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Conference 7.286::sports_90

Title:OURGNG::SPORTS - Digital's daily tabloid
Notice:Please review note 1.83 before writing anything.
Moderator:VAXWRK::NEEDLE
Created:Thu Dec 14 1989
Last Modified:Fri Dec 17 1993
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:438
Total number of notes:50420

14.0. "NFL Playoff Picture 1989" by JUPITR::MOK (Charles P. Mok) Fri Dec 15 1989 00:52

NFC East

Eagles (10-4)
	12/18/89 2100 Philadelphia    New Orleans
	12/24/89 1300 Phoenix	      Philadelphia

Giants (10-4)
	12/16/89 1230 Dallas	      NY Giants
	12/24/89 1300 LA Raiders      NY Giants

Redskins (8-6)
	12/17/89 1600 Washington      Atlanta
	12/23/89 1600 Washington      Seattle

NFC Central

Vikings (9-5)
	12/17/89 1300 Minnesota       Cleveland
	12/25/89 2100 Cincinnati      Minnesota

Packers (8-6)
	12/17/89 1300 Green Bay       Chicago
	12/24/89 1300 Green Bay       Dallas

NFC West

49ers (12-2)
	12/17/89 1600 Buffalo	      San Francisco
	12/24/89 1600 Chicago	      San Francisco

Rams (9-5)
	12/17/89 1600 NY Jets	      LA Rams
	12/24/89 1300 LA Rams	      New England

AFC East

Bills (8-6)
	12/17/89 1600 Buffalo	      San Francisco
	12/23/89 1230 Buffalo	      NY Jets

Dolphins (8-6)
	12/17/89 1300 Miami	      Indianapolis
	12/24/89 1300 Kansas City     Miami

Colts (7-7)
	12/17/89 1300 Miami	      Indianapolis
	12/24/89 1300 Indianapolis    New Orleans

AFC Central

Oilers (9-5)
	12/17/89 1300 Houston	      Cincinnati
	12/23/89 2000 Cleveland       Houston

Browns (7-6-1)
	12/17/89 1300 Minnesota       Cleveland
	12/23/89 2000 Cleveland       Houston

Bengals (7-7)
	12/17/89 1300 Houston	      Cincinnati
	12/25/89 2100 Cincinnati      Minnesota

Steelers (7-7)
	12/17/89 1300 New England     Pittsburgh
	12/24/89 1300 Pittsburgh      Tampa Bay

AFC West

Broncos (10-4)
	12/16/89 1600 Denver	      Phoenix
	12/24/89 1600 Denver	      San Diego

Raiders (8-6)
	12/17/89 2000 LA Raiders      Seattle
	12/24/89 1300 LA Raiders      NY Giants

Chiefs (7-6-1)
	12/17/89 1300 San Diego       Kansas City
	12/24/89 1300 Kansas City     Miami
                                           
T.RTitleUserPersonal
Name
DateLines
14.2Hawks still in itRIPPLE::DEVLIN_JOYabba Dabba DoooooFri Dec 15 1989 10:2212
    Charles,
    
    Believe it or not, the Seattle Seahawks are still in the playoff
    hunt, even though 6-8.  Sure, a ton of things have to happen, but
    for accuracy sake, the 'Hawks are still in it in the AFC West.
    
    And don't even think about asking me what has to happen for them
    to make it, but I think they have a better chance clearing the Ballard
    Locks of  the steelhead depleting California Sea Lions than the
    Hawks making the 'offs.
    
    JD
14.3Carryover from ASABET::SPORTSCSCOA3::ROLLINS_RFri Dec 15 1989 11:5436
================================================================================
Note 327.34              NFL Playoff Picture 1989 Season                34 of 36
NAC::G_WAUGAMAN                                      44 lines  14-DEC-1989 18:04
                          -< This is getting fun... >-
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

> Also, if the Redskins lose *any* game, they *are* eliminated, even if it's 
> the non-conference game.  If the Redskins, Packers, and Rams are tied at 
> 9-7, the Pack drops out with only a 9-5 conference record (Wash/LA at 8-4) 
> and the Rams win the above tie-breaker.  If the Redskins, Vikings, and Rams 
> are tied at 9-7 with 8-4 conference records, common opponents looks like:

> Common Opp		WASH		MINN		LA

> Chicago		1-0		1-1		0-1
> NY Giants		0-2		0-1		1-0
> Atlanta		1-0		1-0		2-0
>			---		---		---
>			2-2		2-2		3-1

> L.A. wins the tie-breaker, Washington and Minnesota go home...

