T.R | Title | User | Personal Name | Date | Lines |
---|
5273.1 | With this chip, I thee wed... IBM | STAR::KLEINSORGE | Fred Kleinsorge, OpenVMS Engineering | Fri May 02 1997 10:10 | 24 |
| >Who'd want DEC? Not IBM.
Actually, this would probably be the best fit of all. IBM is making
it's big profits from mainframes, mainframe downsizing, and service.
In fact, they even will sell a VAX or Alpha into a shop, and they are
going after the servicing of DEC backrooms (and hiring the folks we
layed off, underpayed, and overworked).
So. IBM buys DEC, dumps the low-margin losers (maybe to Compaq ;-),
gets DECs installed base of high margin server backrooms, the service
revenue, and what is left of our service organization. Pumps a few
bucks back into OpenVMS because it's a cash flow monster. Merges UNIX
development, picking up the Alpha processor as a hot-box bonus. They
also get the additional capacity of our chip fab.
*They* know how to market. *They* know how to make money. *They* are
actually more inline with what we actually do, than a PC maker like
Compaq. We get a new lease on life, and a company with a track record
of being able to market and sell *anything* and make tons of money.
I became a DECcie (a long time ago) to avoid working for big blue, but
it might be the best thing that could possibly happen.
|
5273.2 | SUNsets | MUDGEE::ZORBAS | NULL Junior | Fri May 02 1997 11:01 | 1 |
| We could always become the NT arm of SUN...
|
5273.3 | | PCBUOA::KRATZ | | Fri May 02 1997 13:25 | 10 |
| DIGITAL shareholders voted in a poison pill in 1989 that severely
dilutes the stock when a buyer is deemed hostile by the board
of directors. This was rammed thru when the stock was above 80;
perhaps shareholders might reconsider now and get a vote on the
ballot for the next shareholders meeting. Nevertheless, as is,
a takeover of DIGITAL is unlikely. A takeover would mean the BOD
gets fired, meaning they lose their retaining fees, and since they're
not large shareholders, they have every incentive to view any offer
by anybody as hostile.
.02 Kratz
|
5273.4 | HP + DEC = $55B/year | JULIET::HATTRUP_JA | Jim Hattrup, Santa Clara, CA | Fri May 02 1997 13:53 | 10 |
| Possible Value of DEC Aquisition by HP
- 64-bit UNIX O/S
- Better RISC architecture
- Compatible Intel strategy
- Real NT RISC strategy tody, 64-bit NT starting late '97 vs. '99
- Synergystic customer base
- Complimentary storage products and plans (?)
- Our cash could finance half the aquisition
Of course, if they really are not abandoning PA-RISC, then the Alpha
benifit would be really diminished.
|
5273.5 | | PERFOM::GODDARD | | Fri May 02 1997 14:51 | 14 |
| This really makes no sense.
1) Since 'Digital knows this.' I dont see why the problems have presisted so
long w/o being addressed and corrected. Mr. Bismuth sounds as though nothing
can be done. Atleast thats the tone of it.
2) I also dont understand why 'Robert Palmer, chief executive of DEC, has run
the company since 1992 and has tried to shake it up, but with limited
results.' Does this mean his subordinates do what they want? Doesnt he hold
them accountable to a plan? As CEO isnt he in charge of seeing his strategies
thru?
I know there must be something real obvious that Im missing...so call me
clueless. I really would like to understand it though.
|
5273.6 | It Won't be H-P | NCMAIL::YANUSC | | Fri May 02 1997 16:00 | 22 |
| RE: .4
Jim,
HP (and to a lesser extent Intel) are out there flogging their new
PA-RISC replacement architecture pretty hard. It doesn't matter that
it won't be available until 1999 or later; unlike Digital, they know
that mindshare will win over technical excellence anyday. They don't
need Alpha. And Intel will certainly bring their muscle to bear on
anyone "naive enough" to look at a non-Intel architecture. Look at how
they recently helped Oracle see the light as far as using Intel chips,
and not StrongARM, as their primary architecture in their upcoming NCs.
On the other hand, I did see some positives from the article Jon posted
from Forbes to start this conference. If nothing else it helped to
alert potential customers and investors that there might be some life
left in the old dog afterall. I just hope it isn't too late. I know
there is attrition in the sales force, but 40%? At that rate you
pretty much turn over completely in the span of a few years. So much
for sowing confidence with customers. I hope it was not accurate.
Chuck
|
5273.7 | | STAR::KLEINSORGE | Fred Kleinsorge, OpenVMS Engineering | Fri May 02 1997 16:01 | 18 |
|
After being unable to bring the VAX back into price/performance
competetiveness, and the ensuing decline, Digital has embarked on a
course to transform the company from a full line computer manufacturer
into something else, and something smaller. The problem is that the
company was geared to sell high margin systems and service. We've
taken a miriad of steps to evolve into something else, but those steps
have not as yet resulted in return to profitability and growth. In the
mean time, our high margin business is in decline, in part due to
deliberate decisions to get out of the "traditional" business where our
customer base is.
I don't see what Sun or HP get out of a DEC aquisition except losing a
competetor.
Poison pills do not always stand up in court.
|
5273.8 | | YIELD::HARRIS | | Fri May 02 1997 16:48 | 6 |
| > anyone "naive enough" to look at a non-Intel architecture. Look at how
> they recently helped Oracle see the light as far as using Intel chips,
> and not StrongARM, as their primary architecture in their upcoming NCs.
How did Intel do this?
|
5273.9 | | EVER::CONNELLY | I was misinformed | Fri May 02 1997 19:05 | 18 |
|
re: .5
>2) I also dont understand why 'Robert Palmer, chief executive of DEC, has run
> the company since 1992 and has tried to shake it up, but with limited
> results.' Does this mean his subordinates do what they want? Doesnt he hold
> them accountable to a plan? As CEO isnt he in charge of seeing his
> strategies thru?
