEMOTO | no facts; only interpretations | Mon Mar 11 1996 20:09 | 5 |
|
> How large is China's military?
Last time I heard that they are about three millions and have been putting
every effort to modernize Air and Navy forces.
|
642.54 | This is a serious question - please tell us | MOLAR::DELBALSO | I (spade) my (dogface) | Mon Mar 11 1996 20:40 | 2 |
| And, what do _you_ think that the USA should do, Jason?
|
642.55 | | USAT02::HALLR | God loves even you! | Mon Mar 11 1996 22:10 | 5 |
| Jack:
I think we should review China's application for MFNStatus in light of
their deployable record with human rights violations and now this
intimidation of Taiwan.
|
642.56 | | MOLAR::DELBALSO | I (spade) my (dogface) | Mon Mar 11 1996 22:18 | 3 |
| Well, Ron, but as Jason seems to be our quintessential "cut the defense
budget to the bone" guy, I figured it would be interesting to get his
response.
|
642.57 | | USAT02::HALLR | God loves even you! | Mon Mar 11 1996 22:30 | 1 |
| Sorry I muffed your sneak attack, Jack.
|
642.58 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Tue Mar 12 1996 10:20 | 11 |
| I with Ron on this one. CHina should be slapped, hard. Removing the
MFN status would be a good first step. One very large problem we have
is that CHina could nationalize foregin assets, again. U.S. companies
have invested heavily in China so they have instant hostages. This is
going to be a tricky situation. I am glad we have sent the carriers to
the area. Taiwan must understand that they are not going to stand
alone in the face of mainland aggression. Question is, when will the
rest of the world ante up? We cannot and should not bear the burden of
protecting Taiwan, alone.
Brian
|
642.59 | only when forced by their own self-interest to take a stand | WAHOO::LEVESQUE | scratching just makes it worse | Tue Mar 12 1996 10:27 | 8 |
| >Question is, when will the rest of the world ante up?
When the horse has been gone from the barn for a long time. It's
important that the horse get a good head start, doncha know?
Meanwhile, the europeans will strut about and talk about how
belligerent americans are, wring their hands, go on about their
superiority, etc...
|
642.60 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Tue Mar 12 1996 10:41 | 1 |
| The Europeans are too self absorbed, as usual.
|
642.61 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Tue Mar 12 1996 11:01 | 1 |
| I forgot. The Euros don't have any assets in Taiwan or Hong Kong.
|
642.62 | | CHEFS::HANDLEY_I | My Name?...Good Question. | Tue Mar 12 1996 11:04 | 2 |
|
We do. Walkmans.
|
642.63 | | CBHVAX::CBH | Mr. Creosote | Tue Mar 12 1996 13:41 | 3 |
| The US is getting in first? Well that makes a change.
Chris.
|
642.64 | | WAHOO::LEVESQUE | scratching just makes it worse | Tue Mar 12 1996 14:12 | 1 |
| Yeah, we were real laggards in Kuwait.
|
642.65 | | CBHVAX::CBH | Mr. Creosote | Tue Mar 12 1996 14:20 | 7 |
| > Yeah, we were real laggards in Kuwait.
I wasn't really making a point, other than toward the rednecks who reckon they
`saved our asses from a good whupping' in WWII... fortunately, there's not
too much of that in here.
Chris.
|
642.66 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Tue Mar 12 1996 14:22 | 2 |
| We came to the aid of our allies in WWII, as we should have. We most
likely should have gotten involved sooner than we did.
|
642.67 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Tue Mar 12 1996 14:23 | 3 |
| I hate to be the first to break this to you Chris. But they saved our
asses from a whupping in WWII. A whupping by the the Russians that
is.
|
642.68 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Tue Mar 12 1996 14:40 | 1 |
| Not only that, they practically rebuilt the entire continent.
|
642.69 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Tue Mar 12 1996 14:45 | 9 |
| If the US had sat the sidelines, the Nazis would have taken
a poke at Russia anyway. They would still have been beaten by the
Russians.
D'yer think Stalin would have stopped at Berlin without the presence of
the US in Western Europe?
Colin
|
642.70 | | SMURF::BINDER | Manus Celer Dei | Tue Mar 12 1996 14:58 | 8 |
| .67
> But they saved our
> asses from a whupping in WWII.
It's time you realized that we did not "save your assess from a
whupping in WWII." We, the Allied Forces, collectively saved our
collective asses from a whupping in WWII.
|
642.71 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Tue Mar 12 1996 15:14 | 3 |
| Yes, something known in corporate upper echelons as `synergy'.
The allies were also committed to troop engagement.
|
642.72 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Tue Mar 12 1996 16:08 | 22 |
| The Russians were our allies - yet we eventually conceded Poland to
them even though the German attack on Poland was the very reason that
the UK and France originally declared war. We ended WWII in a
stand-off with the Russians as our cold war enemy.
Had the US chosen not to participate, (even in lease-lend) the Nazis
would probably have taken all Europe. I don't think the mainland US
would have been under much of a threat from the distant thousand year
reich, so the US had nothing to "save its ass" from. I doubt Germany
could have been self-sustaining in resources to hold Europe for long.
The reason the Nazis struck at Russia was to capture the oil and
grain resources in the Urals. At that point in the war Nazi Germany was
still under-resourced in raw materials.
On the other hand, the Russians did have the resources to hold Europe
for an extended period, as they demonstrated in the post-war era.
Whichever way you look at it, the US would have ended up with some kind
of post-WWII cold war, but that doesn't mean they were ever under any
direct military threat from any European aggressor.
Colin
|
642.73 | the UK did, the US didn't | GAAS::BRAUCHER | Welcome to Paradise | Tue Mar 12 1996 16:14 | 8 |
|
Um, Colin, clue : we, the US, didn't declare war on Hitler.
He declared it on us. Gratuitously.
At least he bothered. The Japanese just bombed without comment.
bb
|
642.74 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Tue Mar 12 1996 16:24 | 12 |
| --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Where did I say anything about who declared war? Although Germany
"declared" war on the US, that does not mean that the US has to
choose to participate - there were plenty of options to sue for a
separate peace, and in the absence of a physical attack plenty of
Americans who wanted to do that.
Even after formal exchanges of declaration of war, there were no
immediate fights between the UK and Germany ("The Phony War") and
many people in the UK also thought that we could come to an agreement.
