T.R | Title | User | Personal Name | Date | Lines |
---|
380.1 | THE UNIVERSE OR NOTHING... | BTOENG::LESPERANCE | | Wed Dec 30 1987 18:48 | 1 |
|
|
380.2 | That's no arguement | CTOAVX::GERMAIN | Down to the sea in ships.. | Thu Dec 31 1987 09:44 | 40 |
| Re: .1 THE UNIVERSE OR NOTHING.
It's all very well to SAY that, and I agree with you, but it does
not constitute a coherent arguement. People without fervent, heartfelt
interest in the space program have different agendas. If we are
to be able to sell the space program, we MUST address these agendas.
WE MUST SHOW HOW A VIGOROUS SPACE PROGRAM FITS INTO THE NATIONAL
AGENDA.
More than that, it must be PROVED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
The "spinoff" arguement doesn't seem to carry any weight, anymore.
I guess we have come to expect tremendous increases in technological
capabilities, so people won't buy a space program to give them what
they expect anyway.
I also believe that exploration signifies a vigorous, active, society.
And that a civilization that sits back, and rests on its past
explorations as an indicator of its vigor is doomed to die. But,
again, this is more of a philosophical arguement. And while philosophy
has a large place in an effort such as this, it, by itself, is weak.
The country was designed to have decisions be made based on what
the people perceive AT THE TIME to be their best interests. We must
show how a space program is in the national best interest.
One way is to put the space program in the position of having to
show return on investment (ROI). Ken Olsen had to do this to start
Digital - and he had to do it FIRST, before he got the money.
This is a tough, pragmatic, world we live in folks. And the country
is in a lot of financial trouble. And anything that smacks of useless
spending will be axed, and anything that shows promise to the nation
will be kept.
We need ideas.
Gregg
|
380.3 | If nothing else, it should start the debate. | CRAIG::YANKES | | Tue Jan 05 1988 12:22 | 74 |
|
Re: 306.8
Gregg, I was going to reply in 306.*, but since you asked for
it to be here...
I agree totally with you. We are in the midst of a very expensive
project with no clear direction or reason for being there. And,
especially important in a democracy, no real backing of the public
for continuing it.
While I was rather young, I remember the Gemini and Apollo days.
(I was a little to young to remember the Mercury...) People were
fascinated by the launches and really supported the idea of space
exploration. Or did they? What I think they were actually supporting
was two things: 1) the desire to beat the Soviets to the moon (and
thus prove our technology as being better than theirs), and, 2) hero
worship of those brave people strapping themselves into those tiny
cans and being hurled hundreds of miles into space. Did the public
every really support space exploration per se? I don't believe
so with the supporting evidence being the decline in space interest
after we landed on the moon a few times. (As I recall, the last
few Apollos got quite little coverage.)
What happened to the support? Well, we beat them to the moon
and thus "proved our manhood" (sorry, ladies) and showed that space
flight was not that dangerous. (It was and is dangerous, but the
flights went well enough (up to Challenger) to give the public the
image that hero-worship was not called for.) What was left to generate
the public's support? Nothing, and thus the "ho-hum" attitude we
have today.
Enter the Space Shuttle -- that marvelous machine that would
fly zillions of times each year and bring the price-to-orbit "down
to earth", so to speak, and revolutionize our activities in space.
Well, the shuttle's history has put it right into the gray zone of
having flown enough to be old news, but yet not flying enough to
provide any real benefits to the common person. Add to that the
talks about the very expensive Space Station (with the DoD's not
so gently nudging into the picture) and the budget crisis and it is
safe to say that most people feel that our space policy is one of:
1) Technology for technology's sake. Won't fly due to the
price.
2) Space Shuttle / Station as a front for SDI testing and
deployment. Not a PR win since the SDI concept hasn't exactly caught
on with the public. No coattails to ride here.
3) $$$$$s for contractors. Most of the public's comments on
this would require a lot of funny looking things in four character
groupings like: "@*$%".
In short, there is no reason to expect the public to back an
extensive space program without a publicly-backed goal. Mars?
Colonizing the moon? The only hope in either of these, I think,
is a joint spaceflight to Mars. And even in this, the real goal
is not space exploration, but rather demonstrating the we and the
Soviets can cooperate in something bigger than the Apollo/Soyuz
mission. What would happen after this hypothetical mission? I
would not be suprised at all to see the public going back to its
ho-hum attitude once the real goal was satisfied.
Congratulations if you've stuck with this reply this far. In
return, let me add my own feelings about space exploration in a
few sentences: *Without a defined and reasonable goal*, I could
almost care less if the shuttle would fly again tomorrow or three
years from now. A saying that I once heard is appropriate: "If
you have to keep telling people how great your project is, it probably
isn't great at all. Once they start telling *you* how great it
is, its ok." All I'm hearing is NASA and the industry telling us
how great it is, not the other way around.
-craig
|
380.4 | Lack of general vision | SARAH::BUEHLER | Facts are stubborn things | Tue Jan 05 1988 13:25 | 39 |
| I think the reason that noone is pursuing the topic of this note is
that everyone has been spitting out their frustration and dreams in a variety
of other notes. People are just too tired to go through the emotional wringer
again.
Personally, I've just picked up a new long-term view of things and have
a very strong belief that space is where we have to go. Before, I just had
a general interest and enthusiasm for space exploration. "Gosh, that's neat.
I wish I could do that."
*Knowing* that the race's next big step is going into space and starting
to colonize it and becoming a space-faring civilization gives me a certain
resolve (even if I'm wrong). I *know* that we have to spend the money on
space exploration. I *know* the benefits will be there. We'd be at war
with space, and that really taxes man's ability to produce new and innovative
solutions to things. But man always seems to respond very well. That
resiliancy (sp?) of mankind is something that I'm betting heavily on.
But no mention of a reason for getting legislative bodies to vote for more
NASA (et al) funds. Why? Because we're not going to be able to give them
any that they'll believe unless they have a basic 'faith' that we're going
into space and that much will be gained by it.
One big gain that would be picked up by a vigorous (large) space program
is that lots of people would be involved in a very ambitious project with
long-term goals and large, visible results. At the end of a project, a person
could walk away saying "Hot *damn*! I did something that made a difference."
