T.R | Title | User | Personal Name | Date | Lines |
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2227.1 | buy low, but what is low? | ODIXIE::RHARRIS | The deerhuntermeistersupreme | Wed Nov 18 1992 21:08 | 14 |
| Makes me sick to my stomach, as I own 200 shares of /DEC stock.
My break even point is $39 a share, and am thoroughly dis-
illusioned with the corporate performance. What is really going
to happen to this company after the next big round of layoffs?
Are we going to see the stock dip into the $20's? How many
people will become suicidal? When do you unload the stock? I
did feel positive about the company when I bought, and am seeing
to much cutting in certain areas, that it really makes me wonder,
"do the big boys really know what they are doing?"
Concerned as an employee and an investor\
bob
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2227.2 | gameplan | SULACO::JUDICE | It's not a blimp, it's a Zeppelin | Wed Nov 18 1992 22:12 | 9 |
|
Anyone see the Business Week article several months ago on
Restructuring? The gist was that the "game plan" for restructuring
is laid out by a small cadre of super-top-level, Harvard MBA
Management Consultants who have ZERO experience actually running
businesses.
/ljj
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2227.3 | | MIMS::PARISE_M | Southern, but no comfort | Wed Nov 18 1992 22:18 | 5 |
|
Phanthom Profits? Our big problem is Phanthom Expenses!
Once your die is cast (as our's apparently is to mindless reduction),
it's nearly impossible to change or break out of the mold.
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2227.4 | 3 points to go! | DV780::DAVISGB | Another hot number from the 50's | Thu Nov 19 1992 00:34 | 7 |
| We hear about the December 7th layoff...(probably to affect yours
truly)
And then I notice that the stock's at 32 and something.
20's is getting nearer every day...
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2227.5 | my anlsysis of the stock market movments for DEC | STAR::ABBASI | Nobel price winner, expected 2035 | Thu Nov 19 1992 01:09 | 8 |
| may be when the stock hits 30, then people will look at it and say what
a great buy, and its price will go up very quickly back up. if you dont
need the money i think you should not care if it goes down, because it
will eventual go back up. just be patient.
/nasser
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2227.6 | the point | GVPROD::GOLDBLATT | The Spectator | Thu Nov 19 1992 02:42 | 16 |
| The point of the base note was that eliminating employees as a strategy
to improve a company's cash flow was unsuccessfull. Digital is using
this very same strategy, so can we reasonably expect Digital to succeed
where others have failed ?
As the article pointed out, reducing costs by a one-time staff
reduction doesn't address the basic business problems that motivate
cost-cutting. For Digital it's equaly true and IMHO, if by the end of
FY93 this company doesn't have :
1) a viable marketing strategy planned and funded
2) business managers managing the business
all the panic-driven cost-cutting in the world won't make this company
a commercial success.
David
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2227.7 | | FORTSC::CHABAN | Pray for Peter Pumpkinhead! | Thu Nov 19 1992 03:57 | 24 |
|
The nature of the business has changed. Tiny machines can do whan big
ones once did, therefore, revenues are samller. Margins suck because
standard operating systems take away what was once a big differentiator.
In the abscence of differentiation, price wars ensue.
Two possible solutions. differentiate or play the commodity game.
To differentiate is to continue the "VMS is better than UNIX" or
convince the marketplace that "our UNIX is better than the others" or
"our NT is better than the others". Both require a big investment in
terms of money and people.
The commodity game requires us to cut costs, period. Commodities get
sold on the basis of price. Price is a function of cost. This means
we cut our headcount because it is the single biggest cost.
My suggestion is to do both. The key is to cut those people who are
not making our NT or UNIX better or convicing customers they are.
-Ed
-Ed
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2227.8 | | LAGUNA::BARTHOLOM_RI | | Thu Nov 19 1992 11:53 | 10 |
|
For what its worth:
DEC has several key strengths and we are not really playing to these
strengths: Networking, our new ALPHA machines, and our people for
starters! If we began to really capitalize on these strengths, I
believe those shares would rise rapidly! I still have held on to
mine-no big numbers-but part of my retirement portfolio. I also think
that we should be moving rapidly into SI which could also be a big win
for us.
|
2227.9 | people and differentiation | ESGWST::HALEY | PowerFrame - Not just an Architecture | Thu Nov 19 1992 12:46 | 49 |
| re .7
There may well be other ways to diferentiate. Low cost manufacturing is a
very poor way to try to differentiate as there is almost always somebody
who can do it at a lower cost.