Well, he's fired most of his subordinates after a year or two, including the
ones he inherited from Ken and the ones he hired himself. Probably the real
resistance is coming from the managerial levels one or two steps under his
direct subordinates though.
Since he refuses to flatten the management hierarchy, things will probably
continue in this vein.
- paul
|
5273.10 | | LABC::RU | | Fri May 02 1997 19:25 | 3 |
|
It was in the news that Netscape CEO has cut his own salary to
$1. If it still won't work after sometime, he might resign.
|
5273.11 | Not too tough to take | WRKSYS::TATOSIAN | The Compleat Tangler | Fri May 02 1997 23:20 | 7 |
| re: .10
Piety? I think not...
That same Netscape CEO cashed in a small pile of options for at least
$10,000,000 (that's millions o' bucks) this year when the stock was a
few multiples higher...
|
5273.12 | More levels than... | WRKSYS::HOBSON | | Sat May 03 1997 21:16 | 5 |
| re .9
The management hierarchy, you misunderstand. That is the poison pill.
Dave
|
5273.13 | Er, when did we get Management? | PTOJJD::DANZAK | Pittsburgher � | Mon May 05 1997 00:01 | 1 |
| er, since WHEN did we get management?
|
5273.14 | It's a Silicon Valley thing | TALLIS::GORTON | | Mon May 05 1997 08:26 | 10 |
| Re: .8
I don't recall where I read the article, but basically the gist
of what I saw about this was that Mr's. Ellison and Grove were
talking about some other stuff (dinner meeting?) and Larry brought
up the fact that his engineers were unable to get the 80x86 based
systems up and working. The NEXT DAY, Mr. Grove caused a number of
engineers to show up at Oracle (something like 10+) until the
Intel boxes were up and running.
|
5273.15 | re .9: not only in the States | MUNICH::WENDL | OOOO - Open Object-Oriented Ogre | Mon May 05 1997 11:31 | 9 |
|
.9 hit the nail on the head
When I joined DIGITAL in '90, "frozen layer" was one of the first
things I had to experience; here in Germany nothing has changed since,
though the "resources" are down to about 2400 (from about 9000).
uli
|
5273.16 | | PCBUOA::KRATZ | | Mon May 05 1997 11:36 | 27 |
| Interesting tidbit. This would have been at approximately
$60/share. Rats.
NEW YORK, May 5 (Reuter) - Compaq Computer Corp held
high-level talks with Digital Equipment Corp in both
1995 and 1996 about a possible takeover of the company but
discussions broke down last summer, the Wall Street Journal said
in Monday's electronic edition.
According to people familiar with the events, the two firms
reached a general agreement on a purchase price for Digital of
between $9 billion and $10 billion but Digital moved back from
the deal, the newspaper said.
The Journal said talks broke down over management and
structural issues.
Compaq renewed talks in mid-1996 but both sides decided a
transaction did not make sense by September, the paper said.
People close to the events say for now, the talks are dead,
the Wall Street Journal reported.
Compaq and Digital were quoted as declining to comment.
The Journal said Digital's $6 billion services organization
was one reason behind Compaq's interest.
|
5273.17 | | axel.zko.dec.com::FOLEY | http://axel.zko.dec.com | Mon May 05 1997 12:43 | 10 |
|
I would have loved to have been a fly on the wall at those
meetings..
"talks broke down over managment"
No comment.
mike
|
5273.18 | I can see it now! | PCBUOA::WHITEC | Parrot_Trooper | Mon May 05 1997 16:13 | 13 |
| Mr Foley......
It wouldn't have worked......you, (the fly on said wall) would have
laughed your head off, and all them eyes would have teared so much from
laughter, , that it would have RAINED on the talks, and you would have
been exposed!
I still chuckle when I think of it myself.....
I'm sure you will find some reference of this in a future Dilbert
cartoon!
chet
|
5273.19 | Can't Fight Monopolies | NCMAIL::YANUSC | | Tue May 06 1997 10:57 | 20 |
| RE: .8
Sorry about the lateness of the reply; I've been traveling with
customers with no times for NOTES. It was apparent from a recent "Info
World" article that Oracle was shown the light as far as using the
Intel chip in their NC boxes. Ellison was called directly by Grove,
who explained the futility of not using a Pentium chip in such an
architecture. One of Oracle's top VPs was then paraded to the Far
East, where Intel customers like Acer could "explain" how an NC that
did not use an Intel chip would not succeed in the marketplace. Oracle
then put a marketing front on the whole mess by saying Grove was a
genius who saw the merits of using a Pentium chip before Ellison did.
Give me a break. They/Oracle were both bullied and sweet-talked into
using Intel, and there isn't much we can do about it. That's what
having a 96.8% share of the marketplace (Intel) can do for you, as
opposed to .1% (Alpha). In case anyone disputes the %, they came from
a recent Business Week or Forbes article on Digital.
Chuck
|
5273.20 | Who's ego is bigger - Ellison or Gates? | 31771::WOODBURY | | Tue May 06 1997 11:45 | 20 |
| What do you mean there isn't much we can do about it? Using Ellison's
argument against himself: obviously if it doesn't say Microsoft on
the "inside", then nobody will buy it. Bob Palmer should be jumping
all over Ellison right now - shaming him in the stupidity of his
arguements. I don't deny that Intel should be _part_ of Ellison's
strategy, but his pet NCI will fail if he doesn't show some clear
and dramatically adventageuos differentiators to the Microsoft
alternative. StrongARM, with its low power, portability and
performance offers some of those advantages. But then, (my opinion
of course) I don't think Digital management has done enough to
support the NC cause. The amazing design efforts of the SHARK team
were funded from Supnik's research budget, rather than a coherent
choreographed marketing roll-out. Yes, Intel can afford to put some
muscle into this initiative, but Digital can't afford not to!
mark
Well, I guess I'm glad that we are porting WindowsCE to StrongARM.
