T.R | Title | User | Personal Name | Date | Lines |
---|
169.1 | Zeros don't protect against all risks | MINAR::BISHOP | | Fri Apr 24 1992 14:22 | 20 |
| Is this money in an IRA or 401(k) plan? If it's not tax
advantaged, you should realize that you'll be paying income
tax on "phantom" income from the zeros.
I'd worry about the inflation risk the zeros have, too: we
currently have a rate that is low compared to the recent past
and any increase would radically reduce the value of the bonds
at maturity. Personally, for the relatively long period of
eleven years I'd be tempted to put the "keep this part safe"
money in a medium-term bond fund to reduce the risk from
increases in inflation.
Remember also that you don't reach retirement at 65 and then
die (knock wood!). You're likely to live to 80 or more, so
you're really planning for a span of (+11..+30) years from
now, and so your "average" dollar is going to spend some 20
years growing in a quiet place. So one-half to three-quarters
in equities sounds about right.
-John Bishop
|
169.2 | That "used car salesman" feeling | VMSDEV::HALLYB | Fish have no concept of fire. | Fri Apr 24 1992 14:29 | 44 |
| You "buy" an 8% Zero of 2005 (say) for $350 and in 2005 (August?) you
are promised $1000 in return. About a 3-for-1 deal at current interest
rates.
Points to ponder:
- What will $1000 buy you in 2005 compared to what $350 buys today?
Nobody knows, but you are betting at least the same purchasing power.
One good shot of 1970s style inflation will likely destroy the value
of this investment. A repeat of the 1930s would be a benefit.
- Zeroes are the highest-risk bonds at a given maturity. Reward is
commensurate with risk in this case, so consider it a matter of risk
management instead of risk avoidance.
- Will the government actually pay off? As opposed to defaulting or
nationalizing your account. (Not likely, but neither is your house
likely to burn down; yet you carry insurance).
- If you make this investment, consider the Benham Target 2005 fund,
which is a true no-load U.S. Treasury zero fund. Don't let this guy
sell you a load fund even if it claims to offer higher yield because
it's selling repackaged <insert non-treasury government agency name>
bonds. That higher yield is likely to become his commission and all
you get out of it is increased risk. [Broad generalization there].
- Many corporate zeroes are pure junk; a real minefield best avoided.
Likewise anything having to do with collateralized mortgages; they
are incredibly complex and have poor risk/reward characteristics.
> The remainder he would invest more aggressively looking
> for a portfolio that would provide 12%-16% annual growth.
Why doesn't he just invest all your money in a portfolio that would
provide 12%-16% annual growth? Because, of course, there's no way he
can be sure of getting ANY growth. Just because part of your portfolio
is earning 8% doesn't mean the rest of it will earn 12%+.
I'd be really wary of anybody to spoke to me like that. Of course, if
you think we're on the verge of another bull market then those numbers
are quite plausible. In which case you don't need his advice; pick any
of the mutual funds discussed elsewhere in this file. Buy. Hold.
John
|
169.3 | zeros and interest | SLOAN::HOM | | Fri Apr 24 1992 14:36 | 23 |
| With interest bearing bonds, you get interest payment every
quarter or whatever the payment period is. It's up to you
to re-invest the interest; you may or may not be able to get
the same rate on re-investment of the interest payment.
This is not the case with zeros. The interest rate is guaranteed to
maturity.
Regarding "gov't backed", I would make sure that it is US Treasury
Notes/bonds; not gov't guaranteed, not federally backed but real US
Treasuries where the coupons are "stripped" away.
As .1 pointed out, zeros, if they are not in an IRA are taxed as if
the interest were paid out.
Regarding zeros vs bond fund:
With zeros, both the interest rate and redemption value are known.
With a intermediate term bond fund, the yield and the NAV in 10 years is
not known - though you can make some educated predictions.
Gim
|
169.4 | Gim lobs one high and deep, but -SMASH- John vollies back! | VMSDEV::HALLYB | Fish have no concept of fire. | Fri Apr 24 1992 17:16 | 13 |
| > Regarding zeros vs bond fund:
>
> With zeros, both the interest rate and redemption value are known.