We could differentiate by trying to please potential partners and OEMs
by actually listening to their needs and providing them with systems that
meet those needs. This is an IBM strategy perfected over several years, and
while we can all laugh at IBM, their AS/400 product line is as large as our
company and very profitable. Sun also used this strategy in the mid '80's
through about '89 when they started getting a bit more cocky telling
software companies what is good for them.
We could differentiate through better understanding our customers business
and offering solutions aimed at helping them. This would actually require
us to have multiple groups in DEC work together so I doubt the atmosphere
of today will allow that. Competition for funding seems to be the order of
the day.
We could differentiate by leading standards and getting there first. This
is obviously harder for us simply because of our history and reputation,
but nobody said differentiation is easy. PCs and WSs moving to WNT will
provide some very interesting opportunities for managing data in a new and
more complex heterogeneous environment. Getting there first with a
reasonable and affordable product set could be one example. Standards can
be de facto, even in networking. Witness the great success Novell has had
despite using XNS.
I spent some time with a guy who was able to differentiate soda ash. He
sifted twice and then put it into water proof bag instead of a plain paper
bag. He was able to double the price received at only a 3% increase in
cost. If soda ash can be differentiated, anything can. Perhaps we are too
narrow in our approach to looking for opportunities.
re .8
I know this may be heresy, but I think Digital is staffed with average
people. I think any time you have 105,800 of anything, you are going to
tend to the median. Our population is no better or worse than any other.
We have some brilliant people and some louts. We have a tremendous number
of bright people who work hard. I doubt we are much different in this than
IBM, Kodak, Proctor and Gamble, or Data General. Every company I work with
thinks they can use the people they employ as a differentiator, when in
reality they can use the system supporting those people as a
differentiator. I do not believe that you can always hire above average
people to work on average projects at average salaries across all
geographies. This is not bad, just reality. I find fighting reality to be
poor use of time.
matt
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2227.10 | honest question | CSOADM::ROTH | From little acorns mighty oaks grow. | Thu Nov 19 1992 13:07 | 6 |
| Re: .8, key strengths
How do Digital's "people" differ from those in other companies so as to
be a "key strength"?
Lee
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2227.11 | Lay off the "key" people. | CASDOC::MEAGHER | Common sense isn't common | Thu Nov 19 1992 13:28 | 24 |
| >>> How do Digital's "people" differ from those in other companies so as to
>>> be a "key strength"?
Good question.
I don't think Digital's people are any better or worse than the people who work
for our competitors (Hewlett-Packard, Sun, etc.). (Just my opinion--no factual
reason for saying this.)
But the culture and management style at Digital has assured that our people are
underutilized, and definitely not contributing as much to the company's profits
as our competitors' people do. (Once again, just my opinion.) The Digital
culture rewards people for doing what they want to do instead of doing what the
customers need for them to do. To me, the company's mantra is "Do your own
thing."
Unless Palmer can change the culture of the company, I don't see much hope for a
turnaround.
And the easiest way to change the culture is for the grim reaper to lay off
*most* of the middle managers in the next layoff cycle. (I define middle
manager to be anyone above a supervisor level and below a vice president.)
Vicki Meagher
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2227.12 | Will we live...? | CGOOA::DTHOMPSON | Don, of Don's ACT | Thu Nov 19 1992 14:59 | 55 |
| Re: them all...
Can DEC break out of the 'restructuring mode' - probably. BUT!!!
Can we then break out of the mold which got us here in the first
place? I doubt it. Especially from current actions and commentary.
IF we have an idea of who and what we are...
IMnsHO - the General Purpose, most things to most people computer
company, is up-for-grabs and we certainly have the product
lines (HW & SW) and potential...
- checking out niches and 'core strengths' is NOT going to
do it and is just another way of avoiding actually leading
and actually taking responsibility
IF we have or can acquire the skills...
IMnsHO - we had them. I hope we still do after the restructuring.
IF we can motivate those people with the skills...
IMnsHO - Yeah, sure! Drive a foreign car, wear flashy clothes, and
restructure -> layoff workies -> resturcture -> layoff
workies. Pause and shuffle VP's.
IF we can manage the people...