Colin
|
642.75 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Tue Mar 12 1996 16:29 | 1 |
| Yes, yes, yes. Take it to the WWII topic boise.
|
642.76 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Tue Mar 12 1996 16:30 | 1 |
| the WWII topic is in Idaho?
|
642.77 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Tue Mar 12 1996 16:46 | 1 |
| Could be.
|
642.78 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Wed Mar 13 1996 06:28 | 8 |
| i think historical events outline the fact that the Germans pushed the
British army into the sea early in the war and that the Japanese pushed
the British army into India early into the war. the only "successful"
campaign for the British was North Africa.
now, whatever that constitues is entirely up to the reader.
i agree on Hitler's stupidity in Operation Barbarosa...
|
642.79 | | STOWOA::ROSCH | | Wed Mar 13 1996 11:52 | 33 |
|
re .74
> Where did I say anything about who declared war? Although Germany
> "declared" war on the US, that does not mean that the US has to
> choose to participate - there were plenty of options to sue for a
> separate peace, and in the absence of a physical attack plenty of
> Americans who wanted to do that.
This is not historically factual. There was no option to sue for a
separate peace. The AXIS powers had an treaty. Look up AXIS POWERS in
any history of WWII.
Once Japan attacked the U.S. there was no 'plenty of Americans' who
wanted a separate peace. The U.S. declaration of war against Japan
passed the U.S. Senate with only one opposing vote. You are mistaking
sentiment against involvment in a European War to the 1939-1941 views
of pacifists - all of whom changed their views after the attack on
Pearl Harbor.
> Even after formal exchanges of declaration of war, there were no
> immediate fights between the UK and Germany ("The Phony War") and
> many people in the UK also thought that we could come to an
> agreement.
Again, this is not historically factual. The U.K. struck back with
bombers on German cities. The 'phony' war you describe is a description
of the Army - not the Navy or Air Services of the U.K. and France.
Also WWII started with the attack on Poland in September of 1939. The
U.S. did not enter the war until December, 1941.
|
642.80 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Wed Mar 13 1996 14:29 | 41 |
| I look up lots of things, but I also tend to prefer to write what I
think rather than repeat the writings of others. You are 100% right
in the case of the Phony war vs the Air War, but there were also strong
pacifist, socialist and Mosely's Blackshirt fascist movements in the UK
who wanted to sue for peace before all-out war.
In 1939 the US originally proclaimed neutrality, but aided the Allied
cause with vast amounts of war resources which *provoked* the
Tripartite Treaty (The AXIS treaty). It was not until after Pearl
harbour that the Nazis declared war on the US. It is the opinion of a
lot of historians that the US prodded Japan into the war (the cowardly
attack on Pearl notwithstanding) and it was therefore inevitable that
the US would come under a declaration of war from Germany. To quote one
source "A war that could possibly have been avoided now broke out".
(Richardson, Toland.)
This doesn't detract from the original point. Germany posed no
immediate threat to the mainland US. The US did not have to get
involved in Europe right away, but chose to fight on two fronts. My
only reason for making this point is in rebuttal to the popularly-held
view in Europe that the yanks came late and claimed victory.
I'm not sure that you are correct about opposition to the war in
Europe. As to political viewpoints in the US, there was complete
polarisation before the attack on Pearl Harbour, with the
interventionists against the America Firsters, America Peace
Mobilization, German-American Bund and traditional isolationists.
However, this position became much less tenable after Pearl, hence the
unity of congress. At this time, the Allies WERE at war with Germany,
whil Japan was still only a threat.
Current thought is that the attack on pearl was less of a surprise to
Roosevelt's administration. There is evidence that the administration
knew of the approach of the Japanese carrieer force on Dec 2nd. Some
historians imply that Roosevelt saw it as his chance to unify America
behind all-out war. His goals were the destruction of Naziism and
the denmocratisation of all Europe.
Colin
|
642.81 | | 43GMC::KEITH | Dr. Deuce | Wed Mar 13 1996 14:37 | 14 |
| RE Germany a threat to America
There was the NY Bomber that was to bomb NY on a one way trip from
France and ditch in the ocean with the crew being picked up by sub.
The American hysterical affect would have been akin to the Doolittle
raid on Japan.
There was the V3 which was being worked on that could reach the US though
late in the war.
Steve
|
642.82 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Wed Mar 13 1996 14:38 | 3 |
| Meanwhile, back in Taiwan, China warned that they would not let any
U.S. ships enter Chinese waters. Does this include the water
surrounding Taiwan?
|
642.83 | | SMURF::BINDER | Manus Celer Dei | Wed Mar 13 1996 14:45 | 11 |
| .81
>There was the NY Bomber...
...would likely have been about as succsssful as the West Coast balloon
bombs.
And you can forget the V-3. The Nazis did not have access to technology
that was capable of producing an ICBM; nobody did until the 1950s. And
the German missile scientists working under Ley and von Braun were
deliberately NOT developing such powerful technology for Der F�hrer.
|
642.84 | | 43GMC::KEITH | Dr. Deuce | Wed Mar 13 1996 15:34 | 17 |
| Oh contraire
The NY bomber would have been VERY successful for psycological (sp)
reasons. Unlike the Japanese balloon bombs, these would have had an
impact on moral and political/war decisions. And unlike the balloon
bombs, it would have been piloted and aimed at a generalised target
NYC. Just like the Doolittle raid caused the Japanese to push for an
all or nothing showdown with the US (Midway), the NY Bomber would have
caused profound effect upon US war fighting policy.
The Germans were so far ahead of anyone else in rockets it took until
the early 50's before the US could basically duplicate what they had
done in WW2. I well remember seeing the 'tests' of the US missiles
(small ones at that) that most often failed.
Steve
|
642.85 | | SMURF::BINDER | Manus Celer Dei | Wed Mar 13 1996 16:45 | 37 |
| .84
> The NY bomber...
...would not likely have made it to these coasts. You are forgetting
that although the Luftwaffe had some four-engined transports, it had no
four-engined bombers because bombers that big were considered too large
and cumbersome for combat service. The Germans had little reason to
design aircraft for long-range service, given the geographical
constraints under which they were conducting their part of the war, and
as a result they did not well understand the technology required to
make a long-range bomber. The Allies had several highly successful
four-engined bombers, but even after the Germans had seen these planes
in service and had tasted the devastation of which they were capable,
there was still no four-engined bomber forthcoming from Germany.
