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Conference turris::scandia

Title:All about Scandinavia
Moderator:TLE::SAVAGE
Created:Wed Dec 11 1985
Last Modified:Tue Jun 03 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:603
Total number of notes:4325

381.0. "Will there be a 'peace dividend' for Nordic countries?" by NEILS::SAVAGE () Thu Mar 22 1990 09:32

    There's a discussion going on in the USENET newsgroup,
    soc.cuture.nordic, concerning the impact of current events in the
    Soviet Union and eastern European on Sweden's military spending.
    Much of the discussion is misinformation and just plain flaming, but
    the following reply contains some interesting food for thought. 
T.RTitleUserPersonal
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381.1Glasnost/Perestroika & NeutralityNEILS::SAVAGEThu Mar 22 1990 09:3586
    From: [email protected] (Magnus Rimvall)   
    Newsgroups: soc.culture.nordic
    Subject: Re: Glasnost/Perestroika & Neutrality
    Date: 21 Mar 90 15:27:36 GMT
    Organization: Schenectady, NY
 
In article <[email protected]> billwolf%[email protected] writes:
>
>    OK, I forgot what the particular case was in Sweden (Statens
>    Invandrarverk regulations are SO much fun to read ;-)), but in
>    general US citizens are actively discouraged (by the US Government)
>    from seeking dual (or single) citizenship with respect to countries
>    which impose required military service on their citizens.
 
    Yes, this is too bad. I wish the Swedish and US governments would take
    a more open view on these matters.
 
>   It is my understanding that male Swedish citizens are subject to
>   periodic military service (a few weeks) until around age 55 or so,
>   in order to ensure military readiness at all times, independently
>   of whether or not people are being drafted for full-time service.  
 
    This is, correctly, the theory of the case. Two notes, though:
    
  1) If you have not performed your initial "year" (i.e. 8-15
     months depending on position and rank), you will NEVER be
     called up for the "repmoeten", i.e. the periodic "updates"
    
  2) The decreasing funding (after inflation) of the services has
     forced them to save, "repmoeten" was the first target of
     this savings, so the period between these sessions has 
     incresed dramatically (does anybody out there know what
     the present interval is???)
 
>   My comment regarding taxes was directed toward the possibility
>   of eliminating the military entirely, as has already been done
>   in Costa Rica.  This would indeed save considerable tax money,
>   and might be worth considering given recent developments in the
>   Warsaw Pact.   I'm still waiting for an answer to the question
>   -- is such a move being considered?  
 
    This is, I am sure, only a partial answer: 
    
 1) There has been a de-facto decrease of military spending over
    the last 20 years or so.  This decrease has been quite 
    dramatic for all services.  I do not remember the actual
    numbers, but the number of "JAS" aircraft (the newest SAAB)
    is considerably lower than the number of "Draken" or "Viggen"
    (the two previous generations of Swedish military aircraft).
    The number of regular and armour divisions has decreased, 
    and so forth.  
    
 2) Recent articles in Svenska Dagbladet have argued that the
    nordic countries experience an INCREASED risk of being
    involved in military action, due to the lack a russian
    "buffer zone" in Eastern Europe, and so forth.
    
 3) I have NOT heard of any discussion on outright elimination of
    the military. Switzerland recently had a national referendum
    on the outright elimination of the Army ("Schweiz ohne Arme").
    The proposal was voted down, but it got more votes than
    anybody had expected (30-40% range).
    
 4) The overall tax-rate (public spending divided by GNP) is 56%
    and highest in the world.  Remove the military, and you bring
    it down to 50% or so (my rough estimate).  BIG DEAL!!!
    (IMHO, this is NOT where Swedens tax problems are.)
    
    My long-distance judgement is that Sweden will retain their military
    strength for many years to come. Until a new stability is reached in
    Europe, nothing will change (despite the enormously positive
    developments in Europe right now; we do NOT yet know that the end
    configuration will be 100% good.  People are, IMHO rightly so, cautious
    of the Germans and "remember" the years 1870, 1914 and 1939 all too
    well).
 