At least we can get a little more of the crumbs from one monopoly.
|
5273.21 | StrongArm /= Network Computer | NETCAD::GENOVA | | Tue May 06 1997 11:50 | 13 |
|
Why is StrongArm and the Network Computer continue to be used in the
same sentence. What does low power consumption do for a desktop/AC
powered computer? Not much if you ask me.
Again I don't see it as a big deal not having the StrongArm in the NCs,
the StrongArm was designed for the Newtons/PDAs of the world. Not this
NC market, or lack of a NC market.
I personally/professionally don't think the NCs will fly as far as a
high volume/percentage of total sales. But I've been wrong before.
/art
|
5273.22 | | bhajee.rto.dec.com::JAERVINEN | Ora, the Old Rural Amateur | Tue May 06 1997 12:51 | 6 |
| >What does low power consumption do for a desktop/AC
>powered computer? Not much if you ask me.
Not as much as for laptops/PDAs etc. but it certainly does have _some_
meaning. In this context, I guess price is more important.
|
5273.23 | | YIELD::HARRIS | | Tue May 06 1997 13:16 | 24 |
| > Why is StrongArm and the Network Computer continue to be used in the
> same sentence. What does low power consumption do for a desktop/AC
> powered computer? Not much if you ask me.
The NC was first talked about has the $500 client. StrongARM has good
a good performance to power ratio and a good performance to cost ratio.
StrongARM seems to do very well as a JAVA processor.
> Again I don't see it as a big deal not having the StrongArm in the NCs,
> the StrongArm was designed for the Newtons/PDAs of the world. Not this
> NC market, or lack of a NC market.
Digital Semiconductor has other StrongARM designs for other markets.
> I personally/professionally don't think the NCs will fly as far as a
> high volume/percentage of total sales. But I've been wrong before.
I read(in Communication Week I think) that 750K NC's have been purchased
to date. Not bad for new technology.
-Bruce
|
5273.24 | Read between the lines ... | OTOU01::MAIN | Systems Integration-Canada,621-5078 | Tue May 06 1997 14:56 | 42 |
|
re: .19 -
>>>
Give me a break. They/Oracle were both bullied and sweet-talked into
using Intel, and there isn't much we can do about it. That's what
having a 96.8% share of the marketplace (Intel) can do for you, as
opposed to .1% (Alpha). In case anyone disputes the %, they came from
a recent Business Week or Forbes article on Digital.
>>>
Sigh ... it always amazes me how simple articles can generate so
much discussions ... many who read these articles assumes that
"it must be true, I saw it in a magazine!"
FWIW, many of these magazines get their info from numerous different
sources and do not even stop to consider that yes, Intel has a very
high % of the market - Desktop AND server combined.
Of course, Alpha does not have a % of the desktop market, but what
about the server market ? Obviously Intel still has a huge advantage
here as well, but the Alpha % is more like 5% not .1%...as quoted in
Windows NT magazine. And this was driven by the fact that Alpha's
have always (until recently) been hugely more expensive than Intel.
Now, Alpha's are competively priced with Intel, more vendors are
jumping on Alpha bandwagon (see recent Borland announcement), the
internal Sales and BU issues are starting to get addressed, so we
shall see how the next few months progress..
BTW - also keep in mind that all of the NT marketing for DIGITAL in
the last year has been controlled by the PCBU. Up until the last few
weeks, the "Alpha" word did not even appear on the DIGITAL windows
home page www.windows.digital.com. Even now, it is only a passing
reference as being supported in the new NT Cluster release.
Hopefully, this is another area that will shortly be resolved.
Regards,
/ Kerry
|
5273.25 | We Have to Increase Marketshare | NCMAIL::YANUSC | | Tue May 06 1997 15:18 | 18 |
| RE: .24
Kerry,
Regardless of your points, the 96.8% versus .1% is what software
development houses see when they make plans to port or develop
software. It is the proverbial chicken and egg situation. I can't say
I blame them, either. Until the Alpha share of the market is
increased, particularly in the workstation space, this problem will
continue.
Personally, I feel that Digital has a fighting chance to make it here.
But we have to be hitting on all cylinders as a company to do so. Just
having a fast chip in and of itself will not be enough, otherwise we
would have knocked Intel (and Sun for that matter) for a loop a long
time ago.
Chuck
|
5273.26 | We need to look beyond Intel marketing ... | OTOU01::MAIN | Systems Integration-Canada,621-5078 | Tue May 06 1997 15:43 | 38 |
| Chuck,
Everyone agree's (I hope) that you need SW app's to sell HW. DIGITAL
has the HW, but no marketing to present the over 1800 app's that now
run on Alpha .. reference www.enorex.com (our marketing folks should
take lessons from these guys..)
However, in the case of the Intel market, they have the opposite
problem, ie. their 32bit HW is peaking out at a time when users are
screaming for much more power and yet Intel marketing folks have the
clout to convince the market that even with 64bit sw (VLM, IPV6) and
additional heavy compute environments (thin client, fat server, NT5
encryption) on it's way, that deploying 32bit servers that are the
same speed as their clients really is the way to go ..
My concern is that people need to understand and educate Customers that
there are server SW types and desktop / ws sw types. Alpha has most of the
leading app's already ported with more to come. Recent press has
announced VB5, VC++ and Borland are now doing Alpha NT. WORD, Excel
is due shortly. PRO/Engineer just did their annual benchmark and Alpha
NT WS won - against SUN, HP, SGI and numerous PPro's .. why does these
type of events get so little focus internally to Digital ?
>>>
Regardless of your points, the 96.8% versus .1% is what software
development houses see when they make plans to port or develop
software.
>>>
This was true 2 years ago. It is not the story today, but too many
people within Digital believe the Intel marketing machine and simply
bow their heads and say oh well ..
It all depends on ones viewpoint, is the glass 1/2 full or 1/2 empty ?