Of course, not everyone is going to be able to say that, but there's plenty
of possibilities for it, and some will only walk away with a little smile
on their face, knowing that at least they're not just making money for money's
sake and not having anything to believe in.
We may have spurts of true interest (like the shuttle in its early days) or
interest spurred by paranoia (like SDI or having the soviets doing stuff
with MIR, etc), but until we have a basic shift in attitudes, no reason in
the world is going to affect the American people. They're too worried about
getting a stereo or car, or that trip to the Carribean. No vision.
John
|
380.5 | Don't cry - get creative!!!!! | MERIDN::GERMAIN | Down to the Sea in Ships | Tue Jan 05 1988 13:57 | 44 |
| Re: .4
Interest is picking up, in this note. I think it is due to the
fact that the goal is to "construct" or "create" sound basic reasons
for the space program - not wring our hands, and be miserable.
I have a problem with space goals like:
Colonize the moon, or
Build a space station, or
Land on Mars (joint mission or no),
Because they are "ENDS". Not means to an end. I have to admit that
I have only read a few articles on the Ride report, but my feeling
is that the report speaks only to "ends". WHY go to Mars? Why build
a space station? What good is it? What will it do for us? As people
- as a nation. The Soviet leaders enjoy a little more autonomy than
our leaders - if they want to be in space just to show us up, you
only have to convince a few hundred people.
I like my job, because it allows me to create. I can contribute
something to a project that is worthwhile (both the project, and
my contribution). Is there a way everybody in the nation can contribute
- other than monetarily? Can they be a part of it? Take the risks?
what can they do? The space program is far too elitist. the days
when people were impressed by the space jargon are gone - now it
sounds very trite - it's almost painful to hear. Some astronauts,
Eugene Cernan is one of them, will tell you to this day that it's
tough on present day astronauts, because of the instant notoriety
and celebrity. I squirm when I hear that, because they do not even
come near to living under such a "burden". All that tells me is
that the the space community is living in the past, and out of touch
with the present.
The moon, space station, or Mars projects should be a means to
an end.
What is that end?
Gregg
|
380.6 | OUr duty as citizens to think!!!!!!! | MERIDN::GERMAIN | Down to the Sea in Ships | Tue Jan 05 1988 14:04 | 14 |
| p.s. Our legislators will vote for space if they think that their
constiuency wants it badly enough!
It is NOT always the legislators job to think up the reasons for
doing something - IT IS OURS!!!!!!!! As a general observation, in
lots of areas besides space, the people of this nation seem to think
that the legislators are supposed to do our thinking for us.
As I understand the Republic, nothing could be further from the
truth.
Gregg
|
380.7 | You make me sad! | BCSE::WMSON | Illegitimi non carborundum | Tue Jan 05 1988 14:27 | 34 |
| RE: .3 & .4
Oh! You are so right. You bet I did, and can, say with pride "HotD**n,
I did live thru a piece of history!" I was at Cape Canaveral and
its tracking stations from 1957-1969. I was on the island of San
Salvador tracking Atlas weapons tests the day Sputnik went up, and
I personally worked on every single manned mission prior to the
one that put Armstrong on the moon.
I am very saddened by your comments which are only too true. Because
of the apparent flawlessness of the missions, the public lost sight
of the very real dangers that were faced each mission; and where
there is no thrill of the unexpected the public tends to soon lose
interest in what they preceive as "old-hat". NASA did a very carefully
orchestrated PR program to build the image of the original 7 into
bigger than life hero's - and it worked, but it couldn't sustain
over the apathy that develops around the familiar.
The shuttle couldn't rekindle the fire because alothough it was
a new craft with more crew, it was still just a craft circling earth;
not nearly as exciting as going to the moon before we actually did
it.
I think the first step is the development of a viable long term
goal or goals and a demonstrated committment to achieve them. Once
we have that then we need a carefully tuned PR effort to refire
the public interest - which would probably only be successful if
the goals have what it takes to be billed as doing the undoable,
national pride, and all those other things that have already been
so well said.
Bill Williamson
(former ZD8W)
|
380.8 | Sad no more... | CTOAVX::GERMAIN | Down to the sea in ships.. | Tue Jan 05 1988 15:46 | 9 |
| Bill,
I envy you a great deal - to have been there!!!! Especially during
the explosive growth of the space program!!!!!!
This particular dialogue is intended to determine those goals you
talked about! so that you don't have to be sad anymore.....
Gregg
|
380.9 | life conservation for the future | BAXTA::BARNABY_GALE | | Tue Jan 05 1988 21:14 | 14 |
| listen to all the people worried about conserving resorces for future
generations. I expect it will take a lonnnng time to develop
interstellar travel. the only way to develop it is to venture into
space, the moon, mars,... there are things that need to be studied
away from gravity. the farther out and faster we can go will be
a great stepping stone. who knows what will happen years from now,
maybe there will someday be a real need to travel to space. what
if our friend halley's comet decides to make one of it's passes
through the earth? I would like to think we could divert it or if
needed destroy it. I maybe wrong but it seams like playing russian
roulette with these occasional comets buzzing through our orbit.
what if mankind lasted til the sun was used up. I think they would
want to be colonized elsewhere. these things may sound far fetched
or far off, but what could stop it from happening?
|
380.11 | Some reasons... | TUNER::FLIS | | Wed Jan 06 1988 12:01 | 61 |
|
I've not heard much in the way of reasons...
We've talked of 'why this note', 'why not this note', 'there are
no reasons', 'there are reasons but the common person wont understand
them'. Hogwash!
An active space program should exist for the following reasons (this
list is far from complete and may even be incorrect at times, but
it's a start!):
- An active space program (ASP) would generate JOBS. Less people
on unemployment. The common person can understand that.
- An ASP would continue to improve the capabilities of weather
prediction and storm tracking, as it has done over the last
30 years. (compare todays capabilities with that of 1958)
- An ASP would continue to imporve the capabilities of data
comunications.
- An ASP would help to save lives (see last two) in forwarning
of major storms and weather patterns, etc; ground to air traffic
control and emergency communications, etc; reports of tectonic
activity and the spread of crop desease, etc.
- An ASP would save money (see last three). Every time a life,
city or crop is saved, money is saved. The pay back from
the space program is *instant*, not in years...