>   Bill Wolfe, [email protected]
 
    I enjoy our discussion, Bill, as the "temperature" is more  moderate
    compared to the wars in comp.lang.* etc. How about some better informed
    Swedes (living in Sweden) joining in??? What is the situation in
    Norway? 
 
    Magnus Rimvall
 
    Standard Disclaimer: these are my own opinions only. 
381.2"The Sampo weilders"ESSB::PJCUNNINGHAMArmenian RenegadeFri Mar 23 1990 01:167
    Can anybody tell me Finlands position, or are they just sitting on
    the ditch like most others to see the out come. I also hear that
    Finland has increased its military budget for the coming fiscal year.
    Is this true???????
    
    Paul
    
381.3Status report from OsloOSL09::MAURITZDTN(at last!)872-0238; @NWOFri Mar 23 1990 05:5633
    Finland has indeed increased their military budget. This has a number
    of reasons; some of them structural (i.e., need for more hardware
    (airplanes, etc.) to adjust for their relative previous misbalance
    of probably having spent more on the army branch of the military
    than the air force & navy (Note: I am no expert; this is just randomly
    gleaned from superficial articles, etc.).  The aquisitions that
    they are planning will also be balanced in another way; they will
    be getting both MIG's (I seem to recall about 1/3) as well as Saab
    types (I don't quite recall whether this was JAS or Viggen types).
    
    With regard to Norway, the usual anti-NATO people are making the
    usual noises.  We had them in the 30's with their "broken rifle"
    policy; then they were in the government.  Their theory was that
    if Norway went totally pacifist, no one would bother us and we'd
    be contributing to world peace.  I guess the problem was that Hitler
    couldn't read Norwegian. In a couple of weeks we'll be "celebrating"
    the 50th aniversary of 9th April 1940; it'l be interesting to see
    what kind of speech making comes out of the woodwork.
    
    Aside from the above mentions I think most people are doing a "wait
    and see".  Kohl's toying with emotions regarding the Polish border
    is percived as disquieting across the range of the political spectrum,
    despite sanctimonious public utterances of the variety "...of course,
    everything is different today...".  There is a lot being said and
    spoken that does not reach print.  I shall leave it there as well.
    (For the record, I genuinely do believe that things are indeed very
    differnt today...I really hope that developments in the next few
    years will bear me out).
    
    Mauritz
    
    
    
381.4Events may have opposite effectNEILS::SAVAGEFri Mar 23 1990 10:04100
    From: [email protected] (Kjell Kristiansson)
    Newsgroups: soc.culture.nordic
    Subject: Re: Glasnost/Perestroika & Neutrality
    Date: 22 Mar 90 09:31:00 GMT
    Organization: Diab Data
 
    In a previous articles Bill Wolfe writes about the effects of
    Glasnost/Perestroika & Neutrality and suggests that they should
    influence  the present military setup in Sweden.
 
    In an other article Magnus Rimvall corrects some missunderstandings
    Bill Wolfe has.
 
    My comment is that for the present Glasnost and Perestroika have the
    opposite effect. It can in the short term lead to increased unstability
    in eastern Europe. Some factors to consider:
 
    - Influenced by the newly won freedom a lot of the Soviet states wants
      to break loose from the Soviet Union. 
 
    - Changing form a closed economy to a market economy will lead to
      *very* much higher prices on a lot o now subsidiced items like housing
      and food.
 
    - We will see and have already seen a lot of ethnic violence in the
      Soviet Union, Romainia and Yougoslavia.
 
    I really hope it all can be solved but fear that the next few years
    will be rather unstable and shaky. Whats happend is a must but maybee
    it's gone too fast. If Russia starts to break up - can Gorby stay at
    power and control it. First case is Lithuainia.
 