IMnsHO - The organization chart could/should/might be...
Pres
20 x Vice President
400 x Director
8000 x Manager
160000 x worker bees
- If the top guy can't divide it into 20, find 20 capable
eclectics, then he shouldn't be there...
- If one (or more) of the 20 can't manage diverse areas then
the top guy made a mistake - which is OK - and those of the
20 unable to cope should go...
- If there aren't 400 left in the company who can manage
manage managers and not build empires, there certainly are
good ones out there.
- If a person can't manage 20 people, review and rate them on
time, motivate and guide them, then they should not be in
any kind of supervisory position.
Now look what we have -- an organization of 8421 people in management
(somewhat less than Digital's 35K) able to build on the skill of
160,000 direct contributors (somewhat more than Digital's entire
127,000 peak population).
IF Mr. Palmer can not/will not adjust management down to that level,
then our prior-to-restructuring-problem problem will still be here IF
we get out of restructuring alive.
Do I have faith? Do you?
|
2227.13 | Special pleading | COUNT0::WELSH | Think it through | Fri Nov 20 1992 04:07 | 44 |
| re .9:
> Every company I work with
>thinks they can use the people they employ as a differentiator, when in
>reality they can use the system supporting those people as a
>differentiator. I do not believe that you can always hire above average
>people to work on average projects at average salaries across all
>geographies. This is not bad, just reality. I find fighting reality to be
>poor use of time.
Too right, Matt. But some people have reality beaten down to
a dull buzz in the background, and can live their lives without
it.
Btw, how ON EARTH could Digital claim to differentiate itself
on the basis of its people?
"We have the best people because:
- Our pay and perks are the best in the industry
- Every ambitious young person wants to work for one of
the big names in the industry - a household word
- Time at Digital helps your resume/CV a lot
- It's a good way to get on the fast track with the latest
technology
- It's a pleasure to work for the best run company
- Digital's superior marketing reputation is an irresistible
lure
- We offer unparalleled job security
- (Add your own...)"
The real argument is
"We have the best people (just as we have the best computers, the best
software, the best services, the best culture, the best managers, the
best ideas and the best darn company, because
- WE'RE DIGITAL! (Who else could have done such a good job?)
This brings me back to the beginning, and people who have successfully
dispensed with reality. It also brings to mind Jack Shields' memo to
the sales force about arrogance and complacency.
/Tom
|
2227.14 | | SGOUTL::BELDIN_R | Free at last in 56 days | Fri Nov 20 1992 10:05 | 9 |
| We could only have the best people if we had good management that knows
what the company needs, knows what talent is when they see it, and
makes decisions based on facts, not political expediency or
correctness. Based on the comments about our management we have been
making over the past few years, we can't be that good! Digital's
problem is that decisions are still being made based on myths and
wishes rather than facts.
Dick
|
2227.15 | We try, but ... | AUSTIN::UNLAND | Sic Biscuitus Disintegratum | Fri Nov 20 1992 10:15 | 31 |
| re: <<< Note 2227.11 by CASDOC::MEAGHER "Common sense isn't common" >>>
> The Digital culture rewards people for doing
> what they want to do instead of doing what the customers need for
> them to do. To me, the company's mantra is "Do your own thing."
I think this statement is somewhat of an injustice. In the Field at
least, the great majority of IC's who deal with the customers sincerely
want to do the right thing for the customer, but often find themselves
thwarted at every turn by Digital's internal thrashing. Every staff
person and manager wants to have a veto, but nobody wants to take any
responsibility for the customer. Just walk into a Field office and
ask someone where the buzzwords "Sales Prevention Team" and "Customer
Dis-Services" come from, and you'll get an earful.
In the Field, we went wrong about six or seven years ago when it became
easier for a person to "get ahead" in the company by playing internal
politics. Up to that time, the easiest way to succeed in the company
was to be a true entrepeneur, try new ideas, and get new customers.
Nowadays, people are scared to death to try new things, for fear that
they'll be vulnerable to the layoff or that they'll be breaking some
political taboo. With this kind of negative reinforcement, the entire
focus for career advancement is now politically-based, rather than
performance-based.
Laying off massive numbers of individual contributors will certainly
cut expenses, but as long as the ones who are left are rewarded by
management for political purposes rather than business purposes, the
Company will maintain it's descending spiral into obscurity.
Geoff
|