- An ASP would allow the construction of lower cost hardware
(COMSATs, etc) because they could be retrieved and repaired
instead of designed to last *forever*.
- An ASP would permit detailed study into zeroG pharmisuticals(sp)
and botany as well as other zeroG studies involving metals,
plastics and biological materials. All this *could* have
big results and falls under the heading of pure research,
just like the SSC.
- An ASP would allow studies into long term affects of zeroG
on humans as a prelude to long space flights to the planets.
These trips to the planets would begin as pure research and
exploration and become laboratories for practical research
in many areas including botany and mining.
- SPIN-OFFS are *VALID*!! If they do not spur an interest in
the space program it is because they are not very good at
advertising and lobbying. An ASP would result in a better
standard of living, guaranteed. The valuble spin-offs are
visible on a continous basis and range from the very common
(longer lasting light bulbs) to the exotic (Heart transplant
technology and computers).
- National security. We don't have to like this aspect, but
we can not ignore it either.
Well, that's a start. Any comments? Any additions?
jim
|
380.12 | | MONSTR::HUGHES | Greetings and hallucinations! | Wed Jan 06 1988 12:34 | 58 |
| > If they do not spur an interest in
> the space program it is because they are not very good at
> advertising and lobbying.
Bingo!! NASA seems to have missed the point that to get public support,
you have to get them interested and enthused. They let Apollo over
shadow all other space activities in the 60s and haven't bothered
to tell John and Jane Public what they've been up to in other programs
for the last 25 years or so.
What PR there is centers around the manned program and the more
spectacular planetary missions. Great for us techies, but the average
person is probably more concerned about rings around the bathtub than
rings around Uranus.
Get the public interested and their elected representatives will
follow.
There have been a number of programs that had the potential to get
the public thinking "Gee! That's a good idea" that NASA's PR folks
completely ignored. Things like ERTS, Landsat, the search and rescue
equipment now on some satellites, the ongoing development of weather
satellites. Some people may remember TIROS, but how many would have
even heard of ITOS, ESSA, NOAA, GOES etc?
Some catchy names for these things wouldn't hurt either. Its much
easier to get enthused about Saturn or Nova than it is about Space
Transportation System.
Spinoffs... in an old book (1971) on the shuttle program, the preface
comments that for every $1 the US has spent on its space program,
it has earned $25 in trade based on spinoff technology (that's a
LOT of 'Tang' :-). But lets not tell anyone....
I don't think employment is a big winner... most people will dismiss
it as more overpaid jobs for techies.
Retrieving COMSATs isn't going to buy you much. In fact it can become
a problem if you have lots of old technology birds up there occupying
valuable real estate in the Clarke belt. Reminding the public how
much they depend upon comsats EVERY DAY wouldn't hurt however.
Pure research isn't going to sell much either. But reminding the
public how NASA research has benefitted their everyday life would.
National security... You don't think the public would like to know that
their are a bunch of satellites in orbit quietly looking for telltale
signs of a missile launch or nuclear explosion? I think even the
most ardent SDI opponents might like to know that recon. sats are
one of the things that make arms limitation agreements possible.
In this society, quietly getting on with the job just doesn't cut
it if you depend upon public support. NASA needs to be out there
'waving the flag' and telling the public how they benefit from funding
a space program.
gary
|
380.13 | | CRAIG::YANKES | | Wed Jan 06 1988 13:33 | 93 |
|
Jim,
Here are my comments concerning your list. Thanks for listing them
(even though I disagree with some) to start the debate on "solid ideas" rather
than just philosophical points!
-craig
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
- An active space program (ASP) would generate JOBS. Less people
on unemployment. The common person can understand that.
Very expensive in terms of jobs per mega-buck. Other, gasp, dare I
say it, "more useful" projects (how many bridges are ready to fall down?)
will generate lots of jobs at the blue-collar level, not just high-techy
jobs.
- An ASP would continue to improve the capabilities of weather
prediction and storm tracking, as it has done over the last
30 years. (compare todays capabilities with that of 1958)
Not to sound overly practical, but how much better does it have
to get for the average guy on the street? On my New England news, I can
already see storms in the north Pacific that won't get here for a week.
Would seeing storms *two* weeks out help me? I don't think so.
- An ASP would continue to imporve the capabilities of data
comunications.
Granted, but a huge ASP is not really needed for this benefit.
- An ASP would help to save lives (see last two) in forwarning
of major storms and weather patterns, etc; ground to air traffic
control and emergency communications, etc; reports of tectonic
activity and the spread of crop desease, etc.
Quick, send a message to Des Moines over the 38 godzillion baud
instant lasar link that a killer crop disease is here in Idaho and is heading
their way at around a half mile per day! :-)
- An ASP would save money (see last three). Every time a life,
city or crop is saved, money is saved. The pay back from
the space program is *instant*, not in years...
Now, to get serious and philosophical. As cruel as it sounds, society
always has to determine a reasonable price-per-single-life. Unless the price
of the ASP can be amortorized over a *lot* of people, the price is simply too
high. Spending the money in other areas of "saving lives" (preventative
medicine, etc.) would probably save a lot more people per kilo-buck.
- An ASP would allow the construction of lower cost hardware
(COMSATs, etc) because they could be retrieved and repaired
instead of designed to last *forever*.
This is looking only at the satellite cost. If you add in the price
for the launching, we get into the shuttle vrs throw-away argument. But that
was already covered elsewhere.
- An ASP would permit detailed study into zeroG pharmisuticals(sp)
and botany as well as other zeroG studies involving metals,
plastics and biological materials. All this *could* have
big results and falls under the heading of pure research,
just like the SSC.
Yes.
- An ASP would allow studies into long term affects of zeroG
on humans as a prelude to long space flights to the planets.
These trips to the planets would begin as pure research and
exploration and become laboratories for practical research
in many areas including botany and mining.
Yes.
- SPIN-OFFS are *VALID*!! If they do not spur an interest in
the space program it is because they are not very good at
advertising and lobbying. An ASP would result in a better
standard of living, guaranteed. The valuble spin-offs are
visible on a continous basis and range from the very common
(longer lasting light bulbs) to the exotic (Heart transplant
technology and computers).