> The Germans were so far ahead of anyone else in rockets...
...that the V-2 was considered a terror weapon, nothing more. Of
course the V-2 did damage in Britain, but with a range of only about 75
miles and a notoriously inadequate gyroscopic guidance system that had
to be preset and then just turned loose, it had no military value. The
technology of true inertial guidance was not even feasible until the
development of the transistor in 1948; inertially guided missiles
would simply have shaken their own computers into nothing during
launch. Add to that the fact that the Germans suffered a large number
of V-2 failures, even during the height of the terror bombing of London
- the V-2s would simply blow up on the pad, and it took a bloody long
time to discover that a simple belt around the fuel tank would solve
the problem. Getting an ICBM up through the stratosphere, over 3500
miles of ocean, and down within 100 miles of its target wasn't possible
until the '50s. Remember that we built upon the technology that von
Braun's people brought with them, and even with the Red menace, we
didn't have a workable ICBM until the Titan II. (Don't mention the
Atlas. I've heard off-the-record remarks by people who served at Atlas
sites, to the effect that if the button had been pushed while the Atlas
was our ICBM du jour, exactly zero would have gotten off their pads.)
|
642.86 | | 43GMC::KEITH | Dr. Deuce | Thu Mar 14 1996 07:04 | 15 |
| The DID design a NY Bomber. I have a picture of the proto in one of my
books. It would have done EXACTLY what they wanted to; cause a change in
war fighting policy, just like the Doolittle raid did and just like the
V1/V2 raids. The Allies went after the V1/V2 launch sites contrary to
what was the best way to defeat the germans on the ground. The bomber
was designed for a one way trip. It could easily have made it. Their 4
engined condor recon planes could probably have made it one way.
RE V2/V3's Lookt at the old news reels of our efforts in the 50's. I
remember them well in school seeing the rigs blow up on the launch pads
or going wild and having to be destroyed.
I guess we agree to disagree.
Steve
|
642.87 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Thu Mar 14 1996 07:12 | 3 |
| i believe thatt the NY bomber was designed for a one-way trip. the
Condor, which was a converted commercial airplane, could not have made
the trip (lacked the range).
|
642.88 | | 43GMC::KEITH | Dr. Deuce | Thu Mar 14 1996 07:15 | 3 |
| The Condors flew out to at least Iceland searching for convoys. The 1st
P38 kill was a Condor with the P38 flying from Iceland. I am pretty
sure it could have made it one way. It was however not a bomber.
|
642.89 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Thu Mar 14 1996 08:15 | 3 |
| Boy, that Binder fellah is GOOD.
For 2 points, where was the US mainland bombed in WWII?
|
642.90 | Japanese balloon bombs for $200, Alex... | GAAS::BRAUCHER | Welcome to Paradise | Thu Mar 14 1996 08:29 | 4 |
|
I know, I know !! Oregon and Washington state.
bb
|
642.91 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Thu Mar 14 1996 08:38 | 2 |
| And the man is correct! I guess severe disruption of the apple supply
would have brought the US to it's knees.
|
642.92 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Thu Mar 14 1996 09:18 | 1 |
| Take the WWII stuff to 203.
|
642.93 | | SOLVIT::KRAWIECKI | | Thu Mar 14 1996 09:53 | 4 |
|
The German bomber looker remarkably like our own B-29...
|
642.94 | | SMURF::BINDER | Manus Celer Dei | Thu Mar 14 1996 13:53 | 25 |
| .86
> The DID design a NY Bomber.
I didn't say they didn't (attempt to) design one. I said they didn't
produce one. A single proto does not a bomber make, and the existence
of a proto that has not been flown over a long distance does not begin
to prove that the design will be viable for that sort of mission - even
if you don't expect it to come back.
It's a LONG way from the first proto (actually more likely a nonflying
mockup - cf the Space Shuttle Enterprise) to a workable airplane. The
first B-29 down the runway augered straight into a Seattle meat packing
plant on its maiden flight, killing its crew. Problems of a major
nature were still being found with the B-29 nearly two years after the
first successful proto flight (an interesting story in its own right -
seems they forgot to lower the flaps on takeoff, but she took off
anyway).
The U-2 is one of the most successful designs ever flown; the very
first U-2 flew and landed safely, yet it wasn't remotely capable of
performing its assigned mission until significant changes were made.
All the trimming and fitting and refitting and redesigning takes time,
and the Germans had no time.
|
642.95 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Thu Mar 14 1996 13:55 | 5 |
| the U2 was also one of the most demanding designs to pilot. pilots
interviewed said you had to fly the thing every second or you'd get
in trouble.
that think came out of the skunk works, didn't it?
|
642.96 | | NOTIME::SACKS | Gerald Sacks ZKO2-3/N30 DTN:381-2085 | Thu Mar 14 1996 13:57 | 1 |
| Taiwan, people, Taiwan!
|
642.97 | | BUSY::SLABOUNTY | Don't like my p_n? 1-800-328-7448 | Thu Mar 14 1996 13:58 | 5 |
|
So it sounds like the U2 was a Bonofide handling nightmare that
kept you on the Edge of your seat. But no sense Mullen over it
after all this time, eh?
|
642.98 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Thu Mar 14 1996 14:17 | 2 |
| i believe the military is looking for the second generation U2
as we speak.
|
642.99 | | SMURF::BINDER | Manus Celer Dei | Thu Mar 14 1996 14:30 | 11 |
| The U-2 came from Kelly Johnson's Skunk Works.
> i believe the military is looking for the second generation U2...
The U-2 was not, is not, and never has been, a military plane. The
U-2s were built for, and owned by, the CIA, which is a civilian agency.
NASA, also a civilian agency, now owns some.
But the second-generation U-2 has come and gone. Also from the Skunk
Works, the Blackbird began life as the A-11, was quietly renamed the
YF-12A, and retired honorably from active service as the SR-71A.
|
642.100 | | CSLALL::HENDERSON | We shall behold Him! | Thu Mar 14 1996 14:45 | 3 |
|
Taisnarf!
|
642.101 | | 43GMC::KEITH | Dr. Deuce | Thu Mar 14 1996 14:50 | 12 |
| My B29 book tells of Eddy Allen chief Boeing test pilot who radioed
the Boeing tower that he was trying to make the Boeing field with 3
engines on fire. He didn't make. He ran into an office building.