================================================================================
Note 327.36              NFL Playoff Picture 1989 Season                36 of 36
LUDWIG::JAMES                                        11 lines  14-DEC-1989 23:07
                -< a highly unlikely scenario, but here it is >-
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
>    re -.2
>    Except common opponents has a minimum of four games. So in the event
>    of a three way 9-7 tie between the Redskins, the Vikings, and the
>    Rams, it would go to net point in conference games. Since the Redskins
>    still have one conference game to play, this is still undetermined.
    
     Hmm, 2+2=4, 2+2=4, 3+1=4.  Which of the three teams doesn't meet the
     minimum criterion of 4 games against common opponents.  Remember, it's
     four GAMES, not four opponents.
14.4LA out?34905::WIERSBECKWinter basically stinks!Fri Dec 15 1989 15:306
    I can't see how the Rams would get in over the Vikes in a tie-breaker.
    The Vikes beat LA this year in their only meeting.  I'm pretty sure
    head-to-head is the first tie-breaker.
    
    
    Spud
14.5CSCOA3::ROLLINS_RFri Dec 15 1989 15:464
	In a three-way tie between Minnesota, LA, and Washington, the
	head-to-head situation is enforced only if one opponent has
	beaten BOTH of the other two teams it is tied with.  Otherwise,
	this criterion is just skipped.
14.6CSC32::J_HERNANDEZThe DevilDog Will Hunt You DownFri Dec 15 1989 15:473
    re -1 
    Doesn't matter, the Vikes will win the central. Hell, they play
    CLEVELAND!!!
14.7HTHRIGEL4::JBONNOFri Dec 15 1989 15:526
    Devil dog
    
    Please refer to 35.6.  This may clear up all the hallucinations you are
    experiencing right now.
    
    jab
14.8Bring On The Clowns !QUASER::HUNTERJack&#039;s Diner, No Brains, No ServiceFri Dec 15 1989 16:1217
     I think the Devil Dog is right on target with his last statement,
    hell, the Jesters could beat the Clowns at this stage of the season.
    the Clowns are absolutly terrible and they will continue to get worse.
    count on the Clowns being home for Chirstmas.......  I'm talking to
    you, Growner !!
    
    
    Big Game
    
    
    p.s.  All this and the fact is, I'd like to see the Clowns and the
    	  Packers win.....  That would put the Pack back in a tie with 
    	  the Dykes and in the position to win the division.
    
    
    
    
14.9Browns control own destinySNDCSL::HAUSRATHWho,Stones in &#039;89. Zep in &#039;90Mon Dec 18 1989 08:145
    
    RE: Devil dog and Big-Joke Hunter..  I expect to see both of you in the
    Crow Cafe...  if it doesn't exist yet, why don't you create it.  
    
    Bon-Apetite
14.11AFC Playoff tie-breakersNAC::G_WAUGAMANMon Dec 18 1989 09:1499
Okay, as promised, the AFC playoff possibilities computer whirred into 
action last night during the Raiders-Seahawks game, and when the 'Hawks 
obliged by knocking off the previously playoff-bound Raiders, what was 
left was the most complex playoff scenario in NFL history.  Ten teams can 
still make the playoffs, and each of the ten can still be eliminated.  
Denver remains as the only team with a playoff berth.

