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Conference turris::bridge

Title:The Game of Bridge
Moderator:COLLIS::JACKSON
Created:Thu Oct 30 1986
Last Modified:Fri Jun 06 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:1969
Total number of notes:14668

1941.0. "DECA loses to MITREA by 1 Imp on 3/4/97" by GAAS::BRAUCHER (And nothing else matters) Wed Mar 05 1997 09:48

  On a quiet set of 24 boards, DECA won the first half 28-14, lost the
 second 25-10.  We were somewhat unlucky not to be up more after the
 first half, when this slam by AF/AK went down (unbid by Mitre) :

             S-KQx H-xxx D-Qxxx C-Kxx

             S-AJxx H-AQx D-AK10 C-AJx

  How would you play it after a spade lead (no opposing bids) ?

  Our worst board was losing 11 on board 22, EW vul, E deals:

                   S-K H-KJ10x D-AQ9x C-8xxx
           S-A10xx H-9xxx D-J C-AQJx   S-9xxxx H-Ax D-108xx C-10x
                   S-QJx H-Qxx D-Kxxx C-K9x

  At our table I think this went P-P-1C-1H-1S-2H-2S-P-P-P, making 3.  Not
 heroic by us - JK might go 2NT instead of his final pass, and it looks
 cold.  But West might well go on to 3S, and I doubt it can be beaten.
 A trump lead is probably best.

  At the other table, NS bid and made 3NT.  I don't see how.

  We lost 6 points here when Mitre scored a partial at both tables :

                   S-Jx H-Jxx D-Ax C-AKxxxx
           S-Qxxxx H-KQxxx D-xx C-x   S-AKx H-xxx D-KQxx C-Qxx
                   S-10xx H-A10 D-J10xxx C-Jxx

   2S for 170, 2C for 90.  After 1C-P-1D-P-2C-P-P-Dbl-P-2S-P-P-P at
 our table, there was no plus available to N-S.

  bb
T.RTitleUserPersonal
Name
DateLines
1941.1MOIRA::FAIMANWandrer, du M�der, du bist zu HausWed Mar 05 1997 10:408
> first half, when this slam by AF/AK went down (unbid by Mitre) :
>
>             S-KQx H-xxx D-Qxxx C-Kxx
>             S-AJxx H-AQx D-AK10 C-AJx
>
>  How would you play it after a spade lead (no opposing bids) ?

What was the contract?  (Looks like it could be spades, diamonds, or no trump.)
1941.2withoutGAAS::BRAUCHERAnd nothing else mattersWed Mar 05 1997 11:064
  6NT, I believe.  I'll tell you this : if you play SA,SK, RHO pitches D.

  bb
1941.3Plan "C"?CADSYS::GROSSThe bug stops hereWed Mar 05 1997 11:3619
There's plan "A": take 3 finesses. 2 out of 3 finesses is a 50%
shot. You need 3 entries to dummy and you've got 'em.

There's plan "B": play diamonds from the top hoping for Jx or Jxx.
Then run your 8 spade and diamond winners and try to read the discards.
There may be a finesse or a strip and throw-in for the 12th trick.

There's plan "C": since RHO throws a diamond on the 2nd spade, assume
he's got 5. Cash AS, KS, AD, QS. If the guess concerning the diamond
split is correct RHO now has all the outstanding diamonds, therefore
finesse the 10D, cash KD, AS, KC, QD (pitch xH). If LHO has not pitched
a spade, try to read the discards to decide which finesse to take.
Otherwise, decide whether to take a finesse or try a throwin.

Too much guessing for me. I like hands where only one line of play
is possible. Plan "C" has a little logic going for it, so that's
what I would try.

Dave
1941.4League Standing from Alan KotokMPGS::COHENBob CohenWed Mar 05 1997 12:0517
From:	US6RMC::"[email protected]" "Alan Kotok"  5-MAR-1997 11:15
To:	mpgs::cohen
CC:	
Subj:	Re: Results?

At 10:23 AM -0500 3/5/97, [email protected] wrote:
>Thanks,
>
>Do you happen to know our VP margin over them for the season/half?

Yes.  Including this 2 VP loss, we are now 21 ahead of them.  There are 2
more games in the season.  I think we are scheduled to play DEC B in 2
weeks, and then another "position" night, but the rules forbid playing the
same team in 2 position nights in the same half.  Thus, I would expect we
would play Liberty.

Alan
1941.5Wish I had another entry to dummyDAVIDB::DMILLERThis bug fix broke what???????Wed Mar 05 1997 15:1635
	S-KQx H-xxx D-Qxxx C-Kxx opposite S-AJxx H-AQx D-AK10 C-AJx

	I'm assuming 6N is the contract.  You have 10 tricks and need
	two more.  Diamonds looks to be the best source for one of them,
	and one of the other finesses has to work.  Diamonds need either
	the finesse, DJ[x], or the 3-3 split.  I'd like to delay that
	choice as long as possible, but I don't have enough entries to
	ensure I can get back to the long diamond.

	DQ is only an entry if I play for DJ to drop or 3-3 diamonds, so
	let's say I have exactly three entries to dummy.  I guess I can
	hope for 2 out of 3 finesses to work.  I bet the heart finesse
	will lose, and it's the most dangerous one to take, so save it
	for last.