Questionable. Are you suggesting that the computer industry will
stop making major advances without an ASP?
- National security. We don't have to like this aspect, but
we can not ignore it either.
I don't think anyone would question recon satellites. SDI, ah, that's
the subject for a different major flame from both sides.
|
380.14 | It really IS the Universe or nothing... | DICKNS::KLAES | All the galaxy's a stage... | Wed Jan 06 1988 14:55 | 20 |
| It truly bothers me that the fate of the human race (no, I do
not say this comment lightly) is in the hands of an apathetic and
ignorant public!
Of course, I am probably being ethnocentric - if the US is
unwilling and/or unable to continue exploring space, then there
are always the Europeans, Japanese, Soviets, and who knows who else.
I am a purist at heart when it comes to space exploration.
To me the money should NOT matter (but I know that's just a fantasy
for now). I seriously believe that if we do not start colonizing
the Sol System, then the other stars, then even - dare I say it -
the other galaxies if we ar so fortunate, then the human race will
eventually stagnate and die one way or the other.
As Konstantin Tsilovsky onc said, "Earth is the cradle of the
mind, but one cannot live in the cradle forever."
Larry
|
380.15 | | CRAIG::YANKES | | Wed Jan 06 1988 16:44 | 19 |
|
Re: .14
Even if I agreed with your goal, Larry, I would suspect that
statements like .14 would tend to turn the general public away from
space exploration, not closer to it. We need to define and articulate
goals that the public will cling to, and support, today. NASA is
dealing with a public that demands instant gratification and doesn't
really look to the future. How can NASA push a multi-hundred year
vision when they can't even get across a hundred week vision? (If they
do succeed, I think DEC should hire their PR department. :-)
I might be overly cynical, but I'm still waiting to hear about
a goal that convinces *me* to write to my congressmen and urge them
to give NASA more funding. If I'm not yet convinced (being in the
hi-tech field that I am), I can certainly understand the lack of
enthusiasm among the general public.
-craig
|
380.16 | Support does not = more $ for NASA | MILVAX::SCOLARO | | Wed Jan 06 1988 18:12 | 35 |
| It may seem like a small point but I feel that a positive answer
to why a space program does not necessarily lead to more $ for NASA.
I may be overly cynical but NASA contracts with the same firms,
in the same way (cost plus fixed fee) as the military does. This
system is BROKEN!!! Fixing this may be a necessary first step in
having a successful space program.
Now as to why a Space Program!
I once calculated that the value of pig iron in a nickel-steel asteroid
one cubic mile in volume (there may be 500 of these in our solar
system) is $4 TRILLION, yes that is no typo, trillion, not million,
not billion, trillion. Now that does not include any "trace" elements
that may be included (say 100 tons of platinum and/or gold).
We are all familiar with solar power satelites. Once you set up
a moon base (admitedly (sp?) 10-20 billion) each additional satelite
is almost free! How hard would it be to sell free energy? I know
there are potential environmental hazards, but I believe they can
be worked. (The Pacific Ocean is the greatest desert in the world,
a down-link in mid-ocean would probably not harm any wildlife and
we may need the ozone)
The rewards to a soceity that harvests wealth from space will make
that soceity look like the Spaniards did in the 16th century after
they plundered all that wealth from the Americas. The Spaniards
went from just about the poorest country (just finished a 200 year
civil war with the moors) in Europe to the wealthiest in about 50
years.
Tony
|
380.17 | Reasons exist Leaders do not | BISTRO::ANDRADE | The sentinel (.)(.) | Thu Jan 07 1988 08:54 | 20 |
| Got a "No more disk space error" in re.10, so here I go again.
--------------------------------------------------------------
What we need for an aggressive space program isn't just Goals
and Reasons to do so. There are many of those. What we need
is a leader to take up the space banner and make it a popular
cause and set the whole nation looking and working towards it.
Every time I think of Reagan's ultra conservative ultra safe
approach to the space program I begin to boil. He behaves just
like he is buying a third family car or making an unneeded
addition to his house.
He sure as hell didn't seem to have much trouble introducing
and starting up the SDI program.
Or Kennedy starting up the Apollo program. Sure there were
other things involved like the Russians beating us, but then
the Russians are beating us again in the space station issue,
and that doesn't seem to be making any difference.
|
380.18 | On ADP ASP and History | WIMPY::MOPPS | | Mon Jan 11 1988 12:49 | 41 |
| ASP vrs ADP
Two things came to my mind as I read and reread this entire note.
My dad once said, "Son, history repeats its self, not in details
but in general..." It is true that those nations whose history
showed efforts of exploration (exploitation perhaps?) had at those
times the means to significantly alter their economic distribution
to the common level and show at least to and for the ruling authority
a significant cultural improvement. (We all have heard of the "Sun
never sets..etc.) At this juncture in time I would rather be known
as a nation for the use of the compass rather than the inventor.
But alas, a previous note has stated the KSC is in decay, the Russians
have used the basics to launch and man a MIR and our current space
program has just blown its gasket again. Is our lack of leadership
showing only in our space program? I think the space program is
just the surface effect of lack of leadership in genral and a paranoic
commitment to ADP. I see no leader in the current list who would
have the guts to propose an interstate highway system for the '60's
land on the moon by '70's take a second place to the Japaneese in
manufacturing by the '80's and economic chaos by the '90's. This
trend certainly matches the historical perspective. Why? ADP.
ADP brings me to the second point of this reply. The comarison
of ASP ( active space program ) to ADP ( Active defense program
If BISTRO::ANDRADE is correct that $1 in space = $25 in benefit,
then the equasion in defense or current domestic planning must be
severly negative. Certainly the fed spending $7-14 bil in space
does not even come close to the $100-220 bil defecit for the
last 5 years. We as a country have been forced by fear and lack
of strength of leadership vision in facing the "instant gratification"
required not only by John and Jane Q. Public, but by the shareholders
and defense establishment into the wrong priorities for the wrong
reasons. Our dollar is weakened on the world market because of
the paper panic. But we are supposed to believe we can afford to
give Mexico a $10 billion dollar interest free loan and not be able
to afford a $10-20 billion dollar space station whose payback potential
to this society in ten years is $250-500 billion. Why do we let
history repeat itself. Great nations make history, not watch it
transpire.
|
380.19 | TONY!!! You win first prize!!! | LILAC::MKPROJ | ADD KEY XXX to add keyword to note | Fri Jan 15 1988 15:22 | 34 |
| Ahhhh Tony, ma main man, you have hit the perverbial nail on the
perverbial head. (re. .16).