First the easy stuff (teams controlling own destiny):

- Buffalo wins the AFC East with a win over the NY Jets
- Cleveland-Houston winner is the AFC Central champ
- Indianapolis clinches at least a Wild Card with a win over New Orleans


Now the hard stuff:

- Cleveland can make the Wild Card even with a loss if two of three teams 
	lose from *each* of the following groups: 
		o Buff, Indy, Miami
		o Cinci, Pitt, LA

- Kansas City can make the Wild Card with a win over Miami if 
		o two of three teams lose from the (Buff, Indy, Miami) group 
	*and* 	o Cinci, Pitt, LA all lose

- Seattle can make the Wild Card with a win over Washington if
		o Miami beats KC
		o Buffalo, Indy, Cin, Pitt, and LA lose


Now the interesting part:

*Five* teams can finish at 9-7, 6-6 (or 7-7) in conference play:  Houston 
(with a loss to Cleveland), Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Miami, and LA.  The 
table below lists all tie-breaker combinations between these teams.  If 
Buffalo and Indy both win next week to finish at 9-7, both clinch playoff 
spots and only *one* 9-7, 6-6 in-conference team from the table can take a 
Wild Card.  If either Buffalo *or* Indy loses next week, *two* teams from 
the table can claim wild cards (remove Miami if they win and both 
Buffalo-Indy lose).

	Teams which can tie at 9-7, 6-6 (or 7-7) in-conference:

						Winner
						------
Hou	Cinci					Cinci	;divisional record
Hou		Pitt				Hou	;head-to-head
Hou			Miami			Hou	;head-to-head
Hou				LA		Hou	;head-to-head
Hou	Cinci	Pitt				Cinci	;divisional record
Hou	Cinci		Miami			Cinci	;common opponents
Hou	Cinci			LA		Cinci	;net points
Hou		Pitt	Miami			Hou	;head-to-head
Hou		Pitt		LA		Hou	;head-to-head
Hou			Miami	LA		Hou	;head-to-head
Hou	Cinci	Pitt	Miami			Cinci	;net points
Hou	Cinci	Pitt		LA		Cinci	;net points
Hou	Cinci		Miami	LA		Cinci	;net points
Hou		Pitt	Miami	LA		Hou	;head-to-head
Hou	Cinci	Pitt	Miami	LA		Cinci	;net points
	Cinci	Pitt				Cinci	;head-to-head
	Cinci		Miami			Miami	;head-to-head
	Cinci			LA		LA	;head-to-head
	Cinci	Pitt	Miami			Cinci	;common opponents
	Cinci	Pitt		LA		Cinci	;net points
	Cinci		Miami	LA		LA	;common opponents
	Cinci	Pitt	Miami	LA		Cinci	;net points
		Pitt	Miami			Pitt	;head-to-head
		Pitt		LA		LA	;common opponents
		Pitt	Miami	LA		LA	;common opponents
			Miami	LA		LA	;common opponents


Comments:  Pittsburgh and Miami are at the bottom of the pile, as they win 
		*only* head-to-head tie-breakers with Miami and Cinci, 
		respectively, if one wild card is available from above.
		If two tie-breakers are available from above table, 
		Pittsburgh and Miami can still get in if they tie with 
		Miami and Cinci, respectively, and with *no more* than one 
		other team.

	   Cincinnati holds 12 of their 15 tie-breakers and is in pretty 
		good shape if they beat Minnesota next week.  They can only 
		be knocked out in that event if:
			o (Buff, Indy, Hou) win *and* (Pitt) loses *and*
				(Mia *or* LA) win
		*or*	o (Buff *or* Indy) lose *and* (Hou) wins *and* 
				(Pitt) loses *and* (Mia *and* LA) win

	   Houston holds 7 of their 15 tie-breakers, so they'd be advised 
		to beat Cleveland if they want to get in.

	   LA only holds 5 of their 15 tie-breakers, so they're with 
		Pittsburgh and Miami hoping for things to happen.


--glenn

14.12Brought that computer to its' knees...WORDS::NISKALAFreezing my Filberts off!Mon Dec 18 1989 09:223
    	Thanks Glenn for putting that stuff in. I was wondering who
    had the best chances of getting in. It made it slightly clearer
    than mud.
14.13LUNER::BROOKSWith the new and improved node ...Mon Dec 18 1989 10:1811
    Glenn suppose HOuston and Cleveland tie ? And Cincy wins by forfit
    over the Vikes, and Miami has to pospone their game and I CAN TAKEITNAY
    MONREALLOFTHOSELIGHTSBEEPINGANDFLASHINGANDBLINKING !!!!!!!!
    AAAAAAAAHHHGGGGHHHHHH !!!!!!!!
    