You may be thinking of the 1st B17 were they forgot to unlock the
elevator, took off with a plane load of generals and killed them all.
Taiwan people Taiwan: A carrier group left the Persian Gulf. Will
Iran or Iraq try something...
Steve
|
642.102 | | DECWET::LOWE | Bruce Lowe, DECwest Eng., DTN 548-8910 | Thu Mar 14 1996 15:19 | 4 |
| > YF-12A, and retired honorably from active service as the SR-71A.
^^^^^^^ ^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
I understand they've de-mothballed 3 of them and are cranking them up again.
|
642.103 | | SMURF::BINDER | Manus Celer Dei | Thu Mar 14 1996 15:33 | 3 |
| .102
Yabba-dabba-do!
|
642.104 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Thu Mar 14 1996 15:34 | 1 |
| <- Going out to taiwan on in celebration?
|
642.105 | hmm - night use infrared ? | GAAS::BRAUCHER | Welcome to Paradise | Thu Mar 14 1996 15:34 | 6 |
|
I wonder why. They can see who comes in and out of your house
by satellite if there's no cloud cover. And I think they have
almost full coverage of the whole earth.
bb
|
642.106 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Fri Mar 15 1996 05:58 | 12 |
| depends on how define "military" her Binder. they were used extensively
in Viet Nam for military recon...
i looked up info on the Condor hoping to find its range. of course, out
of the 3000 planes listed with range data, there wasn't any for the Fw
200G.
it did tell me that it was adopted for use from Lufthansa in 1936 as a
bomber and fitted with doors. the first year it began to prowl the
Atlantic (1941 i believe) it did in 260k tons of shipping. as the
allied air arm gradually improved and could afford more protection to
convoys, the Condor quickly became an extinct species.
|
642.107 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Fri Mar 15 1996 09:59 | 14 |
| Musing last night, as I am wont to do, it struck me that all this stuff
about WWII and weaponry is not entirely off the point. As the US and
China both go into a round of sabre-rattling and showing the flag, it's
worth remembering the outcomes of previous wars. Poland handed over to
the Soviets, North Korea still communist, Viet Nam still communist.
China launched a US private comsat a few months ago, indicating that
they have reached a level of space technology that satisfies die-hard
wall street bankers and insurers. They also have nuclear weapons.
Perhaps the wise thing here is not to get started down that road but
pursue diplomacy and economic sanctions to the fullest extent.
Colin
|
642.108 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Fri Mar 15 1996 10:15 | 1 |
| But China isn't poised for world domination, Cuba is.
|
642.109 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Fri Mar 15 1996 10:46 | 1 |
| Oh, yeah - right. I forgot.
|
642.110 | | 43GMC::KEITH | Dr. Deuce | Fri Mar 15 1996 11:58 | 14 |
| Sabre rattling w/China reminded me of this...
The air war director for the Gulf War had commercials on NH TV this
primary season with a depiction of a missile launched from who knows
where aimed at the US. A USAF general calls the WH and tells the
person on the other end of the phone that there is an incoming missile.
The general then answers a question (not heard) from the other end of
the phone saying 'I can't shoot it down, we HAVE NO missile defense...'
The Gulf general then comes on the tube and says that he previously had
that job of informing the WH and that we should ask our candidates
their position on a missile defense.
Steve
|
642.111 | | MINNY::ZUMBUEHL | Gyroplane HB-YFM | Mon Mar 18 1996 05:14 | 5 |
| Range of the Focke-Wulf FW 200 C-3 Condor:
3930 miles / 3413 nautical miles with a bomb load of 3310 lbs
hth etc. & Co Ltd
|
642.112 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Mon Mar 18 1996 06:47 | 1 |
| -1 thanks...
|
642.113 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Mon Mar 18 1996 14:04 | 5 |
| China has suspended their testing for the time being due to extremely
bad weather in the waters off the island. Taiwanese forces have dug in
on the outlying islands in anticipation of a possible ground assault by
the communists. The effect this seems to be having is to make the
Taiwanese more contemptuous of the mainland.
|
642.114 | | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Tue Mar 19 1996 10:40 | 2 |
| Taiwanese residents of outlying islands are fleeing by the hundreds to
Taiwan in fear of an unlikely attack by Mainland forces.
|
642.115 | | LABC::RU | | Wed Mar 20 1996 00:09 | 28 |
|
I think China might take those small islands off the China's
coast just to save face. Because so far her military exercise has
no effect on Taiwan's election. President Lee is still the favorite
to win the election. US is doing the right thing to send fleet
there at the same time maintain a low key. In last Sunday's face the
nation, Secretary of state Christopher mentioned about China's
threat on attacking Los Angeles if US takes stand in the dispute.
Apparently he is not happy about it.
This is a delicate situation. US sent fleet there but not officially
taking on a side yet. I can't believe that President Clinton can behave
so perfect so far. It is obvious that US don't want a war with China
simply because there is no oil under Taiwan. But US is not ready to
give away Taiwan so easily. The most important weapon US has is
the Most favored nation status to China. US also can play Russia
or even Taiwan card. It is very simple. Just tell China that
US-China relationship is based on peaceful resolution of One China
dispute under the so call three 'Communicates'. If not so, US is
going to have official diplomatic relationship with Taiwan.
I remember US warship visited China port not too long ago. US
allowed Chinese to board the ship and take pictures. But China won't
allow taking picture of an old warship not too far away.
Jason
|
642.116 | | 43GMC::KEITH | Dr. Deuce | Wed Mar 20 1996 07:41 | 6 |
| I had not heard about the threat to LA. Again, what would the US do if
something came flying over from those crazies or others? Nothing, that
is what they would do because we cannot do a thing right now.
Some day we may have a 'Pearl Harbor' in LA or NYC or Boston because of
some crazy/stupid dictator.
|
642.117 | yup, right response | GAAS::BRAUCHER | Welcome to Paradise | Wed Mar 20 1996 08:49 | 6 |
|
Jason - amazing, for once I agree with you ! Sending the fleet,
and keeping low key are exactly right, and I credit the Clinton
administration so far. Christopher is turning out to be OK.
bb
|
642.118 | | MKOTS3::JMARTIN | Madison...5'2'' 95 lbs. | Wed Mar 20 1996 09:02 | 9 |
| Z Some day we may have a 'Pearl Harbor' in LA or NYC or Boston because
Z of some crazy/stupid dictator.