I vote for a probe, to the moon or wherever, whose sole mission
is economic exploration. No pure science, no fancy measurements
just a big beautiful picture of a pure gold asteroid. Give 'em
something to pant over, something to set thier greedy little eyes
upon and lust after, give the vision of MONEY! MONEY, MONEY, MONEY!!!
You can all forget about this pure science BS. You can have your
human drive to explore and your national pride and your latest Star
Trek episodes. The ONLY thing that needs to be done to push the
space program into a steady drive into the future is a clear target
with economic profit as the end goal. The only problem? We have
no target (boo hoo...). The only sector in current American society
capable of finding a clear target is the US Government and it's
agency NASA.
What do I think we ought to do? I think we should scrap every pure
science project we have (data transmission, weather forcasting,
military payloads and other "pragmatic" projects excluded of course)
and concentrate upon finding "targets of economic exploitation".
I.E. an asteriod of solid iron, or even better a pure iron deposit
on the Moon of unbelievable size. Once you have identified an area
that can be exploited for profit by the human race, just step aside
and watch the money mongers scamble onboard the nearest space ship.
WHAT! NO SPACE SHIPS!!!?? THEN BUILD SOME YOU FOOL! DON'T YOU
REALIZE THAT IF WE DON'T GET THERE FIRST AND LAY CLAIM TO IT SOMEBODY
ELSE MAY???? (I just love it when a plan comes together...)
:-)
Rich
|
380.20 | Can't we try something a little more idealistic? | SARAH::BUEHLER | Facts are stubborn things | Fri Jan 15 1988 19:13 | 20 |
| Your pardon, but I don't think that's a very good idea. If the only reason
for getting into space is to make a buck, then the people who fund space
ventures are going to want to get maximum return on their investment. That
means cutting corners, wasting lives, what-have-you. It boils down to saving
money.
Another down side to what you're suggesting is that all we'd be doing is
going out to rape, pillage, rape, plunder, and rape the universe. Haven't
we done enough to poor old mother Earth? The reason that we screwed up Earth
is because somebody said, a couple hundred years ago, "Good Lord! Look at
all the *stuff* that this planet's got! We can make a fortune if we just
started using it for ____." And so it went until today we see that we can't
just consume whatever we find without concern for responsibility, etc.
And so it would be in space. Someday, space ventures will be ho-hum
commonplace things, and no consumption will be percieved as too large for
a given return. So let's not start out on the wrong foot and continue billing
ourselves as a disease that consumes all that it can.
John-who's-thinking-about-his-great-great-great-great-grandchildren
|
380.21 | The Solaro System is BIG | MILVAX::SCOLARO | | Fri Jan 15 1988 23:16 | 13 |
|
I'm not sure you realize how BIG the solar system is. It would
be VERY difficult to dirty it up like we have the Earth. Besides
any garbage (waste) you want to get rid of can go to the sun and
be incinerated.
Also, who says a commercial effort would be unsafe. Higher risk
means higher pay and insurance rates. Commercial flying is
probably not as safe as military flying, commercial space flight
should be as safe or safer than NASA space flight.
Tony
|
380.22 | We have to go NOW! | SNDBOX::SMITH | William P.N. (WOOKIE::) Smith | Sat Jan 16 1988 13:46 | 14 |
| There's a minor problem with the slow and careful approach to make
sure we don't do anything 'wrong', and that's what is sometimes
called the 'Critical Mass Problem'. The longer we wait to get out
there, the harder it will be to allocate the resources needed to
build the infrastructure nessesary for a space-faring civilization.
It's the old "Why spend all that money on a {space shuttle, lunar
colony, space station, planetary probe, space based telescope, fill
in the blank} when we have starving people to feed?" question.
No-one seems to realise that a welfare state just breeds more welfare
recipients, and there will come a day when we can no longer assemble
a space program. Then again, I suppose it will be possible to buy
a ticket, comrade....
Willie
|
380.23 | 65� and this entire conference will buy you a Pepsi | ANVIL::BUEHLER | Facts are stubborn things | Sat Jan 16 1988 14:42 | 22 |
| Couple points.
1) The solar system is only large in terms of how we think now. In a couple
hundred years we'll be thinking about Dyson Spheres and saying "Boy,
I wish we hadn't wasted so much of Jupiter." Obviously this is a bit
of an exaggeration, but I'd like to act responsibly towards future
generations.
2) I didn't say we shouldn't go now. I said that we shouldn't be hell-bent
on getting into space to make a buck and devil take the consequenses.
That's the impression I had gotten leading to my first reply.
3) Anti-Soviet tendencies. Why do we have to believe that it's going to
be 'us' (whoever that might be) or 'them' (everyone who isn't an 'us')?
Sure be nice if there could be a 'we'.
4) We preach to ourselves too much in this conference. Sometimes I feel
like a Catholic priest who's being converted by another Catholic priest.
All this breast-beating and soul-searching is loads of fun, but we're
not getting anything done.
John
|
380.24 | | SNDBOX::SMITH | William P.N. (WOOKIE::) Smith | Sat Jan 16 1988 17:30 | 28 |
| Well, yes we _should_ watch our resources, and leave something for
future generations, but if we don't get off this rock soon, future
generations may not care that the asteroids have been left untouched.
I sort of read the 'make a buck' reply as "We want to go for the
dream, but if we can give Wall Street a good reason, a really GOOD
reason measured in terms of large returns on investment (which is
the only language they understand, so it might be worth our while
trying to learn it), then they will be lining up in front of our
doors with wheelbarrows full of the folding green stuff we need
to build the infrastructure to give our grandchildren a space-faring
civilization, and ourselves a low-g retirement home."