	Win SA, cash DK to see if DJ is stiff (Probably not).  SQ, Dx
	toward D-AT for the finesse.  If this loses, a spade is likely
	to be returned, taking away 2nd entry.  Win SK, and take C-finesse.
	Unblock DA, return to dummy win CK, cash DQ, and take heart finesse.

	2 out of 3 finesess has a 50% shot, with the slight possibility
	that all 3 will work and 13 tricks come home.  Cashing the DK
	before taking the finesse helps when either opp has stiff DJ,
	or when RHO has DJx, so I guess I have a slightly better than
	50% chance of making this.

	With an extra dummy entry, I might be able to try the other
	finesses first, leaving the diamond choice for later.  Then
	I could try and count the hand out a little more to determine
	if the 3-3 split was going to occur, or if I had to take the
	finesse.

	I can't see how to increase my entries/chances any more than that.

	-Dave
1941.6Good problem-my tryMPGS::COHENBob CohenWed Mar 05 1997 15:2952
>             S-KQx H-xxx D-Qxxx C-Kxx
>             S-AJxx H-AQx D-AK10 C-AJx

>  How would you play it after a spade lead (no opposing bids) ?

Can I improve over the slight better that 50% line of taking 3 hooks
(improvement because I can drop singleton DJ)?

Well, playing for the drop in diamonds is 3.6% better than taking the hook
taking that suit in isolation. But as more cards are "known" to be in LHO, the
hook becomes higher in probability. So we need to gather as much information as
possible before making the key decisions. The best way to do that would be SJ, 
DA and SK.

When RHO shows out, the odds in the diamond suit change dramatically. It is now
9.4% better to take the hook rather than playing for the drop.

You now are down to reading the opponents. They are reasonable players. They
are good enough to realize that the only holding where a diamond discard may
make sense is from five. Certainly they would never discard one from 4 and from
3 or less they would always discard from their 5 cards suit.

Well, I'll if play for that.

1. take diamond hook, KD, QS, DQ pitching a heart.

You are now down to a 7 card ending:
	S- H-xxx D- C-Kxx
	S-J H-AQ D- C-AJx

Take the heart hook, win the major return and cash the other major, KC. If the
heart is isn't good, play the club and either finesse or play for the drop
depending on your card reading.

If somehow you've miss read the opponents diamond suit holding and the hook
loses, you still have the chance the both rounded hooks succeed.

BTW, if you are a "perfect" card reader, there is even a better line, once you
"correctly" guess to take the diamond hook. At point 1. above cash the QS! Then
take the diamond hook, KD, JS, KC, QD pitching a heart. Your are now down to a
4 card ending:
	S- H-xx D- C-xx
	S- H-AQ D- C-AJ

Double dummy you are cold. Either:
a. Take the hook for the card that is onside
b. If both are off, play the A in the suit that LHO stiffed their honor. If LHO
has reduced to doubletons in both suits, exit with the other card in that suit.

It makes a great story, but I am better at taking two finesses so would take
the line above.

1941.7Cold if you can peekMPGS::COHENBob CohenSun Mar 09 1997 07:3239
Just for fun.
(BTW did taking the percentage play of the diamond hook win in the real world?)

Double dummy (dd) this hand is always cold. Ergo partner will blame you.

In my previous note I show that if you can win 4 diamonds you can always make
dd. To summarize with lead in dummy, you will reach:

	S- H-xx D- C-xx
	S- H-AQ D- C-AJ

Either:
a. Take the hook for the card that is onside.
b. If both are off, play the A in the suit that LHO stiffed their honor. If LHO
has reduced to doubletons in both suits, exit A and another in either suit.

How about the case when LHO has 4+ diamonds?

If both rounded hooks are on take them.

If either the club or heart hook is on take it and run spades reaching either:

Dummy	S- H-xx  D-Qxxx C-		S- H-  D-Qxxx C-Kxx
You	S- H-AQx D-AKT  C-		S- H-x D-AKT  C-AJx
LHO	S- H-Kx  D-Jxxx C-		S- H-  D-Jxxx C-Qxx

In either case 4 rounds of diamonds end plays LHO

Finally, if both hooks are off, run 4 spades reaching:

Dummy	S- H-xx  D-Qxxx C-Kxx
You	S- H-AQx D-AKT  C-AJx
LHO	S- H-Kx  D-Jxxx C-Qxx

Now AH, xH gains an additional heart trick as well as end plays LHO!

Bridge is such as simple game ;-)

Pard all you had to do is ....
1941.8yes, Bob - it's a guessing game...GAAS::BRAUCHERAnd nothing else mattersMon Mar 10 1997 11:1111
  In real life, opps were xxxxx KJ10 x xxxx opposite x xxxx Jxxxx Q10x,
 I believe.  So D does not drop, club works, heart and diamonds both do.

  At the Alan's table, they played for the drop in D, down 1.  Oddly,
 at our table the declarer in 3 only made 5 even though taking the D
 finesse.  He used up the CK to run his tricks and then misguessed which
 finesse to take coming off the board, trying the heart, and never got
 back again for the club.

  bb