I hope it doesn't ever come to this. But if it does, please let it be
the Hollywood area.
|
642.119 | | EDSCLU::JAYAKUMAR | | Wed Mar 20 1996 09:03 | 12 |
| For a change, when something goes right, people do give credit to Clinton.
From a Chinese point of view, we should try to understand that Taiwan was
a part of China just less than 50 years ago. And apparently 90+% of Chinese
public (source NPR) do strongly believe that its time for Taiwan to unite. Not
that its aggressive stand is justified, but here in the western world we don't
get the whole story. I guess China considers Taiwan as something more than an
added economic benefit. China I guess is worried that one day Taiwan might
end up to be a cold-war-era-Cuba off its mainland, with missiles pointed towards
Peaking and Hongkong.
-Jk
|
642.120 | As reported over the weekend ... | BRITE::FYFE | Use it up, wear it out, make it do, or do without. | Wed Mar 20 1996 11:09 | 7 |
|
Taiwan was never part of China. Their claim on it is bogus.
When the Chinese elite fled the mainland communists to the
island it was not part of China.
|
642.121 | Formosa | HBAHBA::HAAS | floor,chair,couch,bed | Wed Mar 20 1996 11:56 | 2 |
| Yeah, it was Formosa and apparently they din't much appreciate being took
over.
|
642.122 | | ASABET::MCWILLIAMS | | Wed Mar 20 1996 12:16 | 8 |
| Taiwan/Formosa was annexed by the Japanese in 1895. At the end of WWII
it was to be a protectorate of China while the region's sovereignity
was sorted out. Unfortunately China's civil war broke out at that time
and it became unclear who could speak for China. Chang Kai Sheck and
the remains of the Kuomintang fled to the island and took over. It has
been over 100 years since China owned it.
/jim
|
642.123 | Short history of Taiwan | CONSLT::MCBRIDE | Keep hands & feet inside ride at all times | Wed Mar 20 1996 12:32 | 14 |
| Formosa was named such by the Portugese in 1590. It was inhabited by
aboriginal people of Malay descent until the 7th c. when mainland
Chinese settled there. The Dutch and Spanish established forts in the
early 1600's with the Dutch kicking the Spanish off in 1641. The
Chinese reconquered in the 1680's and held the island until 1895. The
Japanese claimed it after the 1st Sino-Japanese war. Japan lost it in
WWII. The U.S. sent a fleet to the Straits of Formosa in 1953 to
prevent an invasion. Taiwan lost the China seat in the U.N. in 1971
when it was given to the P.R.C. Carter announced we would no longer
support Taiwan in 1979 and Congress overrode this by pledging to come
to their ais in the event of an invasion. The U.S. agreed with Peking
to start reducing military aid in 1982.
Brian
|
642.124 | | COVERT::COVERT | John R. Covert | Wed Mar 20 1996 12:36 | 18 |
| Of course, Taiwan was Chinese for as long before 1895 as most other parts
of today's China.
Both the Communists in Peking and the Nationalists in Taipei agree that
Taiwan is currently part of China.
They disagree on whether the Communists or the Nationalists are the
legitimate government of China.
Lee seeks not formal independence but the ability of the Taiwanese
government to participate on their own behalf in international
organizations until reunification can be accomplished through
peaceful and democratic means.
For example, they don't even officially have a telephone country code!
"886" shows up in all lists as simply "not to be assigned".
/john
|
642.125 | yeah, right | GAAS::BRAUCHER | Welcome to Paradise | Mon Mar 25 1996 15:23 | 7 |
|
Well, the election result was no surprise. Two days after, the
PRC quietly "completed naval exercises". The USA has left two
carrier groups milling around in the South China Sea, "to demonstrate
US commitment to peace in the area".
bb
|
642.126 | | LABC::RU | | Thu Mar 28 1996 12:54 | 10 |
|
Basically Taiwan should be treated as south Korea or
west German before reunification. Currently President Lee
can not declare Taiwan independence, just because of China's
threat of invasion. So he has no choice to keep talking about
one China.
Even if Taiwan decided to get out of one China circus, China has
no right to invade. Do you think Canada will invade Quebac because
of thier separation.
|
642.127 | | SMURF::BINDER | Uva uvam vivendo variat | Thu Mar 28 1996 13:40 | 6 |
| .126
> China has
> no right to invade.
Right? We don't need no steenkin' rights here.
|
642.128 | | MKOTS3::JMARTIN | Madison...5'2'' 95 lbs. | Thu Mar 28 1996 14:32 | 5 |
| Z Do you think Canada will invade Quebac because
Z of thier separation.
If Canada has an ounce of common sense, they wouldn't. The only thing
good that came out of there is Scotty Bowman.
|
642.129 | and poutine | TROOA::BUTKOVICH | Chrisbert Inc. | Thu Mar 28 1996 14:58 | 1 |
|
|
642.130 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Fri Mar 29 1996 05:40 | 1 |
| -1 YES!
|
642.131 | 8^q | POWDML::HANGGELI | Little Chamber of Full Body Frisks | Sun Mar 31 1996 17:38 | 2 |
|
|
642.132 | | HIGHD::FLATMAN | Don't Care? Don't Know? Don't Vote! | Mon Apr 01 1996 12:48 | 9 |
| RE: .126
> Even if Taiwan decided to get out of one China circus, China has
> no right to invade. Do you think Canada will invade Quebac because
> of thier separation.
Do you think that Lincoln had a right to invade the Confederate Union?
-- Dave
|
642.133 | | BIGQ::SILVA | Mr. Logo | Mon Apr 01 1996 12:50 | 3 |
|
Yes, they did a bad thing.
|
642.134 | | MKOTS3::JMARTIN | Madison...5'2'' 95 lbs. | Mon Apr 01 1996 13:17 | 10 |
| ZZ Do you think that Lincoln had a right to invade the Confederate Union?
No, he did not. The Civil War was an unnecessary event in our history.
Bloodshed had already been committed by the North before the Fort
Sumter incident. Marshall law had been enforced by the North,
provoking a conflict. Had the South been allowed to secede, they would
have eventually realized the futility of their secession and rejoined
the union.
-Jack
|
642.135 | | SMURF::BINDER | Uva uvam vivendo variat | Mon Apr 01 1996 16:05 | 32 |
| .132
> Do you think that Lincoln had a right to invade the Confederate Union?