    Kjell
 
Standard disclaimer
==============================================================================
From:    Kjell Kristiansson     ! Tel:   +46 31 805300
Adress:  Diab Data AB           ! Fax:   +46 31 150430
         Gullbergs strandgata 7 ! Email: [email protected]
         S-411 04  Gothenburg   !        mcsun!sunic!chalmer!diabgb!kjell
         Sweden
==============================================================================

    From: [email protected] (Dag Stenberg, Univ of Helsinki, Finland)
    Newsgroups: soc.culture.nordic
    Subject: Re: Glasnost/Perestroika & Neutrality
    Date: 22 Mar 90 22:50:47 GMT
    Organization: University of Helsinki
 
In article <[email protected]>, billwolf%[email protected] (William Thomas Wolfe, 2847 ) writes:
>    My comment regarding taxes was directed toward the possibility
>    of eliminating the military entirely, as has already been done
>    in Costa Rica.  This would indeed save considerable tax money,
>    and might be worth considering given recent developments in the
>    Warsaw Pact.   I'm still waiting for an answer to the question
>    -- is such a move being considered?   
>    Bill Wolfe, [email protected]
--
    
    Actually, there is a spreading feeling in Finland and Norway at least,
    that the recent developments in Eastern Europe may have increased the
    risk for military conflicts in the area. With the eradication of the
    forced communist consensus, nationalist disagreements and economic
    problems bring forward new risks, and the risk of war in Europe is
    again considered a reality. While Norway plans strengthening of the
    NATO bases and increasing military transport capacity, Finland is just
    getting mentally ready for anything that may happen. From the
    standpoint of potential military risks, there is definitely not any 
    reason to eliminate the military now.
    
    -----------------------------------------------------------------
    Dag Stenberg				[email protected]
    Department of Physiology	        	[email protected]
    University of Helsinki			tlx: 100125 finuh sf
    Helsinki, Finland			        fax: int.+358-0-1918366
					        tel: int+358-0-1918532
    -----------------------------------------------------------------

From: [email protected] (J{rvinen Hannu-Matti)
Newsgroups: soc.culture.nordic
Subject: Re: Glasnost/Perestroika & Neutrality
Date: 23 Mar 90 08:00:34 GMT
Organization: Tampere University of Technology, Finland
 
In article <[email protected]> [email protected] (Kjell Kristiansson) writes:
>I really hope it all can be solved but fear that the next few years
>will be rather unstable and shaky. Whats happend is a must but maybee
>it's gone too fast. If Russia starts to break up - can Gorby stay
>at power and control it. First case is Lithuainia.
 
    Just a comment: Today's newspaper/yesterday's TV-news in Finland:
    "Sweden raised her military readiness because of increased military
    activity in Lithuania, and expects refugeers from Lithuania."
 
    Finland has not reacted, but how about if military activity will raise
    in Estonia?
    
    -----
    Hannu-Matti Jarvinen, [email protected]
    These are my own opinions only. N�m� ovat vain omia mielipiteit�ni.
381.5Norwegian perspectiveNEILS::SAVAGEMon Apr 02 1990 09:42150
    From: [email protected] (Anne Cathrine Elster)          
    Newsgroups: soc.culture.nordic
    Subject: Some Norwegian viewpoints
    Date: 30 Mar 90 21:12:01 GMT
    Organization: Cornell Univ. CS Dept, Ithaca NY
 
    After reading reems of messages relating to Sweden, here are some of
    the issues discussed recently as seen from a Norwegian's perspective:
 
    Like Sweden, Norway is in no hurry to disarm. Granted, we have a         
    dwindling number of F-16s, but that is sadly not so much because of
    military cut-backs, as it is because of the unusually many faulty
    planes  we received (I believe 10+ of the 3-500 we purchased has
    crashed -- a high enough percentile for us to receive a free one from
    the  manufactorers last year!) Also, being one of the few NATO
    countries to have a land border with the USSR (can you name the other?
    :-) ) the situation in Lithuania isn't exactly inspiring us to cut back
    ...
 