I'm not anti-soviet, I'm just making the point that if they are
there firstest with the mostest, you _may_ have to go to Moscow
to get your passport stamped for that lunar vacation.... Sure it
would be nice to have "we" instead of "us" vs. "them", but there's
no good reason to expect that we will leave the world entirely behind
when we move to near-earth space. The political and military realities
don't disappear, we drag them along with us!
re: preaching to the choir. If you are interested in really doing
something, write me a note, but be aware that it may involve long
hours at low (can you say zero?) pay.
Willie
WOOKIE::SMITH
|
380.25 | One way to make real accomplishments... | DICKNS::KLAES | All the galaxy's a stage... | Sun Jan 17 1988 14:07 | 90 |
| From: [email protected] (Cyro Lord)
Newsgroups: sci.space
Subject: International Space Devel. Conference (1988)
Date: 12 Jan 88 18:57:19 GMT
Organization: Alpha Comm. Dev. Corp., Aurora, Colo.
1988 INTERNATIONAL SPACE DEVELOPMENT CONFERENCE
Memorial Day weekend, May 27-30, 1988
Denver, Colorado, U.S.A.
Travel Agency: 800-451-8097, Mon-Fri 9-5, Sat 1-4 (Pacific)
Conference Committee: 303-692-6788 or 303-388-2368
Stouffer Hotel
Reservations: 800-468-3571; please specify 1988 ISDC!
1988 ISDC, P.O. Box 300572, Denver, CO 80218
OUR DREAM ...
"To create a spacefaring civilization beyond Earth." In the
TECHNICAL track, you can listen to presentations about leading-edge
aerospace topics. The SOCIOECONOMIC track considers cultural
relations, business development, and other "human" aspects of a
spacefaring civilization:
"Space is for people, not just governments and machines!"
... OUR CHILDREN'S REALITY
We can make it happen. From individual initiatives by a single
person, through building chapters to inform the public, political
candidates, and government officials, the GRASSROOTS track shows how
we can make a difference. People need to know that space development
is both possible and necessary. Educators can hasten that realization
by incorporating aerospace themes into their classes - not only math
and science classes, but the entire curricula. They will learn how to
do this in the educators' course, which has been accredited by the
University of Colorado for one graduate or undergraduate credit. A
special educators' package, including registration, tuition, two
lunches and two banquets makes it easier for them to attend the conference.
Call For Papers: Abstracts received after February 15 might not
be considered!
Guest Speakers include: Steve Wolfe Art Dula
Andrew Stofan Eric Drexler
Dr. Ben Clark Dorothy Diehl
Georgia Franklin Dr. David Webb
Robin Kline (Teacher in Space)
Please print off the registration form below:
_____________________________________________________________________
REGISTRATION
thru May 1, 1988 NAME (please print) _____________________________
1988 1989 BOTH!
Member of NSS or AFFILIATION (for name tag) ______________________
co-sponsor:
$60 $45 $90
If not member: ADDRESS _________________________________________
$90 $75 $120
Circle $xx. College _________________________________________
students check here __
ifor half-price.
________________
EDUCATORS' PACKAGE, day or | |
academic credit: PHONE (_________________ evening | for official |
check here __ to register | use only |
for $125. |______________|
PAYMENT Check VISA MC AmEx Date ___________
Exp. Card SIGNATURE
Date_________ #__________________ ___________________________
$ ENCLOSED ___________
PLEASE MAIL TO: 1988 ISDC, P.O. BOX 300572, DENVER, CO 80218
Cyro Lord Alpha Comm. Dev. Corp. 2570 Sky Ranch Rd. Aurora, CO. 80011
UUCP/DOMAIN {boulder,hao,isis}!scicom!cyrill / [email protected]
"Endeaver to Persevere."
[Disclaimer: I am in no way affiliated with this group. - LK]
|
380.26 | I'll take action!!!!!!!! | CTOAVX::GERMAIN | Down to the sea in ships.. | Tue Jan 19 1988 13:16 | 53 |
| I have been watching the responses in this conference with great
pleasure! The dialogue is good, keep it up! No matter what your
position is - state it. Whatever your ideas are - share them.
Your input is of value.
Since all talk and no action is more commonplace than we like to
admit, I would like to take an action item here. I have been reading,
with great interest, all of the responses, and collating
arguement/counterarguement which I will publish in a future reply.
But more importantly, if we manage to build a truly viable,
defensible, arguable case for an active space program, I WILL DRAFT
A LETTER WHICH STATES WHAT WE COME UP WITH. I WILL SEND THIS LETTER
OUT IN A REPLY. I will personally send this letter to all of the
representatives in my state, and to any of the "L5" type interest
groups for their use.
Now, the purpose of sending the letter out in the reply, is to
get your comments and criticisms. I will do my best to incorporate
anything THE MAJORITY thinks is of value. Obviously, it is hard
to write a letter by committee, especially when the geographic
distances are so large. But I'll do my best.
IF THE MAJORITY OF THE CONFEREES AGREE WITH THE LETTER, I WILL
MAIL (VIA U.S. POSTAL SERVICE) A HARDCOPY TO ALL INDIVIDUALS WHO
WANT A COPY ( I am not sure about using this conference for
diseminating a letter, so I will use the U. S. mail for that purpose).
The letter can be reproduced, and sprinkled out into the world
as you see fit.
The purpose of this is manifold:
1) To instigate debate amonst ourselves so that WE do our own thinking
in this world, and
2) Provide a letter that speaks for the majority, which
3) We can use to indicate to our representatives what WE HAVE COME
UP WITH AS A RESULT OF OUR OWN THINKING, so that
4) This conference isn't all talk, and so that
5) We can feel that we have tried something - done something.
If anybody has a problem with this, let me know!
Keep up the good thinking!
Gregg
|
380.27 | I'll take greed any day (as a motivator). | LILAC::MKPROJ | REAGAN::ZORE | Wed Jan 20 1988 13:23 | 37 |
| YES! RAPE!, PILLAGE!, PLUNNNNDERRRRRR!!!!
And now back to reality...
Some of you apparently did interpret my note in the proper sense.
The largest problem we have that confronts us in attempting to go
into space in the initial startup cost. My own personnal belief
is that once the ball really gets rolling, once we have a few space
stations, a colony or 2 on the moon and even a permanent outpost
on Mars, THEN we will begin to think of ourselves as a space fareing
race. ONCE WE BEGIN TO REAP ECONOMIC BENEFITS TO BEING IN SPACE
(i.e. begin to develop resources out THERE) THE PERVERBIAL SNOWBALL
WILL HAVE BEEN STARTED AND IT WILL NEVER LOOK BACK.