    There, I feel sooo much better .... :-)
    
    Seriously, how much did Cincy really help themselves by running
    up the score ?         
    
    DrM
14.14Really was an issueNAC::G_WAUGAMANMon Dec 18 1989 10:3012
    
    Cincinnati's net points was an issue, sort of.  They moved from +8 
    to +62 net in-conference.  That bests their closest rival in a net
    points tie-breaker, the Raiders (+23), by 39 points.  So, they could
    have used a comfortable margin of victory, but didn't need 54 points.
    But you don't expect a head football coach to be that up on such
    trivialities, do you?  If someone told Wyche he needed a big win for
    tie-breaker possibilities (which he did), I'm sure he had no idea where
    to stop.  Especially since it felt so good...
    
    glenn
     
14.15LEVERS::STROUTa pound of obscureMon Dec 18 1989 10:468
    
    	agh. need help understanding .11
    
    	what happens if miami, houston and pittsburgh finish with 9-7
    records (only those 3 teams)?  Houston gets the home field for the
    wild card game but against whom?
    
    sean
14.16REFINE::MISURACAMon Dec 18 1989 12:431
    Against Pittsburgh, since the Steelers beat Miami during the season.
14.17NAC::G_WAUGAMANMon Dec 18 1989 12:4412
    
    Re. -1
    
    If only those three teams finish at 9-7, Houston wins on head-to-head
    competition.  Then Pittsburgh advances over Miami based on head-to-head
    play.  So Pittsburgh would visit Houston.
    
    That scenario requires losses by LA, Cincinnati, Cleveland, and (Indy
    or Buffalo), however.
    
    glenn
    
14.18Errata for (Cle,KC) and details for LA, Hou @9-7NAC::G_WAUGAMANMon Dec 18 1989 12:48115
Okay, as promised, the AFC playoff possibilities computer whirred into 
action last night during the Raiders-Seahawks game, and when the 'Hawks 
obliged by knocking off the previously playoff-bound Raiders, what was 
left was the most complex playoff scenario in NFL history.  Ten teams can 
still make the playoffs, and each of the ten can still be eliminated.  
Denver remains as the only team with a playoff berth.

First the easy stuff (teams controlling own destiny):

- Buffalo wins the AFC East with a win over the NY Jets
- Cleveland-Houston winner is the AFC Central champ
- Indianapolis clinches at least a Wild Card with a win over New Orleans


Now the hard stuff:

- Kansas City can make the Wild Card with a win over Miami if 
		o (Buff *or* Indy) lose
	*and*	o three of four teams lose from (Cinci, Pitt, LA, Cle) lose

	or if 
		o (Buff *and* Indy) win
	*and*	o Cinci, Pitt, LA, Cle all lose


- Cleveland can make the Wild Card even with a loss if 
		o (Buff *or* Indy) lose
	*and*	o Cinci, Pitt, and LA all lose

	or if
		o (Buff *and* Indy) lose *and* Miami wins
	*and*	o two of three teams lose from (Cinci, Pitt, LA)


- Seattle can make the Wild Card with a win over Washington if
		o Miami beats KC
		o Buffalo, Indy, Cin, Pitt, and LA lose


Now the interesting part:

*Five* teams can finish at 9-7, 6-6 (or 7-7) in conference play:  Houston 
(with a loss to Cleveland), Cincinnati, Pittsburgh, Miami, and LA.  The 
table below lists all tie-breaker combinations between these teams.  If 
Buffalo and Indy both win next week to finish at 9-7, both clinch playoff 
spots and only *one* 9-7, 6-6 in-conference team from the table can take a 
Wild Card.  If either Buffalo *or* Indy loses next week, *two* teams from 
the table can claim wild cards (remove Miami if they win and both 
Buffalo-Indy lose).