    As for dual citizenships, Norway has pretty much the same rules as
    Sweden in that the only legal way to obtain dual citizenship is by
    being born to Norwegian parents in the U.S. Women can keep their dual
    status as long as they do not volunteer to serve in one of the
    country's military units. (Norwegian women can do miltary service on
    the same terms as their male counterparts, if they so desire.) Another
    aspect relating to this is that if you as a Norwegian keep your
    citizenship, but obtain a green card, the card will "expire" after
    living outside the U.S. for 2 or more years (even if you are married to
    a U.S. citizen).
 
    [No, I was not born in the U.S., am not a U.S. citzens, nor married to
    an American, but after having spent nearly 9 years in this wonderful
    country, I have gotten to know several fellow Norwegians with US 
    connections over the years.]
 
    High costs of burgers? You bet! No problem charging the same rate as
    any other burger joint in the area! Reasons for the high  cost of
    living in Scandinavia has been mention. A comment on why farm products
    in Norway are higher than Sweden and Denmark (try $20/lbs for
    tenderloin): High production costs. Only 3% of Norwegain land is
    farmable, and farmer work hard politically to have the same vacational
    benefits as well as income as the average industrial worker. This has
    been, and still is a big problem when it comes to trade negotiations
    with the EEC.
 
    In a perfect world, it would hardly make sense to farm in Norway since
    it is cheaper to grow things elsewhere (and Europe does have a
    food-surplus). I am here assuming a free-market model in an ideal
    world. However, since food embargoes are one of the most popular ways
    for foreign countries to "teach" other nations, this would pose a high
    security risk. (Several Norwegians still remember our situation under
    WWII when most of our food supply had to go to the occupying German
    soldiers.) We are already in bad shape -- Norway only produces about
    half the  food it consumes (and that's including our fish export into
    the production figures). So, based on food production, Norway with its
    near 5million (I believe I saw that figure in a recent cencus poll)
    population is overpopulated by about 2+ million despite being 1/28th of
    the area of the US (which produces 20+% of the world's food supply and
    has a population of about 230 million!).
 
				      Anne
 
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 Anne C. Elster				Please don't flame me -- I'm just
 School of Electrical Engineering	trying to share my knowledge with
 Cornell University, Phillips Hall 	you in the name of enlightment.
 Ithaca, NY 14853			Polite corrections are, however,
					appreciated.
 
    Standard disclaimers.

    From: [email protected] (Anne Cathrine Elster)
    Newsgroups: soc.culture.nordic
    Subject: Re: Some Norwegian viewpoints
    Date: 2 Apr 90 08:31:12 GMT
    Organization: Cornell Univ. CS Dept, Ithaca NY
  
    The following was just brought to my attention:
  
    >I believe 10+ of the 3-500 we purchased 
    
    ^^^^^ Norway has bought less than 100 F-16 (which makes the percent
    that has crashed even worse!).
 
    Greetings from Tromsoe. Asbj.
    --------------------------------------------------------------
 
    And was verified by:
 
    From: Stein J�rgen Rypern <[email protected]>
    Date: Mon, 2 Apr 1990 9:38:30 MET DST
  
    Alas, the norwegian Air Force has never had 300 fighters, let alone
    500. As I recall we originally ordered 75 F-16 planes from General
    Dynamics, the bulk of which have been delivered. We currently (as of
    jan 1990) have 62 F-16s. (Source : 'Fakta om forsvaret 1990' translated
    'facts about the defense 1990').
 
    I am not sure how many we have lost, but your figure of 10+/- seems
    reasonable.
 