No.
The 10th Amendment to the Constitution specifically reserves to the
States, and to the people, all powers not explicitly delegated to the
federal government or prohibited to the States by the Constitution, and
the 9th Amendment specifically reserves to the people rights not
explicitly enumerated in the Constitution.
There is no Constitutional provision disallowing the right of the
several States to secede from the Union, and in fact there is precedent
for just such an act in the American Revolution. The Declaration of
Independence enshrines the right of a people to separate themselves
from an onerous government, stating that all governments derive their
just powers from the consent of the governed.
The Confederate States were within their rights to secede, either
singly or collectively. The concern, legally speaking, that arose from
their secession was the return of movable U.S. property within the
territory of the Confederacy and just compensation for all immovable
property. The proper response, then, would have been a diplomatic one
to negotiate the terms of such recompense. Failure of the Confederacy
to accept a mission of that type could, after due escalation through
diplomatic channels, be considered cause to go to war. The United
States pursued no such diplomatic course; it lallygagged around waving
provocative violations of Confederate sovereignty in the South's face
until the Confederates finally fired on Fort Sumter.
The United States was grievously at fault in the entire affair.
|
642.136 | | DECWET::LOWE | Bruce Lowe, DECwest Eng., DTN 548-8910 | Mon Apr 01 1996 17:42 | 13 |
| re: -.1
> ... The Declaration of
> Independence enshrines the right of a people to separate themselves
> from an onerous government, ...
So all 50 states could secede from the District of Columbia? Big win!
re: -.2
> ... Had the South been allowed to secede, they would
> have eventually realized the futility of their secession and rejoined
> the union.
Upon what do you base this conclusion?
|
642.137 | | EST::RANDOLPH | Tom R. N1OOQ | Mon Apr 01 1996 17:46 | 6 |
| > Upon what do you base this conclusion?
International economic and social pressure would have pretty much forced the
Confederacy to abandon slavery within a couple of decades, anyway.
|
642.138 | | DECWET::LOWE | Bruce Lowe, DECwest Eng., DTN 548-8910 | Mon Apr 01 1996 18:19 | 8 |
| Maybe so, but after 20 years, they would have their own country, their own
government, bureaucracy (sp?), i.e., lots of intertia for the status quo.
Re-unification would invoke a lot of transitional upset from what would
probably be a state of relative stability.
Are there other precedents in history in which this has happened?
(its all just 2nd guessing anyway)
|
642.139 | | MKOTS3::JMARTIN | Madison...5'2'' 95 lbs. | Mon Apr 01 1996 18:19 | 5 |
| ZZZ Upon what do you base this conclusion?
Slavery was pretty much on its way out anyway. The South did not have
any strong industry or infrastructure...except for farming and cotton.
|
642.140 | | EVMS::MORONEY | while (!asleep) sheep++; | Mon Apr 01 1996 18:32 | 14 |
| re .138:
East Germany.
re .139:
What if the South left, slavery failed but the South decided to stay out of the
US because the (rest of the) US passed many laws that would be unpopular in the
South. Laws that wouldn't have passed Congress with the Southern states still
present. Also they may be afraid of "punishment" by the North for leaving
the Union. Perhaps they could have stuck it out, as a pariah nation like
South Africa, with slavery legal even if not so popular (perhaps people would
just have a few slave servants even if the plantations with zillions of slaves
went by the wayside)
|
642.141 | | DECWET::LOWE | Bruce Lowe, DECwest Eng., DTN 548-8910 | Mon Apr 01 1996 18:58 | 4 |
| re: East Germany
To me this comparison does not seem valid. Germany was not a voluntary split
with deep economic and cultural differences at the root.
|
642.142 | | EVMS::MORONEY | while (!asleep) sheep++; | Mon Apr 01 1996 19:26 | 11 |
| Seems valid to me. East and West Germany were split for 40 years, with vast
economic differences (communism vs. capitalism) by the time of reunification,
and while the same culture at the start they were pulled in different
directions for 40 years One was in the Western European sphere while the other
firmly in the Soviet bloc.
Taiwan and mainland China has the same economic differences (communism vs.
capitalism) and while I don't know how much cultural differences there was
between Mainland China and Taiwan it probably isn't any more between various
provinces of the mainland. Also Taiwan was essentially invaded by mainland
supporters of Chang Kai-Shek (apologies for mangling his name so badly)
|
642.143 | | SPECXN::CONLON | | Mon Apr 01 1996 19:41 | 22 |
| The people of Taiwan speak a different language than those on mainland
China. I'd say that's a pretty significant cultural difference.
The various provinces in China used to speak different languages as
well, but they were forced to unify to one common language by the
Communists over the years, pretty much (Mandarin).
Those in Hong Kong speak a different language, too (Cantonese.)
According to a friend from Hong Kong, the languages are markedly
different (although the writing is the same.)
When the Berlin Wall came down, some Germans said that it was easy
to spot East Berliners who came over to West Berlin. They spoke
perfect German, of course, but they looked completely lost. (In one
documentary, some Germans made this comment in a coffee shop and the
camera turned to the window to show a man standing outside who looked
like he'd been dropped onto a different planet. He just stood in one
spot, looking around in utter confusion.)
It's got to be easier to unify countries if they still speak the same
language at least, no?
|
642.144 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Mon Apr 01 1996 19:42 | 3 |
| The answer is yes.
Although Canada is officially unified, it is divided linguistically.
|
642.145 | | SPECXN::CONLON | | Mon Apr 01 1996 19:49 | 9 |
| RE: .144 Glenn
> Although Canada is officially unified, it is divided linguistically.
Canada is 'unified' as the status quo (and a very fragile status quo,
at that.)
If Canada ever divides itself into two countries, the language
differences would make it more difficult to re-unify later, IMO.
|
642.146 | | HIGHD::FLATMAN | Don't Care? Don't Know? Don't Vote! | Mon Apr 01 1996 19:51 | 17 |
| RE: .133
> Yes, they did a bad thing.
And if in China's eyes Taiwan did a "bad thing" (like declaring their
independence) then would that justify an invasion by China?
RE: .139
> Slavery was pretty much on its way out anyway. The South did not have
> any strong industry or infrastructure...except for farming and cotton.
Aren't you making the [faulty] assumption that slavery was one of the
main reasons that the South left the Union?