We need more people looking at the 1/2 full glass of water.
/ Kerry
|
5273.27 | | LEXS01::GINGER | Ron Ginger | Tue May 06 1997 15:57 | 16 |
| >> Regardless of your points, the 96.8% versus .1% is what software
development houses see when they make plans to port or develop
software.
>>>
This was true 2 years ago. It is not the story today, but too many
people within Digital believe the Intel marketing machine and simply
>> bow their heads and say oh well ..
Are you suggesting our market share is more than this? So what is it
now 1% instead of .1%? or maybe even 2%? ( I dont recall us having any
100% growth numbers)
Unless the share is a reasonable number- maybe 20% or greater, then the
point still stands. Our market share is much to small to be worth the
effort to port software.
|
5273.28 | | STAR::KLEINSORGE | Fred Kleinsorge, OpenVMS Engineering | Tue May 06 1997 16:54 | 18 |
|
Larry Ellison did the right thing. You can lose by trying to beat both
Microsoft *and* Intel, or you can beat the one who is the real threat -
Microsoft. My guess is that Larry really doesn't care a lot about the
chip that is inside the NC, he wants to sell big a**** servers running
Oracle database products.
While this may be a bad omen for StrongArm, pushing it into smaller
niches than the potential volume that a successful NC market would give
it, this is not a bad thing for DEC and Alpha. If the BA server +
cheap NC combo combined works, we could sell a lot of BA servers -
which is where the high margin is.
The NC doesn't have to be the high-end Pentium, nor does it need to be
64-bits. The whole idea is that the *real* work is done in the BA
servers, the NC is a fancy terminal.
|
5273.29 | just curious | LGP30::FLEISCHER | without vision the people perish (DTN 381-0426 ZKO1-1) | Tue May 06 1997 17:44 | 10 |
| re Note 5273.23 by YIELD::HARRIS:
> I read(in Communication Week I think) that 750K NC's have been purchased
> to date. Not bad for new technology.
What are they being used for?
What software do they run?
Bob
|
5273.30 | Agree to Disagree | NCMAIL::YANUSC | | Tue May 06 1997 19:41 | 29 |
| RE: .26
Kerry,
It is actually worse today than it was two years ago, from a
marketshare standpoint. We have pushed 10s of thousands of systems out
the doors during those two years (servers and workstations.) During
the same time Intel has pushed out 10s of millions. As I said, the
people at the software houses have to eat, too, so they will develop
for the products that hold the greatest marketshare, and Alpha is just
a blip (albeit a noticable one) on the radar scope.
I found it interesting that when you pointed out the software products
that have been ported, you reiterated that "Word and Excel will be
ported soon", or something very similar. If one is looking for volume
in this marketplace, as Digital desires, they better be near to the
FIRST applications available. Digital wants to be a large player.
Then give the salesforce the tools they need to be successful in this
endeavor, such as all the most desirable apps. It may be too late at
this point, but we'll see.
Personally, I do view the glass as 1/2 full. I stated earlier that I
felt Digital had a fighting chance. But I cannot bury my head in the
sand and say that we have the apps needed to make Alpha a heavyweight
player, when we don't.
I think we are closer in thought on this matter than apart.
Chuck
|
5273.31 | | BIGUN::BAKER | Where is DIGITAL Modula-3? | Tue May 06 1997 21:06 | 24 |
| re: .24
> Now, Alpha's are competively priced with Intel, more vendors are
> jumping on Alpha bandwagon (see recent Borland announcement), the
> internal Sales and BU issues are starting to get addressed, so we
> shall see how the next few months progress..
Kerry,
you keep trotting out this Borland announcement as a proof point of
success. In fact, its more the opposite.
The announcement only relates to OLEnterprise, which is a product of
the OEC arm of Borland. Given that OEC's Entera on NT is based on our
DCE and the intel product has been around for ages this has been a
long time coming. Everyone in Borland considers the OEC line as
non-core, although they will become part of the Borland development
environments. Unfortunately NONE of the Borland development
environments are on Alpha.
When I see Borland core products being delivered on NT Alpha, I'll
believe you. By that I mean: C++ Builder, Delphi and IntraBuilder.
To date I have seen no announcements for these products.
- John
|
5273.32 | | YIELD::HARRIS | | Tue May 06 1997 21:58 | 18 |
| re: Note 5273.29
>> I read(in Communication Week I think) that 750K NC's have been purchased
>> to date. Not bad for new technology.
>
> What are they being used for?
>
> What software do they run?
Bob,
I made a mistake, the number is 550K for NC's. The number comes from a
table of Net Clients with credit for the information going to IDC. I
have no other information.
-Bruce
|
5273.33 | Start thinking marketing not technical ... | OTOU01::MAIN | Systems Integration-Canada,621-5078 | Tue May 06 1997 23:39 | 44 |
| John,
>>>
you keep trotting out this Borland announcement as a proof point of
success. In fact, its more the opposite.
The announcement only relates to OLEnterprise, which is a product of
the OEC arm of Borland. Given that OEC's Entera on NT is based on our
DCE and the intel product has been around for ages this has been a
long time coming.
>>>
I would suggest that any other marketing company would turn this
announcement into a big event - even though a technical analysis
might reveal something else.
Just look at how Microsoft ships Exchange and states with a straight
face that it is "X.500 like" and everyone assumes that it is X.500
compliant, because all they hear are the words X.500.
IMHO, for every good announcement DIGITAL gets lately, there are
a multitude of people who jump in and say "well, it's not really
that great, because if you consider this ... or ..., then it really
is not that great .." and then all of the past issues come gushing out.
I agree that the Borland announcement is not as great as them porting
all of their stuff to Alpha, but at least lets acknowledge that it's
a good start ! It's the proverbial "foot in the door .."