    Other facts about the norwegian air force (RNoAF) and our defense
    forces:
 
    Air Force :
    Peacetime strength : approx. 10 500 men & women
    Wartime - ' ' -    :         37 000
 
    Planes :
    7 P-3N/P-3C Orion Maritime Surveilance Planes
    62 F-16 'Fighting Falcon' Fighter-Bombers
    20 F-5 'Freedomfighter' Fighters
    6 C-130 'Hercules' Transport planes
    4 DHC-6 'Twin Otter' small transport planes
    3 DA-20 'Jet Falcon' even smaller transport planes
    18 SAAB Safir Propel Trainers
    13 Bell 412 SP Transport Helicopters
    15 UH-1B 'Iroquis' Transport Helicopters
    9 Sea King Mk 43 Search and Rescue Helicopters
    5 Lynx Mk 86 Coast Guard Helicopters
 
    Our total defense forces is about 41000 soldiers and 12000 civilian
    employees in peacetime, whereof approx. 27000 are recruits doing their
    12-18 months of military service. After complete mobilization our
    defense forces total approx. 320 000.
 
    Hardly a defense force to cut further back is it ? We're not even
    strong enough to stop the swedes if they decided to attack us :-) Ah,
    well - they'll probably make a mess of it all by themselves, as they
    have done the last 4-5 times we've fought :-)
 
>                                Anne
 
 S(t)ein
==============================================================================
    Stein J. Rypern, undergrad I  "Cattle die, kinsman die
    Institute of Informatics   I   You Yourself must likewise die.
    Oslo U, Norway             I   But one thing that never dies,
    [email protected]         I   is the verdict on each man dead" .. H�vam�l
  
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
	Thanks to both of you!
 
						Anne
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Anne C. Elster
    School of Electrical Engineering
    Cornell University, Phillips Hall
    Ithaca, NY 14853, U.S.A.
381.6Border cooperation agreement (UPI wire)NEILS::SAVAGEMon Apr 02 1990 13:4546
From: [email protected] (JULIAN M. ISHERWOOD)
Subject: Soviets, Nordics open communications
Keywords: international, non-usa government, government
Date: 28 Mar 90 20:56:59 GMT
Location: soviet union, norway, finland
 
	MOSCOW (UPI) -- Soviet authorities and Nordic nations agreed for the
first time to develop civilian transport and communications in their
northern reaches, marking a devolution of central Soviet control over
the militarily sensitive area, Tass reported Wednesday.
	Tass said Norway, Sweden, Finland and the Soviet Union entered into
an agreement allowing for the development of closer relations between
local businesses and authorities in the sparsely populated region where
East and West lie side by side.
	``The agreement is a step forward in the development of border
cooperation between our countries,'' Murmansk communications department
chief Eduard Meshcheryakov told the Soviet news agency.
	Murmansk, a city of 430,000, is situated on the Kola peninsula and
is the headquarters of the Soviet northern fleet.
	``We discussed not separate contacts but a range of joint measures
to develop communications systems and transportation. We have agreed to
develop international communication lines between Murmansk and Kirkenes
(Norway), Rovaniemi (Finland) and Lulea (Sweden),'' he said.
	The agreement will allow direct telephone communications among the
various regions as well as a new international air route from Kirkenes
in northern Norway to Murmansk.
	Authorities in northern Norway have long demanded closer ties with
Soviet areas across the 124-mile border to develop commercial links and
prevent a population exodus from the region.
	Finland, the only Western country to have a Treaty of Friendship,
Cooperation and Mutual Assistance with the Soviet Union, has
traditionally had close contacts with the country.
	Neutral Sweden has continually tried to develop its commercial
interests in the Baltic states of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and in
the Leningrad region of the Soviet Union.
	But such close relations between the northwest Soviet Union and
Norway and Sweden in particular, have previously been made difficult due
to long lines of official communication through Moscow, and East-West
security considerations.
	Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachev has repeatedly called for the
development of closer relations in the region but Scandinavian nations
have previously been reluctant to make hasty decisions.
	During an October 1989 official visit to Finland, Gorbachev
repeated an earlier call to develop local and national relations in the
region, calling for agreements on transport, shipping lanes in the
Barents Sea and the reduction of armed forces in the area.
381.7Cutting Swedish defense won't reduce taxes muchNEILS::SAVAGEMon Apr 09 1990 10:5442
    From: [email protected] (Thomas Sj�land)
    Newsgroups: soc.culture.nordic
    Subject: Re: Glasnost/Perestroika & Neutrality
    Date: 6 Apr 90 11:35:36 GMT
    Organization: Swedish Institute of Computer Science, Kista
 
