T.R | Title | User | Personal Name | Date | Lines |
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2492.1 | Business Cycles | ELMAGO::JMORALES | | Tue May 11 1993 14:47 | 28 |
| Short Term versus Long Term Focus.
You hit one of the key issues concerning corporations. Where the
focus is. Right now short term (like the next quarter). No one
is talking about Business Cycles. The Economic Business Cycles,
as far as I know are four, we are in a recession (or has been).
Recession/depressions are not forever, this one has been one of the
longest, but sooner or latter it will end. What will happen with
those companies (as DEC, IBM, GM, etc., etc., etc.) who layed-off
1,000's of employees.....my best guess, they'll loose valuable
resources when they can not afford it because their already low
manpower will be needed urgently and any attrition will be devastating
due to the 'learning curve factor'. This learning curve factor,
specially in highly technical and specialized industries, claims that
an employees is in 'training' its first one/two years and yields
positive returns in the third year. So, these industries will have a
double hit: people going out the door to 'better' jobs and fewer people
training new recruits while having an increase demand for their
products. The picture is clear, you will leave customers waiting
for your product/service because you don't have enough trained
resources to meet increasing customer needs. A very weak position to
be in. The winners, will be those companies that have a motivated
and flexible workforce ready to meet those customer needs, with
quality goods.
In bad economic times, a company can do whatever they want with
employees, there are too few places to go to, when the economic
business cycle improves, its the other way around, employees ability
to move will permeate the way companies 'behave'.
|
2492.2 | | EVMS::GODDARD | | Tue May 11 1993 15:43 | 12 |
| >>I discovered that DEC's reputation as a place to work is
>>no longer good.
How did you determine this? Comments of the students, faculty,?.
What reasons were given? Where did they get their info...the grapevine?
How bad is 'no longer good'?
>>Where will the new blood come from now?
Why do you think DEC is looking for (or even wants) 'new blood'.
There's still an abundance of 'old blood' they're still trying to
unload. Its not clear that DEC is going in any direction really.
So, there's not much need to hire someone new when you can flounder
with your current workforce.
|
2492.3 | Maybe it will only be modified | ANGLIN::ROGERS | | Tue May 11 1993 15:56 | 37 |
| The only thing I heard the Palmeister say was that he would not support
a package better than IBM's, mentioning their cap of 26 weeks. A cap
of 26 weeks would have no effect on 80% of our employees. (The 80%
number is made up). My expectation is for them to whittle down the
Tiff-So package again, but continue it at least for the next quarter or
two.
The re-org is proceeding faster than we could have expected, but behind
their stated deadlines. In addition, it is inevitable that it will
take a few months for the effect of all the changes to roll through the
company; then the fine-tuning will begin.
For U.S. sales people, it looks sensible to have people stay at work
through Q4 and have the last major round of Tiff-So a bit later, after
the CBU's get a better handle on how things have shaken out. For the
rest of the company, there will still be the need to fine-tune. Both
assumptions lead you to expect some version of the package to remain,
even though most of the cuts have been made.
Re: .1
I agree we would lose productivity if we had to ramp up again in the
next positive swing of the business cycle. But what if we slowly sink
into another mild recession and stay there for two years? Or what if
the fundamental changes to our industry mean that we have to continue
to cut forces even in an up-cycle?
And there is one off-setting benefit to the loss of experienced people.
If we do have to grow later, we could increase the percentage of "new
blood" in the company. One of the things that lead to our troubles was
insularity. We simply had too many people who had worked only here,
and had no idea how things were done elsewhere. This leads quickly to
complacency, NIH, and a slow response to changing market realities.
P.S. - not to be blase about the human costs. Like everyone else, I
have no idea if I will have a job here. But you have to do the
business analysis cooly and dispassionately.
|
2492.4 | Probably 0% unaffected | MR4DEC::HARRIS | Cent milliards d'�toiles | Wed May 12 1993 14:23 | 8 |
| Re .3:
Remember, the TFSO "cap" is now 52 weeks. A new cap of 26 weeks means
a reduction of 50 percent in maximum severance. I would expect EVERYONE
who faces TFSO after Q4 to see a similar percentage drop as compared
with the current package.
Mac
|
2492.5 | | THEBAY::CHABANED | SBS is a crime against mankind | Wed May 12 1993 14:59 | 14 |
|
I wish this smaller "cap" had come sooner. I think I'm more upset by
the stories of people ready for retirement getting nearly 2 years of
severance and still collecting pensions. This is after having a very
good career at a Digital that was a low-stress high-paying employer.
Imagine how those of us born after 1960 felt when we saw our colleagues
(some of whom had skills Digital needs desperately) get a few weeks
severance and a pat on the head.
-Ed_from_Generation_X
|
2492.6 | To use or not to use vacation | VMSNET::STEFFENSEN | | Wed May 12 1993 15:16 | 7 |
|
I have a question that someone out in noteland could probally answer.
Does the X number of weeks cap include accrued vacation time or not?
Ken
|
2492.7 | IBM as a role model ... only sometimes | SCAACT::RESENDE | Subvert the dominant paradigm. | Wed May 12 1993 17:42 | 18 |
| re: .3
> The only thing I heard the Palmeister say was that he would not support
> a package better than IBM's, mentioning their cap of 26 weeks. A cap
> of 26 weeks would have no effect on 80% of our employees. (The 80%
I can not help but be amused at the selective application of "IBM standards" to
our corporate decision-making process. So we can't do TFSO more than IBM's
equivalent.
How about limiting our healthcare programs to IBM's .... no payroll deductions
for employees or their immediate families? Far better than the directions
we've been headed with HealthNet and the HMOs and demise of the DMPs.
Of course I'm not seriously suggesting Digital expend the monies to do this ...
just pointing out the selective nature of using IBM as our role model as a
corporation.
|
2492.8 | | ICS::CROUCH | Subterranean Dharma Bum | Thu May 13 1993 08:13 | 8 |
| Yes, IBM has been a good example of a role model to follow lately.
Maybe we can try their previous no layoff policy. Shutdown a site,
move it as far away as possible and tell those who'd like a job
they'll have to move to the new site. Some do, many don't and the
wanted downsizing occurs. Right, more IBMisms don't hep up my morale.
Jim C.
|
2492.9 | Good Guess Jim | SMURF::WALTERS | | Thu May 13 1993 09:23 | 8 |
| re -1
Been there, done that - in Digital Japan according to a former
colleague there. (Now Apple Japan is benefitting from her considerable
skills...)
Colin
|
2492.10 | What a waste of our "most valuable resourse". | ISEQ::BCORRIGAN | | Fri May 14 1993 06:20 | 4 |
| re .8
Perfect example, Digital Galway. Lots of talent going elsewhere.
Minimal interest in relocating with the company.
|
2492.11 | | SPEZKO::BELFORTI | P-name set hidden | Sat May 15 1993 12:01 | 10 |
| RE: .6 Ken
No! The "package" is whatever Digital determines... PLUS your
vacation time (and Choice/Personal holiday if you haven't taken it
yet).
My former boss just got TFSOed and he had the max on vaca he could...
then was told that during the 7 weeks he was in transition it would
continue to accrue. He now loses out on an additional 21.56 hours that
he could have used!
|
2492.12 | Planning just in case! | VMSNET::STEFFENSEN | | Mon May 17 1993 09:48 | 6 |
| RE:.11
Thanks!
Ken
|