T.R | Title | User | Personal Name | Date | Lines |
---|
467.1 | My guess | KYOA::BOYLE | Dirty Jobs Done Dirt Cheap | Sat May 01 1993 18:21 | 10 |
| A number of sources, mostly TV and radio, are claiming that the climb
of the futures markets is indicative of increased interest rates. My
guess is that interest rates will reflect any significant downturn in
the economy. I expect that when (if) healthcare reforms are announced,
we should expect a big reaction in both the stock (downward) and bond
(upwards) markets.
Of course, the correct answer is how the H*** do I know 8^)...
Jack
|
467.2 | The economy is a lot weaker than DC cheerleaders imply | VMSDEV::HALLYB | Fish have no concept of fire | Mon May 03 1993 08:41 | 5 |
| Rates will top out in mid-June and head back down, bottoming on Aug. 2
If I were refinancing I'd lock in the last possible day in July.
John
|
467.3 | Aug 2? | SOLVIT::LYONS | | Mon May 03 1993 13:21 | 3 |
| Just curious... What is the significance of Aug 2?
Mike
|
467.4 | I second the question! | HYEND::T_HOLLAND | Johnny Longtorso | Mon May 03 1993 16:24 | 8 |
| Here HEre - I second the question! I may be heading into a first
mortgage in the near future and have the same question as far as
where rates are going. A crystal ball would sure come in handy
for this task!
Cheers,
Tim
|
467.5 | That's "hear, hear" not "here, here" | VMSDEV::HALLYB | Fish have no concept of fire | Tue May 04 1993 09:23 | 12 |
| This (.2) is the call made by a timer who predicted precious metals would
end their bear market in early March (they did) but the rally would be
interrupted for a while on May 3rd (the jury is still out).
Many metals gurus have called for a new rally in metals on a regular
basis for the past 12 years. This March rally, however, was the FIRST
such call made by this timer.
If this sounds like too much smoke-n-mirrors, remember you wanted a
crystal ball.
John
|
467.6 | Wolunchuk? Prechter? Jenkins? | MCIS2::BONVALLAT | | Tue May 04 1993 18:30 | 5 |
| John,
I cannot help but ask: Who is the timer you are speaking of?
Jeff
|
467.7 | | ASDG::MISTRY | | Tue May 04 1993 21:28 | 6 |
|
Aren't the ideas of long run interest rates staying low (.2) and of
gold going up (.5) somewhat contradictory?
Kaizad
|
467.8 | Timer | KOALA::BOUCHARD | The enemy is wise | Wed May 05 1993 08:46 | 3 |
| methinks that the "timer" is question is the honorable Mr. Hallyburton
himself.
|
467.9 | Bottom? | SPESHR::ROCKWELL | | Wed May 05 1993 17:51 | 6 |
| How many guru's will pick a number for "BOTTOM", lets say its delimited
by SUMMER (jun,july,august)?
for a 15Y fixed the diff between 7.0 and 7.5 looks like about $5.6 K
How probable is 6.5 this summer...
|