 
    The Swedish military costs about 3% of the tax money so it would not
    mean anything significant to take away the defense, when it comes to
    reducing taxes. Our taxes go mainly to interests on foreign dept, a
    very large public sector paying for various social and medical services
    to the inhabitants of all nationalities, and large sums going back to
    the households in order to subsidize the living expenses (we have a
    very generous system for subsidizing interest costs of newly built
    houses for instance).
 
    In fact the comparative strength of our military forces have decreased 
    drastically since the 50s. The official policy is currently to keep the 
    current military level and spending until the political changes in
    Europe effects the military strength of the Warsaw pact and NATO.
 
    But yes, there is a rather vigourous pacifist movement, although not so
    much discussing the mandatory drafting, but rather the fact that the
    Swedish industries producing arms have exported to forbidden countries.
    This movement is the one that brought the Bofors affair (bribes to
    officials to get big contracts in the third world) to the surface,
    causing some very obscure legislation forbidding employees to hand over
    proof of illegal activities on behalf of their employer to the police
    (!), to be suggested in parliament.
 
    The politicians are currently busy trying to prove the weak point that
    they were not informed. There are court cases against some company
    leaders going on.
    
    --
    
   Thomas Sjoeland
   SICS, PO Box 1263, S-164 28 KISTA, SWEDEN
   Tel: +46 8 752 15 42	Ttx: 812 61 54 SICS S	Fax: +46 8 751 72 30
   Internet: [email protected] 
   .......
   Ta't lugnt Goesta, jag har hans personnummer...
381.8Russia, Ukraine and Byelorussia regonizedTLE::SAVAGEFri Dec 20 1991 11:3836
    From: [email protected]
    Newsgroups: clari.news.gov.international,clari.news.issues.conflict,
	clari.news.europe
    Subject: Sweden recognizes Russia, Byelorussia, Ukraine
    Date: 19 Dec 91 17:42:43 GMT
 
 
	STOCKHOLM, Sweden (UPI) -- Sweden said Thursday it has decided to
recognize Russia, Ukraine and Byelorussia as independent states in a
move it said signified the imminent demise of the Soviet Union.
	"Now is the correct time," said Swedish Prime Minister Carl Bildt
following a meeting of the powerful Foreign Relations Privy Council.
	"The decision to recognize the three states comes against a backdrop
of the developments of the past few weeks, leading to the demise of the
Soviet Union," a government statement said.
	It added that in deciding to recognize the three former Soviet
republics Sweden had placed "great weight" on announcements by the
three states that they planned to honor international agreements entered
into by the Soviet Union.
	"It is equally important that they have expressed their support for
the United Nations Charter and the human rights dimension of the
Conference on Security and Cooperation in Europe," the statement said.
	The statement said the Swedish government would "closely follow
developments in the other former republics of the Soviet Union and
decide on recognition of them at a later stage."
	Norway became the first western country to recognize the three states
on Monday.
	In a separate statement Sweden said it would also recognize the
Yugoslav republics of Croatia and Slovenia as independent states on
January 15, 1992 provided certain conditions were fulfilled.
	"The government expects that before that date both states will have
expressed their willingness to respect ... democracy, human rights and
the principles that normally exist in an independent state," the
statement said.
	The Swedish move followed a similar decision adopted by the European
Community.