Recent announcements - We now have VB5, VC++, all of the core Oracle
products (reference
http://www.oracle.com:/corporate/press/html/PR120996.111314.html),
Lotus Notes, Word, Excel, Borland, some great PRO/Engineer benchmarks
(www.proe.com, also great sales web page at www.systems3.com/promo.htm),
some great reviews in traditional PC Mags, PC Mags
and industry analysts questioning if Intel is running out of steam
and press announcements that Klamath (Intel follow-on to Pentium II)
is delayed until likely summer to fall '98.
Glass is definately 1/2 full and starting to fill up ..
:-)
/ Kerry
|
5273.34 | | BIGUN::BAKER | Where is DIGITAL Modula-3? | Tue May 06 1997 23:55 | 7 |
| Kerry,
I agree that we need to make the most of this externally and to keep
working them for more. However, internally, I think a little bit of
reality also does not go astray. The way you stated it, any person not
following the space, including most of our sales force, could end up
inadvertedly walking into a a situation.
|
5273.35 | | BIGUN::nessus.cao.dec.com::Mayne | A wretched hive of scum and villainy | Wed May 07 1997 18:52 | 7 |
| Re .33:
> Recent announcements - We now have ... VB5, ... Word, Excel
When/where have these been announced? Where can they be obtained?
PJDM
|
5273.36 | VB5's available | TURRIS::twuwuv.zko.dec.com::hower | | Thu May 08 1997 09:14 | 7 |
| VB5 Enterprise Edition is available for Alpha as the "RISC" edition,
available at no extra charge by sending in a form included with the
Windows edition. Can't tell if it's available directly.
You should be able to order VB Enterprise via the standard software
channels, including STREAM. STREAM is even shipping those
orders now....
|
5273.37 | IA-64 has 0% Share & No Apps but THEY'RE Proceeding | NQOS02::nqsrv442.nqo.dec.com::SLOUGH | Dennis Slough; Novi, MI dtn 471-5154 | Thu May 08 1997 11:35 | 7 |
| Is the fact that IA-64 has 0% share in the NC market segment, 0% of the NT market,
and in fact 0% share of any market useful to this discussion? I recognize that
Intel probably has the muscle to cross the generation divide more smoothly than
we did our last two times but my guess is it will be the most difficult thing
they've faced in a lot of years. We should take advantage.
Dennis
|
5273.38 | How 'bout our own FUD? | STAR::EVERHART | | Fri May 09 1997 17:20 | 14 |
| Is it possible to insert a little of our own FUD here? In a customer
meeting yesterday they asked about using Intel for their future.
I mentioned some of the scuttlebutt about Intel's architecture
running out of gas...10% jumps here and there...and speculated
that in a few years we may be seeing them tell everyone "OK, you
can run old Intel apps, a little faster than Pentium, but if
you want them to REALLY scream you can run this new native mode
we have...". In other words, the kind of conversion that has already
been done in the Alpha space, and the current Intel app compatibility
becomes moot because nobody'll want to use it and sacrifice
performance.
Intel will of course deny this, until they have iron, but their
numbers might lend credence to such speculation.
|
5273.39 | wrong mindset | PCBUOA::KRATZ | | Fri May 09 1997 17:28 | 13 |
| >In a customer meeting yesterday
>I mentioned some scuttlebutt about Intel's architecture
>running out of gas
You're going to have to change tactics... One of the Claflin seven:
"We will never criticize any DIGITAL products, services initiatives,
organizations or people in front of the customer."
While we're still in the Intel business, this now means you talk
about the ATTRIBUTES of Alpha. Besides, the Intel-running-out-of-gas
argument is getting pretty old by now.
Kratz
|
5273.40 | Truth includes, in futures contexts, one's best guess | STAR::EVERHART | | Fri May 09 1997 17:58 | 15 |
| The issue of having to port applications over the next few years
isn't an attribute of Alpha? (The Intel systems being considered
were NOT from Digital.) If you're speculating about futures
then it would seem to me that telling the truth to customers
is, finally, the only way to go. Giving your best guess about
where that future will be is part of that.
It was of course clear that this was a guess, and was also clear
it invited the customer to think about it, in a context in which
they would make their own choices. They could (and did) see the
performance numbers...and their slopes...
When arguments about futures are made, though, questions about how
the 8080 architecture can be extended (again) start becoming
highly relevant.
|
5273.41 | 64bit - the question is not IF?, but rather WHEN? | OTOU01::MAIN | Systems Integration-Canada,621-5078 | Sat May 10 1997 14:53 | 108 |
| re: .38
re: Intel vs Alpha
First, with Customers that I deal with, I usually preface what I am
about to say that DIGITAL has a dual platform strategy that scales
from 32 bit to high end 64bit systems. The recent AIM awards illustrate
the capabilities of our Intel line to handle CURRENT low-medium
workloads just as well, if not better, than the competition's Intel
based servers.
However, as a Consultant, Customers want me to give them the benefit
of my experience, cut out the marketing crap and make recommendations
as to what they should do to prepare for the future, keeping in mind
these requirements that need to be met:
1. Their IT budgets and head counts are being slashed at the same time
as they are expected to deliver higher levels of service.
2. They now recognize that one of the biggest issues the IT dept has
is how to bring some control to the mess of distributed desktops
and servers.
3. Servers they deploy today will likely have to do them for at least
18-24 months as they will not be able to go back to the pot for
additional money for upgrades... the labour and downtime costs
associated with doing these upgrades would likely double this cost
as well.
All of these issues are what is driving most major companies to
recentralize their computing environments. It is also what is driving
the interest in thin client / fat server computing.
Ok - here we go -
>>>
Is it possible to insert a little of our own FUD here?
>>>
No need to - simply quote and/or hand the Customer recent PC Week staff
editorial:
http://www8.zdnet.com/pcweek/opinion/0414/14chip.html
To summarize - Intel x86 architecture is running out of gas, and
Intel's marketing machine is kicking in with rapid fire cpu
"enhancements" - each of which provide only incremental benefits. Their
goal is to get Customers thinking Intel only without looking at the
technologies.
