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Conference nyoss1::market_investing

Title:Market Investing
Moderator:2155::michaud
Created:Thu Jan 23 1992
Last Modified:Thu Jun 05 1997
Last Successful Update:Fri Jun 06 1997
Number of topics:1060
Total number of notes:10477

390.0. "HMO Stocks under Clinton" by SWLAVC::HOSSEINI () Fri Feb 19 1993 19:33

    Since 387.* did not get into the heart of predicting investment under
    Clinton's plan, I will post my question here.
    
    Before and after Clinton's presentation, healthcare stocks, specially
    HMO's have been battered badly.  I thought any healthcare reform would
    actually favor HMO's.  Is'nt that why DEC is pushing HMO Elect?  
    Granted Some HMO stocks were really high.  I have been watching one
    that we use here in SOuthern California, PACIFICARE (NASDAQ: PHSYA)
    to go from around $60/share to around $30 in the past two weeks.
    
    Here are my questions:
    
    1. Do you think (predict) that healthcare reform would benefit HMOs?
    2. If so, is now the time to pick some share or should one wait until
       the dust setelled?
    
    Any info would be appreciated.
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390.1just a few thoughts.CADSYS::BENOITFri Feb 19 1993 20:4714
    Not ready to make recommendations, if I were I would be on Wall Street,
    but here are some thoughts.  I believe the HMO's should flourish under 
    the Clinton administration.  When all is said and done the type of
    service they want the health care system to provide most looks like
    HMO's...so less to change, and profits should roll in sooner.
    
    How's this for a long shot.....Advertising and media, if Clinton
    suceeds in steming lobbyist, who will lobbyist have to lobby...us, and
    how through the media and advertising....maybe then we will feel strong
    enough to make congress do what they want.....this will take some
    pretty strong ads, and a lot of exposure.  The big if...LOBBYIST
    reform!
    
    michael
390.2Pacificare on saleDABEAN::NEARYBob NearySun Feb 21 1993 20:238
    re .0 
    
    FYI, the Cabot Market Letter out of Salem Mass has long recommended
    Pacificare (PHYSA). 
    
    I checked yesterday's letter and he says that  this is an opportunity
    for readers that missed it before. (If you liked it at 50 , you'll
    love it at 38...)
390.3Universal HealthcareSOLVIT::CHENMon Feb 22 1993 09:2613
    re: .0
    
    I am not sure what the answer to your question is. But, I thought the
    Clinton Administration wants to implement "Universal Healthcare". If I
    understand it correctly, it means that the government will manage or 
    determine what the doctors and hospitals should be paid for their
    services. If this is correct, then I see the profit margin for HMOs
    will come down along with other health organizations. Then, I
    personally would stany away from healthcare related stocks.
    
    just my $.02
    
    Mike
390.4CSC32::S_MAUFEits sum-sum-sum-summertime!Mon Feb 22 1993 15:3014
    
    
    Clinton wants Universal Healthcare. If I were he I wouldn't create a
    huge government machine from scratch to manage this. I think HMOs have
    done a good job at this.So, I would imageine Clinton would pay the HMOs
    to manage bundles of government clients. The government would simply be
    the paymaster.
    
    Why are the stocks down? Because the market reacts to uncertainty. the
    market can take down news and it can take up news. The only news it
    can't handle is "we don't know, its a vacumn, it all could change". So
    they mark stocks down.
    
    Simon
390.5Pacificare at $26SWLAVC::HOSSEINIMon Feb 22 1993 17:535
    RE .2
    
    Pacificare (PHSYA) closed at $26 today.  Looks like it is going down.
    I wonder what that newsletter would say now "Will ADORE it at 26!!!!"
    For me I guess I will wait a little.
390.629067::J_OPPELTdecolores!Sat Jul 23 1994 13:432
    	Checking in on some old notes, it looks like PHSYA has doubled
    	since .-1