-- Dave
|
642.147 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Mon Apr 01 1996 19:51 | 3 |
| Impossible, I would say.
|
642.148 | | WMOIS::GIROUARD_C | | Tue Apr 02 1996 07:56 | 4 |
| Jack, you fairy tale view of what would have happened if armed
intervention hadn't taken place was very amusing.
so tell me, Jean Dixon give you this?
|
642.149 | | MKOTS3::JMARTIN | Madison...5'2'' 95 lbs. | Tue Apr 02 1996 10:20 | 20 |
| Chip:
The exemption of southerners fighting in the civil war was a poultry
1%. The reason this one percent was exempt was because they were the
rich elite of the south who provided funding for armaments.
Consequently, they were also the high majority of slave owners in the
south. Therefore, it seems reasonable that the passion of soldiers in
battle had very little to do with slavery, but more to do with states
rights. Slavery was becoming an unpopular commodity as it was during
the early 1860's.
Bottom line is the infrastructure of the south at that time was cotton
and farming. The north had all the industry and therefore, trade with
the north as a sovereign southern union would most likely have been
squelched economically...unless attitudes quickly changed or unless
England and France developed very strong trade policies with the
south. Dixie may very well have remained a sovereign nation but they
would have most likely been a nomad entity.
-Jack
|
642.150 | | MKOTS3::JMARTIN | Madison...5'2'' 95 lbs. | Tue Apr 02 1996 10:22 | 7 |
| ZZ It's got to be easier to unify countries if they still speak the same
ZZ language at least, no?
Suzanne, I am delighted that you portray good common sense here. I
brought forth this notion in the Bilingual Education topic and the
naysayers in here...the elitists without credentials (EWC) poo poo'd
the very thought.
|
642.151 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Tue Apr 02 1996 10:43 | 19 |
|
>England and France developed very strong trade policies with the
>south. Dixie may very well have remained a sovereign nation but they
England already had a very strong trade with the South. The bulk of
cotton for the Lancashire cotton mills came from England, and England
initially supported the South's right to secede. There was very nearly
a fight over the blockades between England and the North.
It's quite possible that if the war had ended in stalemate the South
would still have remained a strong trading partner with England.
However, as the war progressed and slavery became an issue, English
abolishionists won the propaganda battle and forced a neutral stance.
Not neutral enough for the Union. After the war, the US Govt. sued
England for interference and won, extracting $17million in damages.
Colin
|
642.152 | | SMURF::BINDER | Uva uvam vivendo variat | Tue Apr 02 1996 10:51 | 12 |
| Had the South won the American Civil War, it is highly likely that
Robert E. Lee would have been elected President of the CSA to succeed
the unpopular Jefferson Davis. Lee was, although technically a
slaveowner, opposed to slavery and in his writings expressed the
opinion that it would be better done away with. He would probably have
offered a "time-release" plan of compensation to slaveowners for their
losses. The economy of the CSA would have been rebuilt largely through
trade with Britain and France, the United States remaining embittered
and aloof for some time, and it is likely that mechanization would have
played a large part; clearly, slavery was no longer economical on its
former scale, nor was it politically sound in the broadening world of
the last quarter of the 19th century.
|
642.153 | | POLAR::RICHARDSON | Alrighty, bye bye then. | Tue Apr 02 1996 11:05 | 4 |
| Robert E. Lee was quite a man. Too bad he picked the losing side.
Instead, the Union Army wound up with McClellan. What a loser he was.
The war probably could have been won in the first encounter. He didn't
have the guts to make the big move.
|
642.154 | | NOTIME::SACKS | Gerald Sacks ZKO2-3/N30 DTN:381-2085 | Tue Apr 02 1996 11:09 | 1 |
| Taiwan, people, Taiwan!
|
642.155 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Tue Apr 02 1996 11:14 | 1 |
| Lee is a good ol' Taiwanese name.
|
642.156 | | NOTIME::SACKS | Gerald Sacks ZKO2-3/N30 DTN:381-2085 | Tue Apr 02 1996 11:15 | 1 |
| So Robert E. Lee was from southern Taiwan?
|
642.157 | | SMURF::WALTERS | | Tue Apr 02 1996 11:19 | 1 |
| I'll have to chek.
|
642.158 | | MKOTS3::JMARTIN | Madison...5'2'' 95 lbs. | Tue Apr 02 1996 11:33 | 9 |
| Actually, Robert E Lee at one time lead Union troops against a renegade
extremist abolitionist named John Brown. Brown was the John Salvi of
the 1800's. He attacked and killed members of a town in Missouri whom
he thought were pro slavery...only to find out later they were mostly
abolistionists as well. Brown turned up in Virginia and occupied an
armory. Lee lead the charge against Brown. THis was one of the
skirmishes that went on before the war broke out.
-Jack
|
642.159 | | SMURF::BINDER | Uva uvam vivendo variat | Tue Apr 02 1996 11:59 | 7 |
| LED, Jack, LED. Not lead.
Lee was one of the best generals the US Army had until the ACW forced
him to choose between fighting for his homeland or fighting for a
remote government that was attacking his homeland. As any sane man
would do in such a dilemma, he chose to protect his homeland. But he
did not do so without a great deal of soul-searching.
|
642.160 | | MKOTS3::JMARTIN | Madison...5'2'' 95 lbs. | Tue Apr 02 1996 12:00 | 2 |
| I just meant that Lee put lead into Browns gut. I'm surprised you
didn't perceive this.
|
642.161 | | LANDO::OLIVER_B | april is the coolest month | Tue Apr 02 1996 12:01 | 1 |
| lee was also wickit handsome.
|
642.162 | | SPECXN::CONLON | | Tue Apr 02 1996 12:39 | 9 |
| RE: .150 Jack Martin
>> It's got to be easier to unify countries if they still speak the same
>> language at least, no?
> Suzanne, I am delighted that you portray good common sense here.
I hope you do realize that I was talking about two separate countries
trying to unify to become one country.
|
642.163 | | NOTIME::SACKS | Gerald Sacks ZKO2-3/N30 DTN:381-2085 | Tue Apr 02 1996 12:42 | 11 |
| > The people of Taiwan speak a different language than those on mainland
> China. I'd say that's a pretty significant cultural difference.
>
> The various provinces in China used to speak different languages as
> well, but they were forced to unify to one common language by the
> Communists over the years, pretty much (Mandarin).