Or recent European magazine analysis:
http://www.heise.de/ct/english/9705154/
Bottom line, DIGITAL does have a dual platform strategy, but if I
am asked by a Customer for my recommendation on how they can best meet
the requirements outlined earlier, then this is what I will say :
1. Deploy 64bit for servers and power users / WS's. Expect power user
desktops and WS's to become much more 3D oriented.
2. Deploy 32 bit PC's for medium/light PC users.
3. Consider and/or start to evaluate thin client / fat server
technologies for those area's of the company where it makes sense ie.
perhaps light PC users, area's of high security etc.
4. Recognize that every NT server deployed requires approxmately 5-8
additional 3rd party app's to manage it in a production environment
e.g. backup, virus control, defrag, disk quota, centralized event
and security mgmt, scheduler, config mgmt (SMS etc), batch (esp for
larger servers with applic maint requirements). Each applic costs
approximately $500-$3000 per app per server. This is one of those
"hidden costs" that most shops fail to take into consideration when
deploying multiple distributed servers.
As an example, yes, Intel does handle current file serving loads very
well and it is hard to position Intel VS Alpha (even though now the
price differences are being eliminated) because there is very little
cpu intervention required to simply take an IO off disk, over the PCI
bus to the net card and out to the client desktop.
However, with NT5, there is a huge amount of encryption being
introduced. This now means the cpu is going to play a much bigger part
of the traditional file serving environment. Which is better for file
encrypting/decrypting - 32 or 64 bit?
The discussion of IPV6 is another discussion, but suffice to say that
it is 64bit aligned. It also has autoconfiguration capabilities - think
many Customers might be interested in reducing / eliminating their
dependancies on DHCP/ WINS ?
Bottom line is that everyone will eventually do 64 bit computing in the
same manner as we have migrated from 16bit to 32 bit. It is NOT a question
of "should we do 64bit computing?", but rather "when should we do 64bit
computing?".
If you have the Customers long term interests in mind, and a good
understanding of the technologies, then I really find it hard to
tell a Customer that they should continue to invest in multiple 32bit
servers with the knowledge of so much additional cpu work load coming
down the road.
Easy question to ask Customer "With NT5 encryption (much more cpu
intensive work loads coming), IPV6 (64bit aligned), thin client/fat
server strategies coming, and VLM capabilities, does it make sense to
deploy servers that are the same speed as their PC desktops being
deployed ?"
With Pentium II desktops appearing in the next few months, many Customers
will now be faced with desktops running at higher speeds than their
current PPRO servers...
Regards,
/ Kerry
|
5273.42 | targeting and selling, not silly twiddlybit technology | PTOJJD::DANZAK | Pittsburgher � | Sun May 11 1997 20:11 | 22 |
| re .-1
The PROBLEM is that YOU are telling them this and Digital is not.
The big Digit has a few billion people in marketing each working on new
programs etc., du jour which never get implemented to fruition. So the
field ends up creating/telling the stories that corporate should be
giving us to tell.
Wonder why we're not doing well? Folks in the 3M area don't come out
to the field and understand the impact of what they create and ask us
to sell.
There is NO strategy, just products and an arrogant "go figure it out
yourself Mr/Mrs Customer...we built a good product and you're too
stupid to understand it..."
You would think that after 5 years of that silly "A" chip we'd have
understood the code by now......it's targeting and selling - NOT
technology stupid!
|
5273.43 | | ODIXIE::MOREAU | Ken Moreau;Technical Support;Florida | Sun May 11 1997 23:18 | 55 |
| RE: .41
Nicely said. Thank you for some good talking points...
RE: .42
I agree with most of your points, but cannot agree with the attacks on
the people on the GMA.
I agree that what is needed is targetting and selling, but wish to point
out that the reason we are so frustrated in the field is because we do in
fact have the best technology (Alpha, OpenVMS and VMSclusters, Digital UNIX
and TruClusters, NT on Alpha and NT Clusters, GIGAswitch, AltaVista tools
including the Search Engine and the Tunnel), which makes it even more
agonizing that we can't seem to get the message out. If we had poor
technology (think Sun and IBM) or huge holes in our product lines (think
SGI and Bay Networks) or were facing massive disruptions in the next few
years (think HP with Merced), then our poor showing in marketing might be
understandable. But instead we have the world's best technology and no
marketing at all, as opposed to Sun/HP/IBM who have much worse technology
but marketing which makes the buying public believe they are the leaders.
> The PROBLEM is that YOU are telling them this and Digital is not.
Uhhmmm, the last time I checked my badge said "Digital Equipment". If
I am telling them, then Digital is telling them. So what you are really
complaining about is the lack of high-level, saturation advertising that
would put Digital Equipment on everyone's lips. Well, guess what? We
are in total agreement there. Whenever I see an HP or IBM or Sun or
Bay Networks or Cisco ad, and I *know* that we have either superior or
even competitive products, but I don't see a response from Digital, I
get really frustrated.
But instead of flaming in notes files and making insulting remarks about
"arrogance" and "the customer is too stupid to understand", I go out and
do what I can in my little world. Can I solve the big problems? No, but
I can help make my Sales Reps successful, and I can try to boost the
morale and attitudes of my fellow Digits, and I can help spread the word
to at least some customers and VARs that even though Digital doesn't do
fancy advertising, it can help solve their business problems. So, Mr/Ms
Customer, would you prefer fancy ads in airline magazines, or real
solutions to your current business problems?
So which do you plan to do, Jon? Boost your fellow employees morale and
attitudes, or tear them down? Work to do what you can to solve the
problems we all acknowledge in your own little area of the world, or whine
about it in notes files? Find those people in the GMA who can help and
who are as committed to doing the job as you and I are, or throw around
gratuitous insults?
I know what I plan to do, and I know a lot of people in the field and in
the GMA who are equally interested in doing the same thing.