	Teams which can tie at 9-7, 6-6 (or 7-7) in-conference:

						Winner
						------
Hou	Cinci					Cinci	;divisional record
Hou		Pitt				Hou	;head-to-head
Hou			Miami			Hou	;head-to-head
Hou				LA		Hou	;head-to-head
Hou	Cinci	Pitt				Cinci	;divisional record
Hou	Cinci		Miami			Cinci	;common opponents
Hou	Cinci			LA		Cinci	;net points
Hou		Pitt	Miami			Hou	;head-to-head
Hou		Pitt		LA		Hou	;head-to-head
Hou			Miami	LA		Hou	;head-to-head
Hou	Cinci	Pitt	Miami			Cinci	;net points
Hou	Cinci	Pitt		LA		Cinci	;net points
Hou	Cinci		Miami	LA		Cinci	;net points
Hou		Pitt	Miami	LA		Hou	;head-to-head
Hou	Cinci	Pitt	Miami	LA		Cinci	;net points
	Cinci	Pitt				Cinci	;head-to-head
	Cinci		Miami			Miami	;head-to-head
	Cinci			LA		LA	;head-to-head
	Cinci	Pitt	Miami			Cinci	;common opponents
	Cinci	Pitt		LA		Cinci	;net points
	Cinci		Miami	LA		LA	;common opponents
	Cinci	Pitt	Miami	LA		Cinci	;net points
		Pitt	Miami			Pitt	;head-to-head
		Pitt		LA		LA	;common opponents
		Pitt	Miami	LA		LA	;common opponents
			Miami	LA		LA	;common opponents


Comments:  Pittsburgh and Miami are at the bottom of the pile, as they win 
		*only* head-to-head tie-breakers with Miami and Cinci, 
		respectively, if one wild card is available from above 
		table.  If two tie-breakers are available from above,
		Pittsburgh and Miami can still get in if they tie with 
		Miami and Cinci, respectively, and with *no more* than one 
		other team.

	   Cincinnati holds 12 of their 15 tie-breakers and is in pretty 
		good shape if they beat Minnesota next week.  They can only 
		be knocked out in that event if:
			o (Buff, Indy, Hou) win *and* (Pitt) loses *and*
				(Mia *or* LA) win
		*or*	o (Buff *or* Indy) lose *and* (Hou) wins *and* 
				(Pitt) loses *and* (Mia *and* LA) win

	   Houston holds 7 of their 15 tie-breakers, but only lose
		tie-breakers to Indy and Cinci at 9-7.  So even if Houston
		loses to Cleveland, they're still a Wild Card if one team 
		among (Buff, Indy *or* Cinci) also lose.

	   LA only holds 5 of their 15 tie-breakers, so they're with 
		Pittsburgh and Miami hoping for things to happen.  Their
		best bet is to beat the Giants, have Houston beat 
		Cleveland, and have one team among (Buff, Indy, Cinci, 
		*or* Pitt) lose.  If Cleveland beats Houston, LA needs 
		(Buff *or* Indy) *and* (Cinci) to lose in order to take a 
		Wild Card.


--glenn

14.19LEVERS::STROUTa pound of obscureMon Dec 18 1989 12:4912
    
>        That scenario requires losses by LA, Cincinnati, Cleveland, and (Indy
>    or Buffalo), however.
        
    
    	I pick losses by LA to the Giants (7 point favorites)
    			 Cincinatti to Minnesota (6 point favorites)
    			 Indianapolis to New Orleans (2 point favorites)
    	Cleveland does not need to lose (9-6-1 wins division).          
    
    	With this probable outcome it looks like Pitt. has a good chance
    of making the wildcard with it's last game at Tampa Bay.
14.20NAC::G_WAUGAMANMon Dec 18 1989 12:599
    
    That's right, you had Houston in the three-way tie after a loss to
    Cleveland.  In your scenario, the Cle-Hou game doesn't affect
    Pittsburgh's chances.
    