> With a intermediate term bond fund, the yield and the NAV in 10 years is
> not known - though you can make some educated predictions.
The Benham 2005 bond fund matures entirely at par on the maturity date.
The NAV and the yield are known precisely. The entire fund consists of
bonds and coupons payable on the same date in 2005, plus a small amount
of cash to handle early redemption requests. In this way it is no
different from a zero you bought yourself, just a lot more convenient.
John
|
169.5 | Benham's #? | 37107::JWICKERT | b a ba, b e be, b i bickey bi, b i bo | Fri Apr 24 1992 17:34 | 7 |
| Re. Benham bond fund
Do you have their toll free #?
JRW
|
169.6 | | BOXORN::HAYS | Of what is and what should never be... | Fri Apr 24 1992 22:46 | 13 |
|
Problems with the Benham Target funds is the stated yeild is somewhat less
than the yeild of a Tzero with the same maturity date (even after paying the
spread), and the real return of the fund is not fixed, but might vary from
the stated yeild.
The advantage is that the Benham funds are much more liquid. A odd lot of
zeros (less than a million? $) has a wide bid-asked spread.
I have some Tzero's in my IRA.
Phil
|
169.7 | Benham vs others | SLOAN::HOM | | Sat Apr 25 1992 23:15 | 13 |
| Re: .4 by John (McEnroe) Hallyburton,
Your quite right about Benham Target funds they can be considered to be
synthetic zeros.
In reading the notes here, some noters have predispositions to
certain fund families. (I tend to use Vanguard - the Index 500 and the
Wellsely fund). Why do some folks like the Benham family?
I don't want to miss out on a good thing.
Gim
|
169.8 | | VMSDEV::HALLYB | Fish have no concept of fire. | Sun Apr 26 1992 15:14 | 16 |
| Benham's number is 800-4SAFETY
I'm not so much a cheerleader for Benham as I am pleased with their
fund selection. There aren't too many zero coupon single maturity date
funds. Their Capital Preservation Fund is exclusively T-bill for those
of us who are truly paranoid. And all their funds are pure no-load,
no-hype, no-BS.
Plus, Jim Benham has a reputation in the bond market similar too that
of Peter Lynch in the stock market, though he's not as widely known.
Vanguard runs a quality index fund but since I tend to switch a lot
I have my index fund money with Rushmore. It's all a matter of who
best meets your needs.
John
|
169.9 | For more info on Benham funds... | FREEBE::NEARY | Bob Neary | Fri May 08 1992 15:40 | 17 |
| FYI,
FOR INFO ON BENHAM ACCOUNTS: (machine like DECtalk)
You can call 1-800-321-8321
first menu enter:
1
enter 1 again:
Now in fund section: enter fund # for quote
62 = Benham target maturity 1995
63 = Benham target maturity 2000
64 = Benham target maturity 2005
65 = Benham target maturity 2010
66 = Benham target maturity 2015
67 = Benham target maturity 2020
It also tells you the yield for the past 30 day period.
Other options give you history of each fund, etc.
There is a help "menu" to prompt you through.
|
169.10 | Zero coupon bond funds | BOBSBX::QUINLAN | Mark Quinlan, Alpha Personal Systems | Mon Dec 19 1994 14:43 | 7 |
| I thinking of moving some of my IRA account over to zero-coupon bonds. Are
there any mutual funds investing in zeros ? I have already discovered the
Benham Target maturity funds, and will be using these if I can't find
any other fund. Comments on zeros ? Comments on Benham ?
Thanks,
Mark
|
169.11 | | BOBSBX::QUINLAN | Mark Quinlan, Alpha Personal Systems | Mon Dec 19 1994 14:47 | 8 |
| I have read that there are tax-free zero coupon bonds. Anyone know of a mutual
fund investing primarily in tax-free zero coupon bonds ?
Are any of the closed-end bond funds investing primarily in zero ? (taxable or
tax-free ).
Mark
|