-- Ken Moreau
|
5273.44 | You're on the Same Page | NCMAIL::YANUSC | | Mon May 12 1997 10:08 | 29 |
| RE: .41, .42, and .43
Kerry/Jon/Ken,
First off, let me say thanks to Kerry for your comments. They were
some of the clearer points to be brought out in awhile. I printed them
off to review them further and likely to plagarize them later.
As for Jon and Ken, I think both of you have the same thoughts around
marketing, or the lack thereof, in Digital right now. Jon's are
tempered by the fact that he has been in the field, like lots of us,
for some time now and has been taking many arrows from our competitors
and customers, and doesn't see the cavalry in sight. His comments tend
to have a harder edge as opposed to those of someone like Ken. On the
other hand, I believe that Ken makes some very valid points. We are
all Digital, and small battles won here and there by those of us in the
field can translate into major victories after awhile. We need to
continue pressing for more effective marketing in this company - people
just might listen, if they are approached rationally. And at the same
time, we need to put the best face on to customers that we can,
insuring we can continue to win some of these little battles.
Bottom line - continue to press for more effective marketing campaigns
from Corporate, while continuing to get out the messages to our
individual customers in the field. It's a numbers game out there -
each no or rejection of our points by a customer brings you that much
closer to one that will say Yes!
Chuck
|
5273.45 | Thought Ken was still a grunt too... | GRANPA::TSTOWERS | | Mon May 12 1997 11:09 | 4 |
| Last time I looked, Ken was out here in the trenches with the rest of
us...
tls
|
5273.46 | | ODIXIE::MOREAU | Ken Moreau;Technical Support;Florida | Mon May 12 1997 11:42 | 46 |
| RE: .44 -< You're on the Same Page >-
> As for Jon and Ken, I think both of you have the same thoughts around
> marketing, or the lack thereof, in Digital right now. Jon's are
> tempered by the fact that he has been in the field, like lots of us,
> for some time now and has been taking many arrows from our competitors
> and customers, and doesn't see the cavalry in sight. His comments tend
> to have a harder edge as opposed to those of someone like Ken.
Chuck, let me clarify something. I don't know how long Jon Danzak has
been in the Field, but I have been out here for 7 years. (thanks tls)
I've won a few and I've lost a few, and the big reason for 2 of those
huge losses has been Digital's lack of solid, consistent corporate messages
around it's products.
Big loss # 1: 3,000 high-end workstation deal, average price per workstation
between $60K and $75K, depending on configuration. We won the performance
benchmarks, we had the best price, we had 100% compatibility with their
current environment, we ran every one of their applications, we proposed
services to do the swapout, we had a *far* better NT story, and Sun won.
The customer said that the primary reason was that Digital, and especially
Digital UNIX, had no mind-share among the senior executives.
Big loss # 2: Digital owned the manufacturing and testing world of this
major company, 100% OpenVMS. Average run-rate business of $6M to $10M
per year. Today the run-rate business is $0, and the reason is that the
customer was convinced that Digital was going to abandon OpenVMS and
leave them with an orphan.
Out here in the trenches it can get pretty lonely sometimes. My primary
difference of opinion with Jon is how we both react to that loneliness
and feeling that we are getting no help from the GMA. Jon insults people,
I try to solve the problems in my little world. Jon makes sure that
everyone sees all of the problems and depresses people, I try to boost the
morale and attitude of my compatriots (and sometimes they help me back
when I am feeling down). Jon deliberately isolates himself from knowing
even the bare minimum about some of our premier products and chooses to
ridicule those he doesn't care about (Alfer), and I try to know as much
as I can about *all* of Digital's products, so that I can recognize any
opportunities and bring in the right experts to make the sale (often these
experts are from the GMA, believe it or not :^)).
We both recognize the same issues, but our approach to dealing with this
knowledge is vastly different.
-- Ken Moreau
|
5273.47 | Good old Unix is back... | KAMPUS::NEIDECKER | EUROMEDIA: Distributed Multimedia Archives | Mon May 12 1997 14:20 | 7 |
| Re.: what software do NCs run ?
Digital Semiconductors Digital Network Appliance Reference Design
(http://www.digital.com/semiconductor/dna.htm) runs NetBSD and
hence you can have it execute about anything that you can build
from source for BSD Unix or Ultrix. We have two of them here and
they are nice machines.
|
5273.48 | More evidence of Intel new inst set coming | EVMS::EVERHART | | Mon May 12 1997 14:43 | 26 |
| My remarks were references to some of the articles mentioned later
in the thread. As an additional point, you might want to look over
the site
http://www.chipanalyst.com/mpr/merced
which rather well shows that the caution that a new "native mode" for
Intel is coming. They'll still execute the x86 mode, but it looks like
if you want high performance, rewriting your code could be needed.
Certainly recompilation will. Point customers at this where they need
to make long term plans and ask "do you want to have a whole new
migration headache in a couple years?"
This is an area where selling what Digital makes first, telling
customers the truth, and competing against what Digital does not
make can go together.
The likely situation is there'll be a "compatibility mode" for Intel
indefinitely. Wonder if they'll find out, though, that compat mode
stuff winds up destroying performance of native mode (as I recall
it doing on early VAXen)?
That's also a potentially useful bit of experience one could share if
you concur...
|
5273.49 | | TLE::REAGAN | All of this chaos makes perfect sense | Mon May 12 1997 15:03 | 7 |
| I never remember any claim that PDP-11 compatibility mode hurt the
performance of early VAX machines, but then again the early VAX were
not on a single chip trying to squeeze as much on-chip cache as
possible. They were large, multi-board, and microcoded. Not much
of a comparison to today's single-chip CPUs.