    I got confused...
    
    glenn
    
14.21One more week to go!!JUPITR::MOKCharles P. MokTue Dec 19 1989 10:1430
NFC East
Eagles (10-5)	12/24/89 1300 Phoenix	      Philadelphia
Giants (11-4)	12/24/89 1300 LA Raiders      NY Giants
Redskins (9-6)	12/23/89 1600 Washington      Seattle

NFC Central
Vikings (9-6)	12/25/89 2100 Cincinnati      Minnesota
Packers (9-6)	12/24/89 1300 Green Bay       Dallas

NFC West
49ers (13-2)	12/24/89 1600 Chicago	      San Francisco
Rams (10-5)	12/24/89 1300 LA Rams	      New England


AFC East
Bills (8-7)	12/23/89 1230 Buffalo	      NY Jets
Dolphins (8-7)	12/24/89 1300 Kansas City     Miami
Colts (8-7)	12/24/89 1300 Indianapolis    New Orleans

AFC Central
Oilers (9-6)	12/23/89 2000 Cleveland       Houston
Browns (8-6-1)	12/23/89 2000 Cleveland       Houston
Bengals (8-7)	12/25/89 2100 Cincinnati      Minnesota
Steelers (8-7)	12/24/89 1300 Pittsburgh      Tampa Bay

AFC West
Broncos (10-5)	12/24/89 1600 Denver	      San Diego
Raiders (8-7)	12/24/89 1300 LA Raiders      NY Giants
Chiefs (7-7-1)	12/24/89 1300 Kansas City     Miami
Seattle (7-8)	12/24/89 1600 Washington      Seattle
14.22a question....JUPITR::MOKCharles P. MokTue Dec 19 1989 15:468
    I have a scenario here that if Pittsburgh wins, Houston loses to
    Cleveland, Cincy beats Minnesota, Miami beats KC, Indy loses to NO, 
    Raiders loses to Giants, Bills beat Jets, that will leave Miami, 
    Houston, Cincinnati and Pittsburgh all tied at 9-7 for a wildcard 
    (Bills also 9-7 will claim division), then who will get in as
    wildcards?  I think Cincinnati will but who is the other team?
    
    Charles
14.24Hoping for Houston at Cincinnati again for wildcard!JUPITR::MOKCharles P. MokTue Dec 19 1989 16:096
    Re:.23
    Wow, that's what I am getting at.  A rematch of the 61-7 game, at the
    same place, between the same two team!  I hope this will happen!  Could
    be the most hyped wildcard game of all time!
    
    Charles
14.25Eagles Rams host?JUPITR::MOKCharles P. MokTue Dec 19 1989 16:125
    Also, if the Eagles and the Rams both ends at 11-5, assuming they both
    win next week and Giants win also to claim the division, who would host 
    the wildcard game between them?  
    
    Charles
14.26JUPITR::MOKCharles P. MokTue Dec 19 1989 16:427
    Re: .-1
    I think I have my own answer.  They will have the same conference
    record at 8-4 but on common opponents (Giants, Cards, Dallas, N.O.,
    49ers, Bears, Vikes) the Eagles will be 7-3 and the Rams are 4-4. 
    So Philly should host.  Last season the Rams lost there :(
    
    Charles
14.27RIPPLE::DEVLIN_JOFalalala /Don wears gay apparrel...Tue Dec 19 1989 17:354
    IF the Eagles and Giants tie, the Eagles win the division, and the
    Giants play the Rams at the Meadowlands.
    
    JD
14.28MaimiTRACTR::KOLADISHWed Dec 20 1989 12:203
    What does will it take to get the Dolphins in the playoffs ?
    
    John
14.29:)LEVERS::STROUTa pound of obscureWed Dec 20 1989 12:292
    
    	a merger with San Fran...
14.30An Act of GodPTOMV6::JACOBSteelers pray for wildcard in &#039;89Wed Dec 20 1989 12:341
    
14.31SALEM::RIEUWe&#039;re Taxachusetts...AGAINWed Dec 20 1989 12:442
       Shula getting the rules changed?
                                      Denny
14.32USRCV1::COLOTTIRPiece of MindThu Dec 21 1989 10:543
    Miami must win, Buffalo, Indy must lose.
    			RaIDER_RICH