>
> Those in Hong Kong speak a different language, too (Cantonese.)
I believe there are a number of errors here, but I'm too unknowledgable
(and too lazy) to refute them.
|
642.164 | | MKOTS3::JMARTIN | Madison...5'2'' 95 lbs. | Tue Apr 02 1996 13:10 | 4 |
| ZZ I hope you do realize that I was talking about two separate countries
ZZ trying to unify to become one country.
Uh huh....multiculturalism....yeah?
|
642.165 | | EDSCLU::JAYAKUMAR | | Tue Apr 02 1996 13:28 | 12 |
| >> The people of Taiwan speak a different language than those on mainland
>> China. I'd say that's a pretty significant cultural difference.
Suzzane,
Not quite. India has several languages, with *totally* different alphabets, but
hardly any cultural difference. But may be thats because of a single religion,
which make up most of the culture per se.
But you are absolutely right, in saying unifying is much easier when people
speak the same language.
-Jk
|
642.166 | | ACISS2::LEECH | UNofficial 'box NCAA pool winner | Tue Apr 02 1996 14:26 | 5 |
| .150
> ...the elitists without credentials (EWC) poo poo'd the very thought.
Does this make the EWC's poop factories?
|
642.167 | | LANDO::OLIVER_B | april is the coolest month | Tue Apr 02 1996 14:43 | 1 |
| Privatize poop factories! Now!
|
642.168 | | NOTIME::SACKS | Gerald Sacks ZKO2-3/N30 DTN:381-2085 | Tue Apr 02 1996 14:50 | 2 |
| So you're against government support of cats? Eliminate AFDC (Aid for Families
with Dependent Cats)!
|
642.169 | | BIGQ::SILVA | Mr. Logo | Tue Apr 02 1996 16:12 | 33 |
| ___ ___
/\__\ /| |
/:/ _/_ ___ |:| | ___ ___
/:/ /\ \ /\__\ |:| | /\__\ /| |
/:/ /::\ \ /:/__/ __|:|__| /:/ / |:| |
/:/_/:/\:\__\ /::\ \ /::::\__\_____ /:/__/ |:| |
\:\/:/ /:/ / \/\:\ \__ ~~~~\::::/___/ /::\ \ __|:|__|
\::/ /:/ / ~~\:\/\__\ |:|~~| /:/\:\ \ /::::\ \
\/_/:/ / \::/ / |:| | \/__\:\ \ ~~~~\:\ \
/:/ / /:/ / |:|__| \:\__\ \:\__\
\/__/ \/__/ |/__/ \/__/ \/__/
___ ___ ___
/\ \ /\ \ /\__\
\:\ \ ___ \:\ \ /:/ _/_
\:\ \ /\__\ \:\ \ /:/ /\__\
_____\:\ \ /:/__/ _____\:\ \ /:/ /:/ _/_
/::::::::\__\ /::\ \ /::::::::\__\ /:/_/:/ /\__\
\:\~~\~~\/__/ \/\:\ \__ \:\~~\~~\/__/ \:\/:/ /:/ /
\:\ \ ~~\:\/\__\ \:\ \ \::/_/:/ /
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\:\__\ /:/ / \:\__\ \::/ /
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/\__\ /\ \ /\ \ /\ \ /\__\
/:/ _/_ \:\ \ /::\ \ /::\ \ /:/ _/_
/:/ /\ \ \:\ \ /:/\:\ \ /:/\:\__\ /:/ /\__\
/:/ /::\ \ _____\:\ \ /:/ /::\ \ /:/ /:/ / /:/ /:/ /
/:/_/:/\:\__\ /::::::::\__\ /:/_/:/\:\__\ /:/_/:/__/___ /:/_/:/ /
\:\/:/ /:/ / \:\~~\~~\/__/ \:\/:/ \/__/ \:\/:::::/ / \:\/:/ /
\::/ /:/ / \:\ \ \::/__/ \::/~~/~~~~ \::/__/
\/_/:/ / \:\ \ \:\ \ \:\~~\ \:\ \
/:/ / \:\__\ \:\__\ \:\__\ \:\__\
\/__/ \/__/ \/__/ \/__/ \/__/
|
642.170 | Please, Chiang didn't invade Taiwan! | LABC::RU | | Thu Apr 11 1996 18:49 | 6 |
|
The people of Taiwan and China has the same official speaking and
written language. Only the dialects are different. It is the
same political ideology separate German, Korea and China. I heard
report from China that the communist is so impressed with the American
aircraft carriers, so the government decided to get one at all costs.
|
642.171 | | VAX5::MORONEY | while (!asleep) sheep++; | Thu Apr 11 1996 19:06 | 8 |
| > I heard
> report from China that the communist is so impressed with the American
> aircraft carriers, so the government decided to get one at all costs.
Impressed with American aircraft carriers, or aircraft carriers in general?
If aircraft carriers in general, too bad for them since the ex-USSR was
desparately looking to unload a couple a few years back.
|
642.172 | | EDITEX::MOORE | GetOuttaMyChair | Fri Apr 12 1996 02:15 | 4 |
|
Maybe we should send the whole fleet.
|
642.173 | aircraft business to France | GAAS::BRAUCHER | Welcome to Paradise | Fri Apr 12 1996 10:18 | 6 |
|
The Chinese just signed a big aircraft contract with Airbus,
snubbing Boeing. It's being interpreted as a foreign policy
decision, to send us a signal.
bb
|
642.174 | | LABC::RU | | Wed Feb 26 1997 14:51 | 19 |
|
Here is some news regarding Taiwan.
James Woods, the former AIT(American Institute in Taiwan) director, had
news conference couple days ago in Washington accusting many wrong
doing in AIT office in Taiwan. The allegations are missing of funds
(3.5Million), solicit money in return for issuing of US visa, sexual
harassment of woman(rape) in exchange for issuing of US visa. Those
allegations are many years old. And the previous director denies
thus things ever happened. However, Woods was in the process of
investigating it when he was forced to resign in January. The
state department said Woods was involved in soliciting donations
for Democratic in his Taiwan trips and is under justice department
investigation. And said Woods' performance failed to live up to
the standard of diplomat.
Seems to me all those dirty things happened in the past. And the
state department was/is involved in cover-up. These things really
make U.S. looks bad aboard.
|