I am sorry John but I must disagree with you, you want to explore
space for the pure intellectual reasons. To be pure in heart and
not for the primary reason of economic gain. That in a word simply
doesn't wash. You'll never get the financial backing for it.
The idea behind the "greed" note is that once we're out in space
we can put all sorts of restrictions on the "developers"; BUT FIRST
LET'S GET OUT THERE!!!
I say again: The best possible tack we can take as a country is
to devote all of our energies into finding areas that can be exploited
for economic gain. Once that's done the "space race" will take
care of itself and we'll have made the transition. Once we've made
the transition and it has become economically feasible to go into
space then we can worry about the finer points such as over development
of a given crater or a new high rise ruining the view of the Martian
landscape.
Sincerly yours in plunder...
Rich
:-)
|
380.28 | OK, but just a *little* plunder... | SARAH::BUEHLER | Time to reboot... | Wed Jan 20 1988 14:56 | 28 |
| > I am sorry John but I must disagree with you, you want to explore
> space for the pure intellectual reasons. To be pure in heart and
> not for the primary reason of economic gain. That in a word simply
> doesn't wash. You'll never get the financial backing for it.
You're absolutely right on the latter. There has to be a motive that most
people share for it to happen, and only a gonzo earth-type-person would think
otherwise. It will happen because of money, but if the emphasis is purely
on cashing in, we'll destroy another environment (evidence: strip mining
and high-pressure water mining). I'm not too worried about the life on the
moon that will perish because of our activities, but getting into someting
in a big way without knowing the impact is just not intelligent.
Definitely go for it. I want to be able to go home to Earth someday, too.
> Once we've made
> the transition and it has become economically feasible to go into
> space then we can worry about the finer points such as over development
> of a given crater or a new high rise ruining the view of the Martian
> landscape.
Another misconstrued point. I'm not talking esthetics, but actual, hard-core
environmental problems. Evidence: the hole in the ozone. We don't know
if we did that one (bad), but if we did, we might really screw things up
around here (worse). As before, I'm not worried about ozone depletion in
the asteroid belt, but I think you get the idea.
John
|
380.29 | | LILAC::MKPROJ | REAGAN::ZORE | Wed Jan 20 1988 16:18 | 7 |
| Ahhhhh, are we saying the same thing but with different words?
I do have the tendency at times to exagerate a bit in order to
establish a point. :-)
Rich
|
380.30 | Violent agreement. Yup. | ANVIL::BUEHLER | Time to reboot... | Thu Jan 21 1988 10:29 | 12 |
| > Ahhhhh, are we saying the same thing but with different words?
I'd tend to think so. Otherwise, we wouldn't be in this conference in
the first place.
> I do have the tendency at times to exagerate a bit in order to
> establish a point. :-)
I think I was responding to the exaggerations. We all want to go, but
at what cost to our solar system? To Earth?
John
|
380.31 | non-participation -> non-support | OLIVER::OSBORNE | Blade Walker | Fri Jan 22 1988 14:07 | 31 |
|
> We all want to go...
Well, yes, but few of us expect to.
One possible reason that there is little "grass-roots" public support for
a space program is that there is little chance for the average member of
the public to participate in the space program, even when that particip-
ation is nothing more than watching a launch "live", instead of on the
television.
We now know that the space program, as run by NASA, is too dangerous for
the hoi-poloi, who are not the physically and mentally superior members
of the astronaut corps, to participate in. We tried that with a teacher
from Concord, NH, and look what happened.
Naturally, innocent citizens must be protected from participation in
dangerous activities, particularly at taxpayer expense. Risk must be
limited, if possible, eliminated. Citizens must housed, fed, informed,
communicated to, but, most of all, kept SAFE.
Compare this to the early days of aviation, when it was possible for
almost anyone to go see airplanes close up and meet pilots, and even
be pilots, with little red tape. Becoming a pilot may have been
difficult and dangerous, but it was POSSIBLE, and even today one can
go flying, alone, without a license.
Solve the participation problem, and the support problem just goes
away.
John O.
|
380.32 | Comments from ADAM SMITH'S MONEY WORLD | DICKNS::KLAES | Well, I could stay for a bit longer. | Thu Feb 25 1988 10:53 | 106 |
| From: [email protected] (Peter Glaskowsky)
Newsgroups: sci.space
Subject: ADAM SMITH'S MONEY WORLD
Date: 21 Feb 88 21:22:30 GMT
Organization: FidoNet node 369/6 - Eye of Osiris, Coconut Creek FL
"Adam Smith's Money World", a public-television financial news
show, devoted a show this week to the United States space program.
There was a recap of the US space program to date; problems with
the space shuttle were attributed to conflicting requirements imposed
by NASA and the Department of Defense, a "shoestring budget", the
requirement that the shuttle program should be self-supporting, and
efforts by NASA to gain and maintain a "monopoly on the space
launching business".
Not much was said about the Challenger accident per se; it was
pointed out that the Shuttle was never expected to be perfectly safe,
and they left it at that. The show went on to describe the current
status of the US space program (poor) and the status of the foreign
competition (generally good).
"If you absolutely, positively have to get into space", the show
said, you can't do it here. The Shuttle is out of action, and booked
well into the future once it gets going again. US defense contractors
are beginning to develop a private launch capability (the Titan IV
program was mentioned), but they won't be ready for a while. The
American Rocket Company (AMROC) was portrayed very favorably; there
was a lot of footage of AMROC facilities, test firings, etc., and NASA
was represented as AMROC's main obstacle to further progress. However,
AMROC doesn't expect a launch before mid-1989 at the earliest. The
ARIANESPACE operation was presented as the only real operational
launch operation in the West, but they're booked through 1991. Japan's
progress was briefly noted. China was also mentioned.
The Soviet Union's successful space program was a major topic in
the show. Once again, the US government was criticized for interfering
with private companies in the US which have tried to get permission to
launch satellites on Soviet boosters. Arthur Dula was interviewed
about his efforts to get the US government to reverse its position on
this issue. He said that the laws intended to limit technology
transfer from the US to the Soviet Union, being used to deny export
licenses for US satellites, should not apply; he said the Soviet Union
has agreed to allow US scientists and military personnel to accompany
US satellites through the launch procedure to ensure that these laws
are not violated.