-John
|
5273.50 | The slowdown is in a mix of native & compat | STAR::EVERHART | | Mon May 12 1997 16:04 | 16 |
| The compat mode slowdown was bruited about DECUS some. The problem was
that the processor was either in compat mode or not, and compat mode
code ran slower than native. Therefore a mix of compat and native
mode stuff would tend to have the compat mode stuff CPU bound,
which kept the CPU from doing native mode. (This is somebody's
law as I recall but darn if I remember what name is associated.
Brooks?)
The effect got really noticeable on the 8600 which still had compat
mode iron, but whose native mode was much faster.
Back at RCA, some sys managers had a tendency to want to shoot
people who ran compat mode jobs much interactively...
Glenn Everhart
|
5273.51 | Extending the Olive Branch | NCMAIL::YANUSC | | Mon May 12 1997 17:06 | 33 |
| RE: .46
Ken,
I share your frustration with botched marketing messages, musical
chairs among the management team, and all the myriad of other problems
and situations that have caused us to lose business big time. My
inference was that Jon shared the same frustrations, and how he shared
those with the world was perhaps a little "harder edge" than your own.
You have been in the field for 7 years, I believe you stated. If the
same Jon Danzak I knew in Syracuse (before the move to Pittsburg), he
has had 10+ years I would guess. I have been in field sales with
Digital for 15 years. Between the 3 of us we have seen good times and
bad, so we can pretty effectively comment on historical trends within
Digital (er, DEC, no darn, DIGITAL.) I too have lost business big-time
over the years, just as you have pointed out in your memo. But we have
also been winning some business, also, and I see opportunities in the
NT arena we would have been closed out of, if they had stayed UNIX only.
Yes, I can get frustrated at high-priced management that seems to be
without a clue (some of the time). But I must have woke up on the right
side of the bed this morning, since I seem to be in a much more
positive mood towards our chances of success.
Your points around Jon's style as opposed to your own were
enlightening. Personally, while Jon's can be fun to read at times, and
needed at others, your approach of trying to rationally bring about
change will likely be more successful in the long-haul. I appreciate
all your Notes commentaries, Ken, so don't feel slighted by anything
said in an earlier Note - I just didn't have your background until you
stated it.
Chuck
|
5273.52 | | MSE1::PCOTE | press one now for personal name | Mon May 12 1997 17:11 | 9 |
|
> The effect got really noticeable on the 8600 which still had compat
> mode iron, but whose native mode was much faster.
(rathole alert) the 86x0 did not have dedicated hardware for
pdp11 compatibility mode. This was achieved via microcode
and the only ramification (that I can recall) was flushing
the istream and too much consumption of control store space.
|
5273.53 | Unless it is another Brooks... | GLDX02::ALLBERY | Jim | Mon May 12 1997 17:46 | 11 |
| > This is somebody's
> law as I recall but darn if I remember what name is associated.
> Brooks?
The "Brooks' Law" I know is "Adding man-power to an already late
software project will ownly make it later" (Frederick Brooks, from "The
Mythical Man-Month), which probably isn't the law you're looking for...
Unless of course is that the reason compat mode was slow was because
microcode efficiency was sacrificed to meet the delivery deadline...
;^) ;^)
|
5273.54 | | NPSS::GLASER | Steve Glaser DTN 226-7212 LKG1-2/W6 (G17) | Mon May 12 1997 20:30 | 10 |
| If you want some more FUD, a careful reading of
http://www.chipanalyst.com/mpr/merced
implies that the processor will take interrupts in x86 mode.
This is so the system is compatable with old operating systems.
I suspect that will get in the way (as well as the ancient crufty
interrupt structure used on most x86 systems).
Steveg
|
5273.55 | that strategy won big in the past | LGP30::FLEISCHER | without vision the people perish (DTN 381-0426 ZKO1-1) | Tue May 13 1997 11:40 | 15 |
| re Note 5273.54 by NPSS::GLASER:
> implies that the processor will take interrupts in x86 mode.
> This is so the system is compatable with old operating systems.
>
> I suspect that will get in the way (as well as the ancient crufty
> interrupt structure used on most x86 systems).
Sounds like Intel plans to repeat what they did very
successfully with the transition first to the 286 and then to
the 386 architectures, i.e., build a chip that can be treated
as just a faster Pentium by software that hasn't caught up
with it.
Bob
|
5273.56 | More thoughts from the field | USAT05::GARAVANO | | Tue May 13 1997 13:30 | 29 |
| RE: .41, .42, .43, .44, & .51
As someone who has been in the field selling for 16 years -
all three of you make good points - And I always get something out of
every note you write, optimistic or pessimistic -
To the issue of marketing - Yes, it is desperately needed - but Bob's
latest message to the field seems to indicate something will be going
on shortly in that area -
What bothers me is the exit of most of the quality sales talent due to
the frustration of a broken compensation system - one that has been
"broken" since day one - regardless of the software application(s)
employed to fix it -
Sadder still we will not be able to attract quality talent until this
is fixed - because that talent knows it can go elsewhere "where the
system works" - so while we are sending messages to the corporation
please remember this one -
People buy from People they trust -
This trust must be earned
The trust must start within the company
Only then can it be effectively driven to the customer.
Just my two cents -
|
5273.57 | | BIGUN::nessus.cao.dec.com::Mayne | A wretched hive of scum and villainy | Tue May 13 1997 19:10 | 14 |
| > To the issue of marketing - Yes, it is desperately needed - but Bob's
> latest message to the field seems to indicate something will be going
> on shortly in that area -
I've been hearing that line ever since I joined over 6 years ago.
> What bothers me is the exit of most of the quality sales talent due to
> the frustration of a broken compensation system - one that has been
> "broken" since day one - regardless of the software application(s)
> employed to fix it -
Ditto.
PJDM
|
5273.58 | Oops | HERON::ROHOU | Philippe | Wed May 14 1997 04:51 | 8 |
| re: -1
>>> I've been hearing that line ever since I joined over
6 years ago.
If you need some help to get your foot out of your mouth,
g'us a shout !
|