There were additional interviews with George Koopman of AMROC,
Joseph Allen and Maxime Faget of Space Industries, Inc., John Pike of
the Federation of American Scientists, and Gregg Fawkes of the US
Department of Commerce.
The future of the US space program was discussed, with emphasis on
the recent White House proposals. The Space Industries, Inc.
Industrial Space Facility (ISF) was discussed as an inexpensive way to
get the US back into space quickly. The ISF was projected to cost
about $500 million, and could be operational by 1991. While John Pike
of the FAS opposed the ISF (a "questionable" expenditure, quoted NASA
study purporting to show that the ISF was only useful for one
"refrigerator-sized" materials-processing experiment, claimed private
industry wouldn't be willing to finance it without a government
"subsidy"), Gregg Fawkes of the US Department of Commerce supported
the concept (and mentioned a Teledyne-Brown study showing the ISF to
be suitable for many different sorts of experiments). Joe Allen of
Space Industries, Inc. made the point that the ISF was not intended as
an alternative to NASA's larger space station; he drew an analogy
between a motor home without plumbing, and a house "where people could
live". James Rose of NASA and Edward Hudgins of the Heritage
Foundation were also brought in to make favorable comments about the ISF.
NASA's own space station design was not explored in detail; a few
mostly-negative comments were made (the high cost, ranging up to $32
billion, and the long delay until it becomes operational, possibly not
until the turn of the century), and in general it was not represented
as a Good Thing.
The last part of the show was a Q&A session between Adam Smith,
John Pike, and Gregg Fawkes. Pike came down hard on space in general,
and the ISF, the NASA space station, and NASA itself in particular. He
made many favorable comments about the Soviet space program. Fawkes
charged the Soviets with offering launch services below cost (Adam
Smith used the terms "dumping" and "loss leader" pricing, with which
Fawkes agreed). Pike characterized Soviet launch pricing as
"promotional pricing", and said they are "just competing" with NASA
and private enterprise launch facilities, and that they would have to
recover their costs eventually.
A transcript of the show is available from:
Adam Smith's Money World
267 Broadway
New York, NY 10007
Transcripts are $3.00; be sure to mention the date of the show
(2/21/88) and the subject (the space program).
Standard disclaimers. I taped the show, but haven't reviewed it
yet. Any errors are probably mine, and I have tried to keep my own
opinions to myself.
Peter N. Glaskowsky, Sysop, the John Galt Line TBBS. Voice: 305-235-1421
uucp: !uunet!gould!umbio!pglask Data: 305-235-1645
--- TBBS v2.0
* Origin: The John Galt Line -- (305) 235-1645 (135/13)
SEEN-BY: 135/7 13 369/6
|
380.33 | The Wright Stuff | MTWAIN::KLAES | Know Future | Tue May 24 1988 16:25 | 3 |
| "To be completely safe, you have to sit on the fence and watch the
birds." - Orville Wright
|
380.34 | Scientific American compares Americans & Soviets | LEVERS::HUGHES | TANSTAAFL | Fri Jan 20 1989 12:28 | 9 |
| The cover article for this months issue of Scientific American magazine
is a review of the Soviet manned space program by Sally Ride and another
person whose-name-has-slipped-my-mind. I recommend it, as it brought
home the contrasts between the American and Soviet programs very
strongly for me. Nothing in the article is likely to come as news
to the readers of this file, but having the contrasts so cleanly
drawn was a little shocking.
Mike Hughes
|
380.35 | Which month's Scientific American? | JANUS::BARKER | Jeremy Barker - Reading, England | Sun Jan 22 1989 18:13 | 5 |
| Which month is "this month"???
In Europe I've only just bought the January 1989 issue and it ain't that.
jb
|
380.36 | | K9::PIPER | Go Heels! | Mon Jan 23 1989 09:24 | 2 |
| Probably February. I got mine last week. It has a drawing of Buran on the
cover. You can't miss it...
|
380.37 | Two views on NASA's space goals | VERGA::KLAES | Quo vadimus? | Thu Sep 16 1993 12:31 | 53 |
| Article: 72440
From: [email protected] (Jeff Bytof - SIO)
Newsgroups: sci.space
Subject: A NASA Father Speaks from the Grave!
Date: 10 Sep 1993 23:26:24 GMT
Organization: San Diego Supercomputer Center @ UCSD
January 27, 1958 (Explorer I launch - 4 days)
--------------------------------------------
Speaking before the Institute of Aeronautical Sciences in New York,
Dr. Hugh Dryden presented his views "as to what the national [space]
program should be, the role of research, and specifically the role of
the NACA . . . In my opinion the goal of the program should be the
development of manned satellites and the travel of man to the Moon
and nearby planets..." (Hugh L. Dryden, "Space Technology and the NACA."
January 27, 1958, JPLHF 5-140.)
- Quote from "Project Ranger: A Chronology", by R. Cargill Hill, JPL/HR-2,
April 1971, page 49.
----------------
How far we have strayed for this pure and simple direction!
-Jeff Bytof
Article: 72754
From: [email protected] (Pat)
Newsgroups: sci.space
Subject: Re: A NASA Father Speaks from the Grave!
Date: 15 Sep 1993 14:19:42 -0400
Organization: Express Access Online Communications, Greenbelt, MD USA
|>How far we have strayed for this pure and simple direction!
"Although Eisenhower got credit as the president who gave birth to the
US Space program, he continued to doubt the value of the entire
enterprise. The man he named as NASA's first Administrator, was T.
Keith Glennan, a veteran of the AEC and the National Science Board.
Glennan considered it his duty to keep a close reain on alleged "Space
Cadets" like Von Braun who dreamed of building giant rockets for
manned voyages to the moon and mars. When Glennan announced the
selection of the first NASA astronausts in the spring of 1959, he
secretly hoped the original seven would be the last of the breed."
For All Mankind, by Harry Hurt 3rd, Page 51.
Pat
--
"The greatest mistake you can make in life is to be continually
fearing that you will make one." - Ellen Hubbard
|